- Joined
- May 8, 2018
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- south east england
I only took the first on your list. Read up and make your mind up whether his claim is true, misleading or simply false.
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Of course, they don't mention that the lowest percentage applied to one month only and that the numbers have significantly risen again. Why should they tell the entire truth?
Take any statistics expert and he/she will tell you that looking at a single month makes no sense whatsoever and presents a skewed result.
And yes, it is the Washington Post but follow the links in the article as that is the evidence for their article with hard facts.
Harry the link at the bottom of the article was behind a paywall, but I take your point that you need to add the various months together, hopefully all these claims can be properly debated at election time but I fear the msm will likely steer things back to russian collusion and other tittle tattle.
The AP Fact checker said this, with my comments in blue:
TRUMP: “African-American, Hispanic-American and Asian-American unemployment have all reached their lowest levels ever recorded.”
THE FACTS: What he’s not saying is that the unemployment rates for all three groups have gone up since reaching record low levels.
[to be fair he was talking about a point in time, and this statistic will always relate to a single moment, and then fluctuate up and down as it's a rate. It will be interesting to see the averaged out figure for his whole first term]
Black unemployment reached a record low, 5.9 percent, in May, but rose to 6.8 percent in January.
Latino unemployment fell to 4.4 percent, its lowest ever, last October, and Asian unemployment fell to a record low of 2.2 percent in May. But Latino and Asian unemployment also have increased, in part because of the government shutdown, which elevated unemployment last month. [yes but the govt shutdown did end, also no figure given so not sure if the increase was substantial or miniscule]
The African-American rate is still nearly double the jobless rate for whites, at 3.5 percent. [There are more long term socio-economic reasons for this, trump would indeed be a miracle worker to achieve parity, it may never happen for reasons beyond his control]
The most dramatic drop in black unemployment came under President Barack Obama, when it fell from a recession high of 16.8 percent in March 2010 to 7.8 percent in January 2017. [yes but this measurement is across 7 years and when something is very high it is going to be easier to obtain improvement and reduction, however it is still a very good reduction at 53% I think, I wonder what the rate was when he entered office, that would've been the more logical place to start]
This is the problem with fact checkers and statistics, they either lack context or can be manipulated to give a desired result, and then influence the person who reads at a glance. They are being used mainly to support governmental and msm narratives and their underlying agendas.