Horse Racing & Tips Thread

[Slottery]

Be surprised if Sean doesn't win on Acting Lass in the 2.40H, currently 6/1

Let's take this one to pay my beers tonight
7/1 at BF

 

[geordiecolin]

Not the best price, but if the ground is truly heavy, Un De Sceaux should beat the favourite in the 3.35

Battle Of Marathon should win the 1.00L (7/2 currently)

Be surprised if Sean doesn't win on Acting Lass in the 2.40H, currently 6/1

I took Midnight tune in the 2.40 cos I think it has another win in it.

My big bet today is yet again at the Irish meeting. But the other bets have got off to a decent start

• 18th Jan NAVAN 13:20 2M 4F HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way
  11. Young Ted4/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan NAVAN 13:55 2M 4F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way
  1. Kilfenora7/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
  Rule 4: 25p DeductionMore
• 
  18th Jan NAVAN 15:05 3M CHASE 3m - Each Way
  3. Captain Cj6/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan NAVAN 15:40 3M HCAP CHASE 3m - Each Way
  5. Open To The World6/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places

And

• 18th Jan LINGFIELD 13:35 HANDICAP 1m 0f 1y - Each Way
  6. Maqboola3/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• P
  18th Jan LINGFIELD 12:30 HANDICAP 1m 2f 0y - Each Way
  4. Hard Toffee17/212/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan LINGFIELD 15:20 HANDICAP 0m 6f 1y - Each Way
  4. Lalania4/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan LINGFIELD 15:50 HANDICAP 0m 6f 1y - Each Way
  8. Dreamboat Annie15/4
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

And

• 18th Jan TAUNTON 13:05 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 1y - Each Way
  5. Neetside9/25/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 5 Places
• 
  18th Jan TAUNTON 13:40 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 0f 104y - Each Way
  2. Jackson Hill4/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan TAUNTON 15:25 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 1y - Each Way
  5. Sleep Easy10/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan TAUNTON 15:55 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 5f 150y - Each Way
  3. Loveherandleaveher2/1

And

• 18th Jan ASCOT 14:25 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 58y - Each Way
  6. Bold Plan5/2
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan HAYDOCK 14:40 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 1f 125y - Each Way
  9. Midnight Tune13/2
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 4 Places
• 
  18th Jan HAYDOCK 15:45 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 0f 67y - Each Way
  8. Fiddlers Bow20/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan HAYDOCK 16:15 HANDICAP HURDLE 3m 0f 58y - Each Way
  1. Takingrisks10/1
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places

And finally

• 18th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 17:15 7F STAKES 7f - Each Way
  1. Elmejor15/8
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 18:15 6F HCAP 6f - Each Way
  4. Katheefa11/2
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 19:45 2M HCAP 2m - Each Way
  8. Bill Cody9/2
  E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
• 
  18th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 19:15 1M HCAP 1m - Each Way
  1. Strawberry Jack5/2
  E/W Terms: 1/4 Odds | 2 Places

Good luck with your bets

 

[colinsunderland]

Not the best day, first one doubled in price to 11/2 but still managed to get second, and I think the jockey should have started the run slightly earlier which cost him the race. Sean's. pulled up but wasn't ever looking like it would win. I'm convinced Un De Sceaux will win though so stuck another bet on, to cover the days losses, so all or nothing here lol

 

[colinsunderland]

ffs
typical saturday lol
the winner was very impressive though!

 

[steveh35]

I gave up at 3pm a few places but not much else.

 

[colinsunderland]

Guardia Top (2.25D) is Sean's only ride for the day, at a track he doesn't usually travel to, for a trainer he rarely rides for. It's a step up in class for the horse, but the same can be said for one of the favourite's, Galice Macaolo, who was looking like he might beat Midnight's Gift in their last race, when he fell at the last. Either of the fav's might beat Sean's, but I don't think both will, and think they might take each other on and set the race up for Sean to come through towards the end.

I wouldn't say I'm confident of a win, but am pretty confident of it getting placed and has a chance to win. Going to put £20 EW on it with BetVictor @ 13/2, which is the best price available at the moment, 6/1 generally elswehere.

Although the market hasn't really got going yet, to back it at Betfair it is only 7.2 which is lower than BV, more so taking into account fees and the fact its win only, something that suggests there is possibly market confidence behind it.

Predicting price movements is mainly guesswork, despite what some people say, but I wouldn't be surprised if this starts around 9/2 - 5/1.

Good luck anyone having a bet today.

 

[Slottery]

Although the market hasn't really got going yet, to back it at Betfair it is only 7.2 which is lower than BV, more so taking into account fees and the fact its win only, something that suggests there is possibly market confidence behind it.

