Horse Racing & Tips Thread

[colinsunderland]

well that was shite ffs

 

[geordiecolin]

Benarty Hill romped home Col. I hope you stuck your hat on it? I'm quite content with how my bets are going

 

[colinsunderland]

Benarty Hill romped home Col. I hope you stuck your hat on it? I'm quite content with how my bets are going

Didn't have a big bet cos I had missed the value, so stuck a tenner on and put the wrong bloody horse on so had to redo it with the right one haha. Still got £35 profit so a winner overall

 

[geordiecolin]

Didn't have a big bet cos I had missed the value, so stuck a tenner on and put the wrong bloody horse on so had to redo it with the right one haha. Still got £35 profit so a winner overall

I finished the days racing off making a slight profit which for me is a result because I have really enjoyed an afternoon of racing undisturbed by work or life

 

[colinsunderland]

Sean expects Misty Mai to win the 3.20 at Hereford today.
Done £20 EW at Coral, if it gets placed its money back, profit for the win.

 

[geordiecolin]

Cheers Col. I usually have my bets placed early morning but not today. I've just altered my bets to include it

 

[colinsunderland]

Cheers Col. I usually have my bets placed early morning but not today. I've just altered my bets to include it

no pressure for me then for it to win lol

 

[Slottery]

no pressure for me then for it to win lol

Not at all, my few euros also to winner 5,7 at Betfair

 

[geordiecolin]

no pressure for me then for it to win lol

I never bet much on the horses so either way its all good

 

[colinsunderland]

Well what a crock of shit that was. I really hate it when they mess about with stuff close to the off. I know the race would likely be abandoned if it had been run on the proper track, but Misty Mai wanted bottomless ground, switching it to fresh grass meant it wasn't heavy and killed her chances.
Sorry to those who backed it, but you can't predict that type of thing happening

 

[cncas2123]

Well what a crock of shit that was. I really hate it when they mess about with stuff close to the off. I know the race would likely be abandoned if it had been run on the proper track, but Misty Mai wanted bottomless ground, switching it to fresh grass meant it wasn't heavy and killed her chances.
Sorry to those who backed it, but you can't predict that type of thing happening

You pay your money, you take your chance.... I for one love to see your tips , some win, some lose but most of the time we all get a run for our money.
So keep them coming @colinsunderland & @geordiecolin , I always look forward to seeing your tips/bets and if my horse can't win the race then I will always be cheering your's on.

 

[Slottery]

Happy to back few euros there and then, i think my RTP from this thread tips is over 100 Not even trying to find any winners myself, would be totally lost

 

[geordiecolin]

Well what a crock of shit that was. I really hate it when they mess about with stuff close to the off. I know the race would likely be abandoned if it had been run on the proper track, but Misty Mai wanted bottomless ground, switching it to fresh grass meant it wasn't heavy and killed her chances.
Sorry to those who backed it, but you can't predict that type of thing happening

The nag that I had originally selected is still running! I didn't even know that changing the track was an option?
Horses for courses so the saying goes!

 

[geordiecolin]

You pay your money, you take your chance.... I for one love to see your tips , some win, some lose but most of the time we all get a run for our money.
So keep them coming @colinsunderland & @geordiecolin , I always look forward to seeing your tips/bets and if my horse can't win the race then I will always be cheering your's on.

I used to be spend time with quite a few trainers and owners. I still do on occassion. The one thing that I have learnt over the years is not to trust every tip your given. These guys or usually over optimistic

 

[colinsunderland]

The nag that I had originally selected is still running! I didn't even know that changing the track was an option?
Horses for courses so the saying goes!

Nor did I, but they can and do move fences and hurdles so presumably its ok, this is what the racing post said before the race

Hereford latest: The Live Tipster - Hereford update
Bad news for fans of mares' novices' hurdles (there must presumably be at least one of you) as the last at Hereford has been cancelled. The 3.20 will be run on fresh ground, which may be bad news for Misty Mai as she would run a career-best on a ploughed field.

The previous race was a chase so it wouldn't have been fresh ground if it was ran on the same grass.

