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Horse Racing & Tips Thread

Nicky Henderson is in amazing form at the moment, his last 16 runners in the last 7 days, have produced form figures of 22141211261PU1111. He has 3 runners today 12.20 Chasamax, 1.30 Versatlity and Morning Vicar in the 2.40, all at Kempton. Prices aren't great at 7/4, 7/4, 10/3, but a treble pays about 31.5/1. I do think James Bowen is riding poorly at the moment (although he did ride a winner for Henderson recently) and Jeremiah McGrath isn't riding well at the moment either, so won't be going overboard with the stake. Another one of interest is Global Tour in the 3.50, has decent form and Fergal O'Brien is another trainer in good form and his only runner today.
 
Unlucky Col, that would have been a massive payout, still about £500 for a 50p (£7.50) stake was it?

I got a text this morning saying Sean is at Exeter for Megaudais Speed in the 1.25, which the betting sort of backs up (50/1 into 20/1), however on all it's form so far I can't see how it will get close to getting placed. His other ride has more of a chance in my view. around the same price, is obviously thought to be ok, considering he was sent off the 15/8 fav in his first chase start, which was a better race than this.
 
colinsunderland said:
Unlucky Col, that would have been a massive payout, still about £500 for a 50p (£7.50) stake was it?

I got a text this morning saying Sean is at Exeter for Megaudais Speed in the 1.25, which the betting sort of backs up (50/1 into 20/1), however on all it's form so far I can't see how it will get close to getting placed. His other ride has more of a chance in my view. around the same price, is obviously thought to be ok, considering he was sent off the 15/8 fav in his first chase start, which was a better race than this.
Click to expand...

Seans other horse has quite to improve from last two, if has got everything together and it was just two bad ones after promising start, could do well today. Will throw my few euros to win and place :thumbsup:
 
colinsunderland said:
Unlucky Col, that would have been a massive payout, still about £500 for a 50p (£7.50) stake was it?

I got a text this morning saying Sean is at Exeter for Megaudais Speed in the 1.25, which the betting sort of backs up (50/1 into 20/1), however on all it's form so far I can't see how it will get close to getting placed. His other ride has more of a chance in my view. around the same price, is obviously thought to be ok, considering he was sent off the 15/8 fav in his first chase start, which was a better race than this.
Click to expand...
yes the return was just over that. It looks like Sean had no luck today
 
Bit of a longshot, but in the 1.55 at Cheltenham, Willie Mullins has his only runner of the meeting, Robin Des Foret. It has been running in decent races, usually getting placed or winning, likes soft/heavy ground, and is ok at the distance. Unlike his brother, I'm not really a massive fan of James Bowen, but he can pop the odd winner in, and had a 20/1 winner last week. He very rarely rides for Mullins, so that added to the fact its Mullins only runner there today, and he didn't have one running yesterday either, seems to be a long way to send one horse, if he isn't expected to take some prize money home.

Probably not the one to go overboard on, but could find worse horses to stick in an EW multiple to make the numbers up.

Currently around 18/1
 
colinsunderland said:
Bit of a longshot, but in the 1.55 at Cheltenham, Willie Mullins has his only runner of the meeting, Robin Des Foret. It has been running in decent races, usually getting placed or winning, likes soft/heavy ground, and is ok at the distance. Unlike his brother, I'm not really a massive fan of James Bowen, but he can pop the odd winner in, and had a 20/1 winner last week. He very rarely rides for Mullins, so that added to the fact its Mullins only runner there today, and he didn't have one running yesterday either, seems to be a long way to send one horse, if he isn't expected to take some prize money home.

Probably not the one to go overboard on, but could find worse horses to stick in an EW multiple to make the numbers up.

