UEFA Euro 2024: Expectations?

[pereblue]

This summer, football fans won’t be resting. We have a summer ahead of us in front of the TV, although the luckiest ones will experience it live. Euro 2024 is about to start, and will it be the last competition where we see CR7? Other great figures like Modric and Lewandowski also seem to be nearing the end of their careers with their national teams.

According to the betting houses I've consulted, the favorite is England, followed by France and, as the host, Germany. Teams like Portugal and Spain are ranked a step below. I hope my national team finishes in the top three. We have great promises like Yamal, Pedri (Golden Boy 2021), and Rodrigo, a midfielder I really admire. It’s a fairly young team but with players who have a lot of experience in international competitions.

How do you see this European Championship? What are your expectations? I hope to spend a few weeks watching quality football, with the passion that always comes with this sport, despite the millions of euros that are turning a great sport into a mere spectacle full of millionaires.

 

[pereblue]

regarding Sportsbetting, let's share current Overall Bets in different Platfforms and Based on Country Based... eg. from Spain and Bet365.es :



William Hill:


Betway.es:


Curious to see TOP 5 Favs has the same Ratio in all Sportbetting Sites ....

 

[jasonuk]

Some exchange numbers for you - Betfair.


For context, before England lost to Iceland - again - England were 4.5, France 5.5, Germany 7.0, Portugal 9.4 and Spain 10.0

You know it's a significant shift when WH has to re-boost their headline offer

 

[SCATT3R]

I've been betting on Belgium to win for the last 3-4 tournaments and though they've only made one semi final over these years, I will do so again even if they've arguably had their best chances to lift it by now.

Lukaku for leading goal scorer feels far more realistic though. At odds in the 15 region, it's actually a no brainer. Belgium's got some potentially high scoring matches coming in the group stages and is also highly likely to advance. Lukaku is currently in his prime, or certainly not far from it, and with the extremely precise services of De Bruyne and Trossard will get his share of opportunities served on a silver platter.

It usually takes about 5 goals to become top scorer and I think he'll get those before long. Another option, worth considering for high stakes, would be Lukaku Over 3.5 goals.

 

[johnnymcc1966]

England favourites? A bit silly for a country which hasnt won a tournament for almost 60 years. Mind you it will be locals rather than the bettors 'in the know' fuelling that. Italy won it last time and France have been in the last two World Cup finals,winning one,and England are favourites. Hmmm.

 

[kou187]

England won't win it, if you've watched there friendly games. There's no chance a team playing like they are now is going to win the whole tournament. Probably make it to quarter final at best.

Sorry guys but it's not coming home,

 

[orion]

No hopes for my poor Italy (quarter final at best), I guess France will win.
Big surprise coming from Hungary impo.

 

[johnnymcc1966]

No hopes for my poor Italy (quarter final at best), I guess France will win.
Big surprise coming from Hungary impo.

Italy won it last time so I wouldn't write them off yet.

 

[Jono777]

It's coming h......

My estimate is a repeat of 2021 (2020) losing finalists. (Probably pens again too lol)

 

[dunover]

I'm English so I have no expectations.

Think Southgate has the nous to win a tournament? Think again.

Give him a mythical team with Best, Charlton, Cruyff, Pele, Maradona, Messi, Beckenbauer, Ronaldo, Moore etc. in and he'd still lose it.

 

[mcgameboy]

Hmmm....the final is on Bastille Day.

I think France beat England in the semis. England will probably score in that game, but this has ALWAYS been their problem. They always seem to score ONLY ONCE.
Good enough to score first in the really big games, but not good enough to keep a clean sheet.
One goal is never going to be enough against one of the top teams, because goals can and will be had against that England defence.
England might get away with winning against the weaker teams 3-2 or 4-2, but against France? No way.

The other semi is harder to call. Germany could meet Spain in the QF with the winner to likely face one out of Portugal, Croatia and Netherlands.

Croatia for me is the wildcard here. In a Group of death with Spain and Italy, Modric's last hurrah, known to punch above their weight in tournaments and very capable of springing a shock result.

Germany also tend to do well when hosting a WC or Euros. Won in' 74, lost in '88 SF to eventual winners Netherlands and '06 SF to eventual winners Italy, with both games seeing very late goals to decide them.
Home field advantage might help get them far once again.

France look like a clear favourite, but if they slip up (and they can - see Portugal in '16 final and Switzerland in '21), then it could be won by any one out of 7 or 8 teams, namely Spain, Portugal, Italy, Croatia, Germany, Netherlands, Belgium and England.

But those last three are serial chokers/under-achievers, while Croatia are over-achievers, but still the proverbial "nearly men".