 

[colinsunderland]

I used to be spend time with quite a few trainers and owners. I still do on occassion. The one thing that I have learnt over the years is not to trust every tip your given. These guys or usually over optimistic

I agree, I am pretty good at sorting the wheat from the chaff usually, Cheltenham and the Grand National are the worst, you can get 10 horses in every race that the trainers and jockeys swear they will win

 

[geordiecolin]

I agree, I am pretty good at sorting the wheat from the chaff usually, Cheltenham and the Grand National are the worst, you can get 10 horses in every race that the trainers and jockeys swear they will win

I intend to be at both of those major meetings this year. I have a daughter in Cheltenham so it would be doubly sweet.
I was given a tip from an owner at Goodwood I think last year for his horse. I looked at the odds and form and thought "Feck off"
It romped home at 125/1
Edit. It was the year before

 

[colinsunderland]

In the veterans race today I like (3.00 S) Carole's Destrier EW at 16/1, however the career record of Vieux Lion Rouge below Class 1 level reads 1111111103011 (10/13), improving to 1111111111 (10/10) away from Cheltenham and he drops back down to Class 2 level today away from Cheltenham.

Good luck to anyone having a bet

 

[geordiecolin]

In the veterans race today I like (3.00 S) Carole's Destrier EW at 16/1, however the career record of Vieux Lion Rouge below Class 1 level reads 1111111103011 (10/13), improving to 1111111111 (10/10) away from Cheltenham and he drops back down to Class 2 level today away from Cheltenham.

Good luck to anyone having a bet

Bowen took the 1st at 12/1!

These are my bets for today.

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

• 
  4th Jan SANDOWN 13:20 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 4f 10y - Each Way
  9. Waikiki Waves9/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  4th Jan SANDOWN 14:25 NOVICES' HURDLE 1m 7f 216y - Each Way
  5. Silver Hallmark12/1
  E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places
• 
  4th Jan SANDOWN 15:00 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 0f 37y - Each Way
  10. Jepeck4/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
• 
  4th Jan SANDOWN 15:35 HANDICAP HURDLE 1m 7f 216y - Each Way
  4. Totterdown6/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
• And
  
  
  Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
  • 
    4th Jan CORK 12:50 2M HURDLE 2m - Each Way
    4. Capilano Bridge15/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    4th Jan CORK 13:25 3M HURDLE 3m - Each Way
    9. Minella Encore7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    4th Jan CORK 13:55 2M 4F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way
    10. Snugsborough Hall7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
    Rule 4: 10p DeductionMore
  • 
    4th Jan CORK 14:30 2M 4F CHASE 2m 4f - Each Way
    16. Goulane Jessie12/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• And
• Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
  • 
    4th Jan NEWCASTLE 13:30 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 7f 91y - Each Way
    4. Looks Like Murt6/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    4th Jan NEWCASTLE 15:10 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 0f 46y - Each Way
    7. Celtic Flames5/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • W
    4th Jan LINGFIELD 11:40 HANDICAP 1m 2f 0y - Each Way
    5. Crimewave9/45/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    4th Jan LINGFIELD 14:50 HANDICAP 1m 4f 0y - Each Way
    7. Battle Of Marathon11/2
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places
• Good luck today too

 

[colinsunderland]

I'll just forget today happened haha. How did yours get on Col, Sean had a 16/1 winner later in the day too, didn't back either as hadn't spoken to anyone so didn't know if they were fancied or not.

Tomorrow The Caller is back in action with Sean riding him, in the Sussex National at 2.40. The Caller is the horse I put up a couple of months back in the Durham National that won around 7/1 I think. Didn't run well last time, but Sean's back on board tomorrow and is worth an EW bet at 18/1 with Hills. Can see it being that price tomorrow, would expect it to start around the 10/1 mark max.

If Weststreet jumps ok then he has a good chance of getting placed too, around 20/1 at the moment.

 

[geordiecolin]

I'll just forget today happened haha. How did yours get on Col, Sean had a 16/1 winner later in the day too, didn't back either as hadn't spoken to anyone so didn't know if they were fancied or not.

Tomorrow The Caller is back in action with Sean riding him, in the Sussex National at 2.40. The Caller is the horse I put up a couple of months back in the Durham National that won around 7/1 I think. Didn't run well last time, but Sean's back on board tomorrow and is worth an EW bet at 18/1 with Hills. Can see it being that price tomorrow, would expect it to start around the 10/1 mark max.