Currently around 18/1
Click to expand...
I've taken generous day in the 1.55.
I took shine baby shine EW in the 12.15 at newcastle at 12-1 and it would have won if it wasnt given such a god awful ride
I think its a great day for racing.
Here are my bigger bets
  • 14th Dec CHELTENHAM 13:55 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 4f 127y - Each Way
    14. Generous Day25/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places

  • 14th Dec CHELTENHAM 14:30 NOVICES' HURDLE 2m 7f 213y - Each Way
    5. Mossy Fen4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec CHELTENHAM 15:05 EVENT 2m 0f 179y - Each Way
    5. Pentland Hills5/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec CHELTENHAM 15:40 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 4f 56y - Each Way
    10. Queens Cave8/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places
And
  • 14th Dec CHELTENHAM 12:10 EVENT 2m 0f 179y - Each Way
    1. Langer Dan4/15/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec CHELTENHAM 13:20 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 0f 62y - Each Way
    5. Croco Bay8/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec DONCASTER 13:35 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 0f 128y - Each Way
    8. Curramore13/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec NEWCASTLE 12:50 EVENT 2m 0f 56y - Each Way
    7. Sir Chauvelin12/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
And
  • 14th Dec NEWCASTLE 12:15 HANDICAP 2m 0f 56y - Each Way
    4. Shine Baby Shine12/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places

  • 14th Dec NEWCASTLE 13:25 EVENT 1m 4f 98y - Each Way
    4. Sharp Suited15/8
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec NEWCASTLE 14:00 CLASSIFIED STAKES 1m 4f 98y - Each Way
    9. Traditional Dancer7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec NEWCASTLE 15:45 HANDICAP 0m 5f 0y - Each Way
    12. Rockley Point6/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places
And

  • 14th Dec HEREFORD 13:10 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 1f 44y - Each Way
    9. Heavenly Promise7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec HEREFORD 14:55 HANDICAP HURDLE 3m 1f 119y - Each Way
    4. North Star Oscar10/3
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places

  • 14th Dec WOLVERHAMPTON 17:50 HANDICAP 0m 7f 36y - Each Way
    1. Zafaranah7/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec WOLVERHAMPTON 18:20 HANDICAP 0m 6f 20y - Each Way
    11. Brockey Rise14/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
And

  • 14th Dec WOLVERHAMPTON 18:50 HANDICAP 0m 6f 20y - Each Way
    6. Total Commitment5/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec WOLVERHAMPTON 19:20 HANDICAP 1m 1f 104y - Each Way
    8. Sunshineandbubbles7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec WOLVERHAMPTON 19:50 HANDICAP 1m 1f 104y - Each Way
    4. Sea Fox7/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec WOLVERHAMPTON 20:20 HANDICAP 1m 4f 51y - Each Way
    3. Lord Howard3/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places
And my most hopeful bet...

  • 14th Dec FAIRYHOUSE 13:05 2M HCAP HURDLE 2m - Each Way
    2. My Manekineko10/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec FAIRYHOUSE 13:40 2M 7F HURDLE 2m 7f - Each Way
    1. Osmotic10/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 14th Dec FAIRYHOUSE 14:15 2M 7F HCAP HURDLE 2m 7f - Each Way
    11. Mlily9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places

  • 14th Dec FAIRYHOUSE 14:50 2M 7F HCAP HURDLE 2m 7f - Each Way
    5. Howaya Aoife9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places
Good luck with yours Col
 
colinsunderland said:
yesterdays was 3rd at 16/1
Carlo Rocks should win the 12.10 this afternoon, currently about 5/2
Click to expand...
That tip was quite a nice touch Col!
I didn't fair too well yesterday but this week was kind to me. I'm about to drag my lazy arse to the shops for my paper and I'll be back with my selections for today.

Incidently I love the maverick light on Roker seafront that refuses to conform to the rainbow theme :)
 
geordiecolin said:
That tip was quite a nice touch Col!
I didn't fair too well yesterday but this week was kind to me. I'm about to drag my lazy arse to the shops for my paper and I'll be back with my selections for today.

Incidently I love the maverick light on Roker seafront that refuses to conform to the rainbow theme :)
Click to expand...

Yeah yesterday wasn't the easiest day :(
got a 14/1 winner with it in the next race so got £26 back from my 50p EW lucky 15.

Haha yeah I've seen that :D you been down this morning?
 
colinsunderland said:
Yeah yesterday wasn't the easiest day :(
got a 14/1 winner with it in the next race so got £26 back from my 50p EW lucky 15.

