Am I just plain unlucky?

Darcus

Dormant account
It has been one of those weeks for me! I have just finished a session at Grand Aces using their $110 match bonus BJ excluded.

Starting with $220 and betting $5 a pop ($1 five coin maximum) as about 2%-3% of my total stake and playing full pay JoB. After playing 165 hands I had lost the lot never been up at any point, all winning hands being 3 of kind or lower except for one flush and one full house.

I don't usually play VP so I use a strategy card to make sure I play ok.

Is this a normal bad streak? Any pointers would be helpful as I am not a great statistical mathimatician (or speller for that matter!).

As an aside the terms and conditions stated that the WR was 15x (D+B) which should be...hang on....$3300, but when I made the deposit a box stated that I needed to wager at least 3200% of the bonus which is...hold on again...need to take my shoes off for this one....$3520! Then the other box which show how much you have left to wager stated $3630? It kept creeping up from the original T and C's.

Just thought I would point this one out.
 

DealerBusts

Dormant account
Its quite normal to be honest. Unless you hit those 4 OAK then you're going to find that your balance goes south. Even with those 4 OAK, you are still going to need to hit those Royal Flushes now and again to boost you back up.
We're talking about about 91.7% payout if you don't hit 4OAK or higher.
 

Darcus

Dormant account
Thanks for that. I'm not over familiar with VP so that puts my mind at rest. I guess I've just not been in a good mood today with everything not going my way. Just lost $200 out of $300 bonus in 110 hands of BJ so everything is looking sour at the moment.

Can anyone tell me how to do the SD calculations for BJ so I don't have to whinge in public everytime I lose :rolleyes:

I saw it in another thread being discussed but can't relocate it.
 

GrandMaster

Ueber Meister
CAG
For any gambling related mathematical question your first port of call should be the Wizard's site, www.wizardofodds.com. A word of warning though, video poker has a very skewed distribution, a large part of your expected return and of the variance is due to the royal flsuh, so the usual method of using a normal distribution as an approximation is not valid, unless you play hundreds of thousands of hands.
 
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