Got only 6.4 now :/ Let's see if dropping a lot can remove red before start

 

[colinsunderland]

Got only 6.4 now :/ Let's see if dropping a lot can remove red before start

Yes, obviously the bookies have seen my amazing record and are running scared, half an hour after posting its 9/2 in most places with a top price of 5/1 lol

 

[colinsunderland]

2nd at 11/4 so happy with that

 

[Slottery]

Not a bad run (saw only the end though), better tiny profit from place than loss, thanks @colinsunderland

 

[colinsunderland]

Not a bad run (saw only the end though), better tiny profit from place than loss, thanks @colinsunderland

yep, that was why I posted really, I wasn't sure it would win, but was reasonably certain it would place, meaning a small profit if it did, but a decent one if it did actually win. It more than halved in price (13/2-11/4) so clearly it was fancied, unfortunately this time it didn't result in a payday

Couple of things for tomorrow

Imperial Aura is going for the Close Bothers at Cheltenham (currently 25/1), but needs at least a 3lb rise (probably 4 or 5) in the weights to get in. He's running in the 1.15 tomorrow, so must be there to try to win. Currently around 3/1 for tomorrows race. I'll decide in the morning but I might put a small bet on Betfair Exchange tomorrow for Cheltenham too, with a view to lay back off, as if he wins impressively tomorrow I think he will drop to around 14/1, short term at least, so a chance to lay back, and lock in a free bet. Of course it all fails if he gets beat lol. He is getting backed in at the moment though.

Burbank is running in the 3.15 and currently around 9/1. Not one I would have confidence in, as he either runs really well, or really bad. Also entered at Cheltenham, but I have a feeling tomorrow is the target, as don't think he will win at Cheltenham. Tomorrows race is £56k for the winner so not a shabby prize.

 

[colinsunderland]

Just another quick one, Betfair sportsbook has priced up settle pettle in the 5.30 tomorrow at 33/1. Bet365 are 10/1. Theres a very good chance the price will end up settling at around 16/1 at some point, so the chance for a small profit by laying at a lower price on the exchange.

Edit - paddypower same price

 

[colinsunderland]

Settle Pettal's price at Betfair SB is now 12/1 and is currently available to back at 15.0 on the exchange so that didn't last long!

Having looked a little more at tomorrow's racing also like King Roland in the 3.00 and think Rebecca Curtis will have at least one winner, possibly 2, out of her 2 at Uttoxeter, short prices though.

 

[colinsunderland]

A few longer priced ones for my EW Lucky 15

3.35C Clearly, If The Cap Fits and more so, Paisley Park are the two obvious choices, but L'Ami Serge has the form to win this. Obviously today might not be his day, but at 14/1 is worth an EW bet.

12.20D Dr Richard Newland has hit a little form this week and Bbold looks like its worth a bet to get placed at least, around 7/1

1.30D Very First Time 5/1, if he jumps better than last time, he should win this fairly easily.

1.50C Count Meribel is currently around 8/1, backed in from around 12/1. It has had as much money traded on it on Betfair as the current favourite, which, considering he is 6th in the market, is significant. Seems to usually run well after a break and has had a couple of months off.

Good luck today

oh, settle pettle is now 9/1

 

[steveh35]

My barren spell is finally over thanks to Mr Shady. 7-1 thank goodness. even better i had 10-1 sp guarantee

 

[steveh35]

Going to try Dakota Moirette e/w 1.00 Fairyhouse

 

[Slottery]

Have to educate myself bit more about horse betting, i have no idea what these Lucky 15 and other cool systems are you guys are betting (yes, can assume it's some kind of acca but how these different bets exactly work), can anyone recommend any website where these would be explained?

Then i stop all work related stuff from my life and just get rich with your horse tips

 

[steveh35]

Brilliant recovery from Lorcan Williams in 1.55 Uttoxeter amazing how he got back on the saddle to finish.

 

[colinsunderland]

I didn't see any racing today, but seen my balance so guessing I had maybe one winner, or a couple placed, typical Saturday at the office lol

@Slottery

Single: A Single is one bet on one selection. Your selection must be successful to have a return

Double: A Double is one bet on two selections in different events. Both selections must be successful to have a return

Treble: A Treble is one bet on three selections in different events. All three selections must be successful to have a return

Trixie: A Trixie consists of four bets on three selections in different events i.e. 3 doubles and 1 treble. Two or more selections must be successful to have a return. Remember a €1/£1 trixie costs €4/£4.

Patent: A Patent consists of seven bets on three selections in different events i.e 3 singles, 1 on each selection, 3 doubles and 1 treble. One or more selections must be successful to have a return. Remember a €1/£1 patent costs €7/£7.

Fourfold Accumulator: A fourfold accumulator is one bet on four selections in different events. All four selections must be successful to have a return.

Yankee: A Yankee consists of eleven bets on four selections in different events i.e. 6 Doubles, 4 Trebles and 1 fourfold accumulator. Two or more selections must be successful to have a return. A €1/£1 Yankee costs €11/£11.