Haha yeah I've seen that :D you been down this morning?
Click to expand...
Only in Ireland can you have 23 runners and a 1/3 fav! (the first race at Navan)
I was in Roker a few times last week Col
These are my selections for today

Lucky15 EW
  • 15th Dec NAVAN 11:30 2M HURDLE 2m - Each Way
    11. Belfast Banter18/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 15th Dec NAVAN 12:30 2M 4F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way
    5. Top Moon3/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places

  • 15th Dec NAVAN 13:00 2M 4F HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way
    9. Run Wild Fred7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 15th Dec NAVAN 14:35 3M HCAP CHASE 3m - Each Way
    10. Glorious Galway4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
And

Luck15 EW
  • 5th Dec CARLISLE 11:50 NOVICES' HURDLE 2m 1f 0y - Each Way
    2. Mister Manduro10/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 15th Dec CARLISLE 12:20 NOVICE'S HANDICAP CHASE 1m 7f 207y - Each Way
    4. Lastin Memories85/40
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places

  • 15th Dec CARLISLE 15:00 FLAT 2m 1f 0y - Each Way
    8. Movinon Up3/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places

  • 15th Dec CARLISLE 15:30 FLAT 2m 1f 0y - Each Way
    6. Offtheshoulder9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places
I rarely go on the nose but todays fields at Southwell is a bit sparse so


Lucky 15 (x15)

  • 15th Dec SOUTHWELL 12:40 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 4f 62y - Win
    2. Nautical Twilight5/4

  • 15th Dec SOUTHWELL 13:10 MAIDEN HURDLE 1m 7f 153y - Win
    6. Stonific11/4

  • 15th Dec SOUTHWELL 14:15 HANDICAP HURDLE 1m 7f 153y - Win
    7. Darling Du Large9/2

  • 15th Dec SOUTHWELL 14:50 MAIDEN HURDLE 2m 7f 209y - Win
    6. Whatsdastory9/5
 
Bobo Mac in the 2.35 Ludlow is Sean's only ride of the day, and his first since 30th November. Not massively far from where he lives but still around a 3 hour drive. So that in itself makes me think he's not going there without expecting some prize money. Bit of a negative is the lack of money on Betfair for it, as a lot of Sean's rides get backed in regardless of if they are expected to win, and the trainer (who I've never seen Sean ride for before) is out of form, with his best result in the last 14 days being a 3rd, from 10 runners in that time. Wouldn't go overboard on it but will be having a small bet on it :)

In the 2.50 Lingfield, The Jean Genie looks good EW at around 7/1. Just beaten in its last race, which was better than this, hit the front too early and was just beaten by something coming from behind. With a better, and in form, jockey on today I think he has a great chance of winning this, especially as the first 2 in the betting are nothing special.

2 big priced ones for tonight that have a better than expected chance are Followthefootsteps in the 7.15 and Glorious Charmer in the 6.15, 14/1 and 33/1 respectively.
 
Just had the most bizarre afternoon ended up depositing £45 not even ONE place horse was in shock then I got four winners in last hour ended up with £44.

How strange this game is.
 
lol, at least you got your money back.
Sean's horse just wasn't good enough to beat the other favourite, but did beat the rest of the field easily.
The Jean Genie finished lame so excuse for that, worth watching for next time it's out :)
 
Another one, Duc Des Genievres in the 2.30 at Kempton. Bit risky as he hasn't been running well this season, but the 2 ahead of him in the market have serious questions about them. Sceau Royal is unlikely to like the ground and I don't think Capeland has done that much to be the deserved favourite in the race. Currently around 11/4.
Solar Heights in the 3.40 Wolves should do better than his price suggests too. Was 6/1 a couple of hours ago, now best priced 7/2
 
Not the best day, Sean's 1st one won at 9/2, then he didn't ride the second one, which came 5th.
Duc Des Genievres came second, I was right about the 2 at the front of the market as he beat both those,
Solar Heights didn't do anything
 
A speculative (very) small bet, £2 RFC on the 2 outsiders in the 2.05 Leicester. The 1/16 favourite is clearly the best horse in the race by far, but has never ran over fences, and 3 horse races regularly throw up weird results. Forecast won't pay massive as although they are 11/1 and 20/1, 3 horse races reduce the return quite a lot, I would imagine around £50 max.

