32Red - Dodgy Blackjack?

[Avatar73]

I did mention that you were not slamming the casino in particular.. but moreso the game in question. (and I cannot change the name of the thread!)

ok! soz! also i realise this but any mods how happen to think the same as you (and now me!) will already have their answer.

Hmmm, I think i would probably hit and then start hitting again - but this time the desk, and if i drew a 10!

 

[tim5ny]

ok! soz! also i realise this but any mods how happen to think the same as you (and now me!) will already have their answer.

Hmmm, I think i would probably hit and then start hitting again - but this time the desk, and if i drew a 10!

Sorry if it seems like I'm picking on you! You seem like a nice guy, and that wasn't my intention. I just wanted to add my 2cents about Microgaming software being the same no matter where you play.

 

[Avatar73]

Sorry if it seems like I'm picking on you! You seem like a nice guy, and that wasn't my intention. I just wanted to add my 2cents about Microgaming software being the same no matter where you play.

lol, no problemo! thanks... you're dead right as well. It's easy to equate software and casino, but also important to seperate them when making a point!

Casino name = C/S, bonuses, payments.
Software = Dodgey games, glitches, unfairness.

Right, got it now! O

 

[ThodorisK]

Here's the calculator you want:

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put 11.3 in the box "standard deviation per 100 hands".

 

[NASHVEGAS]

I would be very afraid to deviate from the mathematically best play, so I would make certain I made the play with the highest EV.

Just a couple curveballs pursuant to the thread, in a B&M, counting (even a simple hi/lo) determines the best EV for hitting your 12 against the dealer's 2 and 3 and a possible deviation from even the optimal EV (basic strategy)....... In a BJ game where you can not surrender your 16 against the dealers 9,10 or A ,every basic strategy card or similiar will dictate a hit. However, consider holding on a 3 card 16 against the dealer's 10 that includes a 4 and/or 5 especially the smaller number of decks being played. It will make very little difference mathematically in the long term but is actually the proper play. This does not assume any counting just a proper variation of basic strategy that does not show on any simple basic strategy cards.

 

[Avatar73]

Here's the calculator you want:

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put 11.3 in the box "standard deviation per 100 hands".

Thanks! So.... Risk of Ruin = 14.656%

So busting 4 times in a row, is 0.14656^4 = 0.00046138325148368896

Or 1 in 2167.

Is that unlucky or is that dodgey maths !?

 

[aka23]

Thanks! So.... Risk of Ruin = 14.656%

So busting 4 times in a row, is 0.14656^4 = 0.00046138325148368896

Or 1 in 2167.

Is that unlucky or is that dodgey maths !?

I very much doubt risk of ruin is 14.7% for this situation, as the tables on both Wizard's site and my site estimate nearly double that for the bet = 2 case. The result should be nearly 28%.

 

[NASHVEGAS]

I very much doubt risk of ruin is 14.7% for this situation, as the tables on both Wizard's site and my site estimate nearly double that for the bet = 2 case. The result should be nearly 28%.

I saw that figure and said I gotta quit cause my academia obviously failed me, going to demand all my tution be refunded a la a Actor Edward........TX, AKA for setting the record straight as that is the approximate figure I calculated but I do not know why I wasted my time because I really do know my RoR is 100% and 99% for others. All this mumbo jumbo! This aiinnn'ttt MIT or even Stanford (congrats on your big win this past w-e).

 

[Avatar73]

Ok for arguments sake say that chance of busy is 30%.

4 times in a row, 0.3^4 = 0.0081 or 0.81%

And then what happens today? I try vegas single deck at betDirect and lose 45 over 1000 hands!

Plus in 500 hands of pai-gow somewhere else, I lost 60

I'm not complaning as such..... but it does suck to get on the bad side of mr. variance!

At lease my video poker is behaving itself at the moment .... for the moment, anyway!

I'm jus hacked off with pouring $$$ in to an autoplay with seemingly only 1 outcome! Did they suddenly hijack the strategy tables!?

 

[EasyRhino]

I prefer MG's single deck games for a few reasons:

1) lower edge
2) possibility of using composition-dependent strategy
3) Most importantly, I think these probably have reduced variance. There's no possibility of having one hand baloon into a monster with 4 splits and a double on each hand. The most than any one hand can do is be double in size.

If you're betting a sizable chunk of your total, it's useful to have a better handle on what your max bet might be.

 

[aka23]

This aiinnn'ttt MIT or even Stanford (congrats on your big win this past w-e).

"Or even Stanford"? I had a professor an engineering professor at Stanford who called MIT "the Stanford of the east." Stanford is just as good as MIT in several tech fields. For example, an article in MITs newsletter brags about their grad school being rated #2 in the country in my field... Stanford was rated #1.

 

[NASHVEGAS]

"Or even Stanford"? I had a professor an engineering professor at Stanford who called MIT "the Stanford of the east." Stanford is just as good as MIT in several tech fields. For example, an article in MITs newsletter brags about their grad school being rated #2 in the country in my field... Stanford was rated #1.

You know that and obviously I know they are both for the best of the best, but I mentioned MIT first not on account that it is not necessarily "the Stanford of the East." but most at this gambling forum should associate MIT with BJ than I assume your alma mater (and currently Stanford is actually known for upsetting the #1 football team, USC, in the country this past w-e rather than it's Numbero Uno academic programs,aiiinnnn'ttttt somethings just crazy at times). So now I hope all is well in the world

 

[Avatar73]

hmmm ... well, that's all American, and all the same to me!

 

[Simmo!]

but most at this gambling forum should associate MIT with BJ

I associate them with

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for what it's worth

 

[aka23]

You know that and obviously I know they are both for the best of the best, but I mentioned MIT first not on account that it is not necessarily "the Stanford of the East." but most at this gambling forum should associate MIT with BJ than I assume your alma mater (and currently Stanford is actually known for upsetting the #1 football team, USC, in the country this past w-e rather than it's Numbero Uno academic programs,aiiinnnn'ttttt somethings just crazy at times). So now I hope all is well in the world

Many associate Stanford with BJ too. Stanford Wong has a PhD from Stanford. His birth name is John Furgison. He chose the pen name "Stanford" after the school. I've seen his name mentioned on the forum a few times, as well as all the main BJ sites. Wong is a key figure in the world of card counting and is responsible for one of the main strategies ("wonging") that made the famous MIT BJ teams successful.

Stanford places a surprising degree of emphasis on sports, with their academic reputation. They do well in many of the lesser known sports, often winning several national championships per year, but generally not football. It's good to see their win with against USC.

 

[NASHVEGAS]

Many associate Stanford with BJ too. Stanford Wong has a PhD from Stanford. His birth name is John Furgison. He chose the pen name "Stanford" after the school. I've seen his name mentioned on the forum a few times, as well as all the main BJ sites. Wong is a key figure in the world of card counting and is responsible for one of the main strategies ("wonging") that made the famous MIT BJ teams successful.

Stanford places a surprising degree of emphasis on sports, with their academic reputation. They do well in many of the lesser known sports, often winning several national championships per year, but generally not football. It's good to see their win with against USC.

Quite aware of BJ21.com. I never have met Mr.Wong and not a green chipper but we do know some of the same people. I am willing to bet he also posts at this forum and I think (not sure) like myself he was 86ed from the Venetian.

 

[NASHVEGAS]

I associate them with

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for what it's worth

Yeah me too but who would thuunnnkk a muppet had a clue???????