Lucky 15: A Lucky 15 is similar to a yankee but also has singles. It consists of fifteen bets on four selections in different events i.e. 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 fourfold accumulator. One or more selection must be successful to have a return. If you only have one winner then Boylesports will double the price of that selection (only applies to Horse/Greyhound Racing Lucky 15s placed online. Void selections do not count as losers. Bonus applies to win part of each-way bets only.) A €1/£1 Lucky 15 costs €15/£15.

Fivefold Accumulator: A fivefold accumulator is one bet on five selections. All five selections must be successful to have a return.

Super Yankee: (sometimes called a Canadian) A Super Yankee consists of twenty-six bets on five selections i.e. 10 doubles, 10 trebles, 5 fourfold accumulators and 1 fivefold accumulator. Two or more selections must be successful to have a return A €1/£1 super Yankee costs €26/£26.

Lucky 31: A Lucky 31 is similar to a super-yankee but also has singles. It consists of thirty-one bets on five selections in different events i.e. 5 singles, 10 doubles, 10 trebles 5 fourfold accumulators and one fivefold accumulator. One or more selection must be successful to have a return. A €1/£1 Lucky 31 costs €31/£31.

Sixfold Accumulator: A sixfold accumulator is one bet on six selections. All six selections must be successful to have a return.

A Heinz: A Heinz consists of fifty-seven bets on six selections i.e. 15 doubles, 20 trebles, 15 fourfold accumulators, 6 fivefold accumulators, and 1 sixfold accumulator. Two or more selections must be successful to have a return. A €1/£1 Heinz costs €57/£57.

Sevenfold Accumulator: A sevenfold accumulator is one bet on seven selections. All seven selections must be successful to have a return.

Lucky 63: A Lucky 63 is similar to a Heinz but also has singles. It consists of sixty-three bets on six selections in different events i.e. 6 singles, 15 doubles, 20 trebles, 15 fourfold accumulators, 6 fivefold accumulators, and 1 sixfold accumulator. One or more selection must be successful to have a return. A €1/£1 Lucky 63 costs €63/£63.

Super-Heinz: A Super-Heinz consists of 120 bets on seven selections i.e. 21 doubles, 35 trebles, 35 fourfold accumulators, 21 fivefold accumulators, 7 sixfold accumulators, and 1 sevenfold accumulators. Two or more selections must be successful to have a return. A €1/£1 Super-Heinz costs €120/£120.

Eightfold Accumulator: An eightfold accumulator is one bet on eight selections. All eight selections must be successful to have a return.

A Goliath: A Goliath consists of 247 bets on eight selections i.e. 28 doubles, 56 trebles, 70 fourfold accumulators, 56 fivefold accumulators, 28 sixfold accumulators, 8 sevenfold accumulators and 1 eightfold accumulators. Two or more selections must be successful to have a return. A €1/£1 Goliath costs €247/£247.

Combination Forecast: A Combination Forecast is a bet where the customer can choose three or more selections in one event, two of which must finish 1st and 2nd in any order. In effect a combination forecast is a series of straight forecast bets and therefore requires multiple stakes according to the number of selections specified.

Tricast: A Tricast is a bet that involves correctly predicting the first, second and third place in a particular event. The number of bets depends on the number of selections. A tricast is normally available on handicap races of 8 or more runners in Horse Racing events and Greyhound Races when all six dogs run.

Combination Tricast: A Combination Tricast is a bet where the customer can choose a number of selections in a tricast race, any three of which must finish 1st, 2nd and 3rd in any order. In effect a combination tricast is a series of straight tricast bets and therefore requires multiple stakes according to the number of selections specified.

 

[colinsunderland]

Just had a look at what happened to Imperial Aura. He will easily be raised 4lbs for that, and considering they were 11l clear of the rest of a good field, was unlucky to run into one slightly better on the day. Has been cut to 14/1.
Something else to come from today for Cheltenham is that Glenloe looks a decent bet for the Kim Muir at 7/1 as Ok Corral won't get in now.

 

[Slottery]

Thanks @colinsunderland, haven't hear some of these bet types names before Will educate myself

 

[colinsunderland]

Bit late, and don't have time to say why, but think School Lane has a decent chance of being placed at least in the 3.50 at Down Royal

 

[nutnut]

their is a horse running friday in the last at chepstow called CROSSING THE LINES. A video of it on Youtube winning a P2P by about 20 lengths without coming off the bridle.

Apparently rated very highly, looks very tough race to start off in, but hopefully keep the price decent. Don't follow much P2P but this one looked a great horse for the future.

 

[colinsunderland]

their is a horse running friday in the last at chepstow called CROSSING THE LINES. A video of it on Youtube winning a P2P by about 20 lengths without coming off the bridle.

Apparently rated very highly, looks very tough race to start off in, but hopefully keep the price decent. Don't follow much P2P but this one looked a great horse for the future.

the second in that race, Pegase Amour, was supposed to run in the 3.50 today but is a non runner.

 

[colinsunderland]

Not a tip for today as such, but Freedom To Dream was expected to win the bumper at limerick easily today. He couldn't run as he is stuck in America at the moment, but will be worth looking at next time it runs.