In the 3.10 at Leopardstown, I know the owners of Kemboy and they expect him to win, but I also like Road to Respect, and I can't see him being out the first 3, and expect he will give Kemboy a run for his money.

I was told yesterday they expect Benarty Hill to win the 2.30 at Catterick, but the fact he was 12/1 when I looked and no money on Betfair put me off. Wish it hadn't as now its a best price of 9/2 with almost 50% of the trading on Betfair on him.

Good luck anyone having a bet today :)
 
I love the Irish racing because the usual big fields suit my each way betting.
I have taken Road to Respect also. I intend to chill out this afternoon and watch the sports :)

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 12:15 2M 4 1/2F HURDLE 2m 4f 75yds - Each Way
    18. Trevena15/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 12:50 3M HCAP HURDLE 3m - Each Way
    5. A Great View12/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 6 Places

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 13:25 2M 5F CHASE 2m 5f - Each Way
    10. Walk Away4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 14:00 3M HURDLE 3m - Each Way
    5. Penhill7/2
And

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 14:35 2M 4 1/2F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f 75yds - Each Way
    13. Punitive8/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 6 Places

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 15:10 3M CHASE 3m - Each Way
    9. Road To Respect9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LIMERICK 14:50 2M 4F HCAP CHASE 2m 3f 160yds - Each Way
    12. Minella Times5/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places

  • 28th Dec LEOPARDSTOWN 14:00 3M HURDLE 3m - Each Way
    5. Penhill7/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
And

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
28th Dec LIMERICK 12:30 2M HURDLE 2m - Each Way
10. Jason The Militant
11/4
E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
28th Dec LIMERICK 13:05 2M 5F HURDLE 2m 5f - Each Way
8. Fou Diligence
3/1
E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
28th Dec LIMERICK 13:40 2M 5F HCAP HURDLE 2m 5f - Each Way
14. Frere Fontaine
15/4
E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 4 Places
28th Dec LIMERICK 14:15 3M HCAP HURDLE 3m - Each Way
10. Frankly All Talk
9/2
E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places

And

First horse won at 6-1

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
  • W
    28th Dec LINGFIELD 11:55 HANDICAP 0m 7f 1y - Each Way
    10. Maqboola11/46/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LINGFIELD 12:25 EVENT 0m 7f 1y - Each Way
    4. Cesifire7/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LINGFIELD 13:35 HANDICAP 0m 6f 1y - Each Way
    8. Real Estate7/1
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LEICESTER 15:45 HANDICAP CHASE 1m 7f 201y - Each Way
    5. Finnegans Garden4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

And
Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
  • P
    28th Dec NEWBURY 12:05 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 0f 69y - Each Way
    12. Drewmain Legend4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places

  • 28th Dec NEWBURY 12:40 EVENT 2m 0f 69y - Each Way
    17. Scorched Earth10/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec NEWBURY 13:15 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 0f 92y - Each Way
    6. Defi Sacre16/5
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec NEWBURY 13:50 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 4f 118y - Each Way
    6. Sevarano9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
And

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

  • 28th Dec NEWBURY 14:25 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 1f 214y - Each Way
    2. Copperhead10/3
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec NEWBURY 15:35 NOVICE'S HANDICAP CHASE 2m 6f 93y - Each Way
    1. Tidal Flow9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec LEICESTER 15:15 HANDICAP HURDLE 1m 7f 113y - Each Way
    5. Masters Apprentice5/2
    E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places

  • 28th Dec LINGFIELD 14:10 HANDICAP 1m 4f 0y - Each Way
    1. Arabic Culture9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
And
Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

  • 28th Dec CATTERICK 12:45 MAIDEN HURDLE 2m 3f 66y - Each Way
    5. Quart De Garde5/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec CATTERICK 13:20 NOVICE'S HANDICAP CHASE 1m 7f 145y - Each Way
    8. Getaway North11/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec CATTERICK 14:30 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 1f 54y - Each Way
    9. Benarty Hill4/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

  • 28th Dec CATTERICK 15:05 HANDICAP HURDLE 3m 1f 71y - Each Way
    7. Maison DOr10/3
Good luck with your bets :)
 

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