vinylweatherman
You type well loads
- Joined
- Oct 14, 2004
- Location
- United Kingdom
There is actually a very simple issue with the Hi-Lo Gambler game, and it doesn't require any testing.
According to Betfred's (un)helpfile it has an RTP of 96%. But then both black and red pay out x2.
Since the game uses a short deck of 12 cards, 6 red and 6 black, it doesn't take a genius to figure out that if you bet on red, the chance of getting red must be less than 6 in 12, and black must be more than 6 in 12.
Therefore the game is rigged.
I previously posted a thread, which was spiked, about a so-called 'table game' that used six cards with unequal weighting, so that the Ace was less common than the 9. https://www.casinomeister.com/forums/threads/are-bet365-cheating-on-their-game-s.49012/
However in that case the issue was resolved such that the game was moved to 'arcade games' and the following was noted 'The cards drawn are either 9, 10, J, Q, K & A. No deck is used, instead each card value has a different weighting so lower value cards are drawn more regularly than higher cards'.
In this case however it is not possible that both red and black can pay out 2x and the game have a 96% RTP.
The game must be adaptive, such that if you bet on red there is lesser chance of getting red, and if you bet on black there is a lesser chance of getting black. Since the game cannot be weighted as Three of a Kind was, there is no need to conduct any testing to see that the game is rigged, aka cheating.
I am therefore unclear as to why Betfred continue to offer this game on their website, and why no steps have been taken to pull it from other websites.
Quite, this makes this FAR worse than the previous issue, which turned out to be a weighted production of card values, yet still random in the sense that the player could still get lucky.
An adaptive game is far worse. This is cheating the player through deception. The player CANNOT get lucky and end up well ahead, as the game adapts to how the player is betting to keep to the set RTP. Whether the OP had bet mostly on red, or mostly on black, the game would have adapted the outcomes such that BOTH strategies would have the same eventual outcome, a 4% take for the house.
This is simply a UK style fruit machine in disguise. Although coded to run to a set RTP, the complexity of the code needed to "cheat" means that clever players frequently take them to the cleaners.
In the above citation of a player forcing a FOBT to produce 36 three times on the trot by betting the other numbers, there are many FOBT systems doing the rounds that claim to trick this cheating code to operate in the players' favour. Bookies regularly ban players for consistently beating their "random" FOBT kiosks. If it was pure chance, they would NOT ban such players, but offer them free coffee in the hope they play for longer and get beaten by the long term house edge.