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- Mar 31, 2005
Well the record of having the most possession ( 78.8% ) in a World Cup match without scoring a goal is coming home to England.It's not coming home, is it?
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Well the record of having the most possession ( 78.8% ) in a World Cup match without scoring a goal is coming home to England.It's not coming home, is it?
England should get past Congo but have a hard match in the last 16 if Mexico get through. They have home advantage plus I was seeing a lot about the high altitude playing in Mexico.It really does not want to come home, does it?

I'm convinced it's because they have too many premier league players in the lineup.Another great game just gone. Japan so unlucky not to get to extra time. Well done Brazil though, have to say I don't rate this Brazilian side. They are ok, but no chance of winning the World Cup imo.
but I watched every game of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. I think Brazil's team with Ronaldo, Ronaldinho, Roberto Carlos, etc. was great. Similarly, I think England and Germany's teams that played against Brazil in 2002 were the best.HAHAHA. I nearly spat out my morning coffee seeing thisParaguay just smoked Germany out of FIFA 2026...
View attachment 223129
well, that's one less strong team for England to worry about facing.

Bookies odds aren't only based on event probability but also volume of money placed on each possibility so the odds change based on that.View attachment 223219
Can anybody explain why this bet at Betano is so lopsided? It seems like it should be evens, but I don't think bookies make stupid mistakes, so there must be a reason.
That is absolutely not true. Bookies do not chase stupid odds down. If the punters bet irrationally they prepare for either taking a bath or getting a good payout, they can cope with any event due to their scale. I would also find it implausible that on a bet that is 50/50 punter money would go far one way. I think there has to be a reason it's not 50-50 but eff me if I know what it is.Bookies odds aren't only based on event probability but also volume of money placed on each possibility so the odds change based on that.
The coin toss to decide ko is 50/50 but the bookie odds will reflect the amount of money that has been or could be placed on either outcome.
In your example it probably means that there has been more money placed on England to win the kick off or they expect more people to bet on England than Congo for that market.
It seems you're confusing how sports betting works and how casino games work for the bookies/casinos.That is absolutely not true. Bookies do not chase stupid odds down. If the punters bet irrationally they prepare for either taking a bath or getting a good payout, they can cope with any event due to their scale. I would also find it implausible that on a bet that is 50/50 punter money would go far one way. I think there has to be a reason it's not 50-50 but eff me if I know what it is.
Obviously they wouldn't pay evens, they'd pay 1.83 or something. You need to learn how economies of scale work and how bookmakers don't go chasing down every piddling little market to try to "balance their book" just because that market is lopsided.It seems you're confusing how sports betting works and how casino games work for the bookies/casinos.
What happens in the actual event is irrelevant to the bookie, they are only interested in balancing their book as best as possible to make a profit. You would never get both outcomes at evens as that would mean no margin for the bookies.
Either way you should do a bit of research yourself how bookmakers work if you don't believe what I've written. A google search should confirm it and probably has more information that I didn't include.
You asked a question asking for an explanation in a way that came across like you didn't have any idea at all, I answered, you said I'm wrong but in a very confusing way so I replied again.Obviously they wouldn't pay evens, they'd pay 1.83 or something. You need to learn how economies of scale work and how bookmakers don't go chasing down every piddling little market to try to "balance their book" just because that market is lopsided.
The fact they were paying 1.3 and 3.0 instead of 1.83 and 1.83 indicates that for some reason Betano's traders thought England were far more likely to kick off, not that more people bet on England to kick off
This is too much of a digression now, so I won't respond again in this thread, feel free to get the last word in if you wish, or if you want to create a new thread I'll be happy to discuss it there.
When Congo scored I straight away thought about the post I made about them. Kane to the rescue!I think I have lost my voice, if you find it please let me know!