The only thing I can be sure of is that the Germans know how to put on a slickly organised and good football tournament, so I am looking forward to it.

 

[nfehily]

Wonder what price you would get for England not to score a goal from open play the whole tournament, shocking that they are favourites, our defence is the worst it’s been in decades.

 

[jasonuk]

One thing is for sure... Ladbrokes are counting the mugs pouring in for this "promotion"... 20/1 on a randomly assigned winner anyone?



The rules - assuming you can find them (one link to the rules ironically goes to BeGambleAware) - mention that all selections have an equal probability.

So we have:

• The five favourites - 4.5 to 8.0 (at Ladbrokes' naturally piss-poor prices)
• The three break evens - 17.0 to 19.0
• The sixteen outsiders - 34.0 to 501.0

So their existing market is a rather poor 116% book - this doesn't seem to be much better at 114% (or 24 divided by 21).

And naturally pity the poor mug that bets £20 and gets Georgia (950.0+) at 20/1...

 

[Jono777]

One thing is for sure... Ladbrokes are counting the mugs pouring in for this "promotion"... 20/1 on a randomly assigned winner anyone?

View attachment 197928

The rules - assuming you can find them (one link to the rules ironically goes to BeGambleAware) - mention that all selections have an equal probability.

So we have:

• The five favourites - 4.5 to 8.0 (at Ladbrokes' naturally piss-poor prices)
• The three break evens - 17.0 to 19.0
• The sixteen outsiders - 34.0 to 501.0

So their existing market is a rather poor 116% book - this doesn't seem to be much better at 114% (or 24 divided by 21).

And naturally pity the poor mug that bets £20 and gets Georgia (950.0+) at 20/1...

Lol, Could be worse and end up with England I suppose

 

[jasonuk]

Lol, Could be worse and end up with England I suppose

It's a tough call... the realisation you are £10k+ out on your Georgia bet, or the decades of disproportionate gloating from England fans because their team finally won something...

 

[justdoit]

No hopes for my poor Italy (quarter final at best), I guess France will win.
Big surprise coming from Hungary impo.

I agree France or Croatia will win,

 

[justdoit]

lol not even started they talking about attacking eachother ?

 

[jasonuk]

Some disagreement on the books and exchanges this evening - WH boosting England again to 5.5, Smarkets now 5.3 (with France favourite at 5.2) while Betfair and Matchbook at 5.1 (France 5.3).

So a plausible chance that England aren't favourites this time tomorrow... which would be something they've lost before the tournament even starts

 

[PMKFRUITPRO]

I’ve gone in on France.

I backed Southampton (play offs) and England double a while back. But England have drifted from 3/1 to 9/2 since.

I also did Portugal each way couple of months ago at a decent price. They look strong in most areas and are value.

Saviour on Holland each way after I got wasted with a Dutch fan who told me they were WAY overpriced after about ten pints and several gins!!

Either way I can’t fucking wait.

Ascot as well next week so a welcome break from getting bent over and fucked up the arse from every slot I load up. It’s just fucking relentless playing these days. Can’t wait for my money to entertain me more than 5 mins.

And one final note….

BTG can fuck off for good now. You are on the ban list for good. Rediculous feature costs producing fuck all as always. Rather throw a bag at Scotland to win the euros than ever play your shite again.

 

[justdoit]

Scotland very low on RTP tonight ?

 

[mcgameboy]

Scotland very low on RTP tonight ?

Scotland vs Germany = me vs a Hacksaw slot. A total mismatch.

 

[dunover]

Scotland vs Germany = me vs a Hacksaw slot. A total mismatch.

My god they were shite. Germany were not as good as people think, they were made to look good. Even England could've scored 2 or 3 against Scotland.

 

[SCATT3R]

What a nice start to the tournament! Total mismatch indeed, but great entertainment value! And how about Toni Kroos..?

Got like 100 different betting accounts but only one bothered to offer me a freebie, I happily obliged:



(Actually wanted to go for over 5.5 but it was max odds 5.0 for the freebet.)

 

[dealer wins]

I used to love the footie, but since they started taking the knee and requiring bioweapon injection passports to enter stadiums, I have divorced it. I have zero interest in it, lets hope none of the players or supporters collapse suddenly right!

 

[mack341]

Scotland got the tournament off to a really bad start, they weren't even competitive. I sense Clarke was trying to be too clever, thinking he could set up defensive and aim for a low scoring affair, they were getting pulled all over the place.

Maybe my eyesight is going but I wasn't certain the penalty and sending off was as clear as the tv commentators thought.

Just seen the news RIP Kevin Campbell.