If Weststreet jumps ok then he has a good chance of getting placed too, around 20/1 at the moment.

I just about made my money back Col. Too tired to sort my bets out for today

 

[colinsunderland]

Bit late, but in the 1.15 I don't think Irish Octave should be a 28-1 outsider of 7. Likes the ground, has won better races than this in the past, distance is ok, and all the others have comments like 'if he recovers previous form' next to them. Not saying it will win, but I also don't think he should be 33/1, more like 10/1 max. So will just have a couple of £ EW on him . He has drifted massively in the market from this morning though so it will only be a small bet.

 

[colinsunderland]

Bit unlucky there, fell a couple out when staying on in 5th, I'm fairly sure he would have got 2nd or 3rd if he hadn't fell so worth watching for next time out

 

[colinsunderland]

1.50 Warwick

Two For Gold, I think will win this. Highest Sun is the obvious one in the race, but he is currently on a mark of 142, which is pretty much ideal for Cheltenham, and if he gets beaten today, I'll probably have a small ante post bet on him. But if he wins, his mark will be too high for most the handicaps, and he isn't good enough for the RSA or similar, so I have a feeling they won't want him to win today. I might be wrong, but just what I think looking at the horses profile.

2.40 Kempton

Echiquier I think has a good EW chance at around 14/1 with 4 places. Also like Gortroe Joe, which has halved in price since last night to around 16/1.

2.25W Keen On seems too big at 5/1 (B365)

3.35W Total longshot that I think should run better than its odds suggest, is Connetable @ 150/1 Unibet (3 places) or 125/1 at some others with 4 places. Beware, running better than its odds means I think it won't finish last

Of Sean's 3 rides today, I have no idea. Judging from the market, I don't think George Valentine is expected to do much, and I assume he is there for Bobo Mac in the 3.00 as I don't think the other one will be good enough to win.

Good luck if you're having a bet today

 

[geordiecolin]

I have already taken one or two of your selections. I'm not that impressed with the fields today given that I am mostly an each way punter who prefers big fields with decent odds. So Fairyhouse has most of my money with smaller punts on the other lucky 15's
Good luck with your bets mate


11th Jan FAIRYHOUSE 13:00 2M 2 1/2F HURDLE 2m 2f 110yds - Each Way
7. Strange Notions11/4
E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

• 
  11th Jan FAIRYHOUSE 13:35 3M HCAP HURDLE 3m - Each Way
  10. Alohamora5/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  11th Jan FAIRYHOUSE 14:10 2M 1F HCAP CHASE 2m 1f - Each Way
  6. Avenir DUne Vie5/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places
• 
  11th Jan FAIRYHOUSE 14:45 2M 1F CHASE 2m 1f - Each Way
  1. Annamix13/2
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  
• And
  
  • 
    8. Bard Of Brittany9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
    Rule 4: 5p DeductionMore
  • 
    11th Jan WARWICK 13:50 NOVICES' CHASE 3m 0f 0y - Each Way
    5. Two For Gold10/3
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places
  • 
    11th Jan WARWICK 15:00 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 5f 54y - Each Way
    11. Petite Power12/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places
  • 
    11th Jan WARWICK 15:35 HANDICAP HURDLE 3m 1f 0y - Each Way
    11. Doc Penfro11/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
• And
  
  
• • 11th Jan KEMPTON 14:40 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 5f 0y - Each Way
    5. Larkbarrow Lad9/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
  • 
    11th Jan KEMPTON 15:15 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 0f 0y - Each Way
    8. Fingerontheswitch10/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    11th Jan KEMPTON 15:45 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 0f 0y - Each Way
    2. Golden Taipan7/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    11th Jan WETHERBY 15:25 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 0f 45y - Each Way
    1. Boa Island20/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• And
• • 11th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 16:15 5F STAKES 5f - Each Way
    1. Itsmabirthday9/10
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    11th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 18:15 1M 2F HCAP 1m 2f - Each Way
    1. Wimpole Hall4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    11th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 18:45 1M 2F STAKES 1m 2f - Each Way
    2. Cat Royale15/4
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
  • 
    11th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 19:15 6F STAKES 6f - Each Way
    11. Valley Belle16/5
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places