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Ukraine Mess

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This is Chechnya. Let's see if it was worth it.

Current situation:

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Yellow lines are drones, other colors are missiles.

From Ukrainian sources:

During the evening (05.12) and night (06.12), with the use of strike UAVs, cruise missiles (air- and sea-based), ballistic missiles (ground-based) and aero-ballistic missiles (air-based), the Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Odessa, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Ivano-Frankivsk and Lviv regions were attacked.

ru-strikes-on-ua-05-12-2025.webp
 
The EU apparently made another enemy besides Russia. Now Musk is bombing them with tweets that hurt. Here is von der Leyen in Finland saying if you were shouting like this in Moscow, you'd be taken to jail in 2 minutes. Meanwhile, literally right in front of her, a Finnish man gets taken away for protesting, lol...



Musk is one of the most influential people on earth, so I guess it wasn't worth it to mess with him. Opinions he tweets can easily change people's minds.
 
There are a few YouTube channels like 'Ukraine Live Camera' where someone set up cameras in six or so Ukrainian cities to capture Russian missile strikes and make money from views. But this is something else.

A mad man, an affiliate of Polymarket decided to create a thing where you can gamble on whether Russia takes a settlement or village by a certain date.



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This NATO character is funny...

He could at least mention who those grandfathers were.

The Soviets fought against Nazi Germany and their collaborators like the Waffen-SS brigades across the Eastern front during WW2.


Very nice of him to propose that our kids need to prepare to die for him and his cronies and Von De Leyen lecturing us about the importance of having elected leaders.
 
Very nice of him to propose that our kids need to prepare to die for him and his cronies and Von De Leyen lecturing us about the importance of having elected leaders.

He’s just playing Rambo and trying to make it look like European NATO is strong, and that he’s not a loser, after tons of ammo and billions in cash from around 40 countries were sent to Ukraine, thousands of sanctions hit Russia, but none of it slowed the Russians down.

Rutte just calls it "Ukraine is not losing, but the front is moving in the wrong direction."

Look at what happens every time Ukraine (and the Europeans) refuse to accept Russia's terms for ending the conflict. More cash and ammo goes down the drain, Ukraine loses more land and more men, and the country gets destroyed. They only have gas now because Europe keeps supplying it. Power grid is heavily damaged across the country.

But Putin still plays nice. I see people on Telegram talking about why Odessa's ports are still running if Russia could destroy them with missiles so no ships would come to unload or pick up cargo. This would be a massive blow, not only for Ukraine but also countries that have plans related to Odessa ofter the conflict.

Let's be realistic, what fight is Rutte talking about when they have to bring F-16s every time they see a cardboard drone flying overhead?

Most of Europe's ammo got sent to Ukraine, and now only a few countries have anything left for themselves. Some countries are developing new stuff together with Ukraine, but i reckon most of it goes to Ukraine anyway.

He also never mentions the size of Ukraine compared to central European countries. For example, Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands combined are smaller than Ukraine.

Look at the size of Ukraine in the middle and the strikes map on the right, then compare it with anything else on the map.

The Russians strike it hard with ground, air, and sea missiles plus drones about once every two weeks.

map-ua.webp


What Rutte is talking about is just silly. Let’s use AI and check the basics.

This info below is from open sources. Plenty i see is missing, and most of it is just surface level. In reality, nobody knows what Russia really has or the quantities.

Offensive weapons

European NATO countries do not field anything comparable to Iskander, Kinzhal, Oreshnik, or FAB-3000 in operational service. Not in numbers, not in doctrine, and not in current use. Russia built its force around land based missiles, heavy bombs, and mass fires. Europe did not.

Hypersonic and ballistic missiles

Iskander is widely deployed and used. Kinzhal is operational and used. Oreshnik adds MIRVs and longer reach. No European NATO country has an equivalent in service. Programs exist, but they are years away. U.S. systems like Dark Eagle help NATO as a whole, but Europe itself has nothing comparable right now.

Heavy glide bombs

FAB-1500 and FAB-3000 with UMPK kits have no NATO equivalent. A 3-ton bomb simply does not exist in Western inventories anymore. JDAM-ER on 2,000 lb bombs is precise, but it is not the same tool. Russia can flatten hardened positions with one hit. NATO cannot replicate that effect with a single drop.

Drones

Geran-2 is cheap and produced in huge numbers. European NATO countries do not field anything similar at scale. They rely on expensive missiles, fighters, or limited short range systems to shoot them down. That is an unfavorable cost exchange, and everyone in NATO knows it.

Air defence

Europe does have air defence, but it is thin, fragmented, and optimized for peacetime, not mass attacks. Patriots, IRIS-T, NASAMS, SAMP/T exist, but stockpiles are small and coverage is patchy. A lot of systems and missiles did go to Ukraine. That created visible gaps, especially against low cost drones and cruise missiles.

The reality is:

• Almost no European NATO country can defend itself alone
• Most can protect a few critical sites, not their territory
• Low-cost drones exploit a serious gap
• Missile stockpiles are the biggest weakness
• NATO’s defence assumes early warning, fighters, and U.S. systems

Nuclear aviation

Russia runs Tu-95MS and Tu-160 bombers on a routine basis, armed with nuclear-capable cruise missiles like Kh-55 and Kh-102. These aircraft fly regular patrols and train for nuclear strike missions. No European NATO country fields nuclear bombers. The UK and France rely on submarines for their strategic deterrent, not air-delivered nuclear weapons.

Nuclear Submarines
Russia deploys Borei-class SSBNs with Bulava SLBMs, each carrying multiple warheads. These submarines provide second-strike capability and are continuously modernized. In Europe, only the UK and France operate nuclear ballistic missile submarines, and their fleets are small by design. Germany, Italy, Poland, and others have none at all.

Land-based nuclear forces

Beyond Oreshnik, Russia fields Yars and Sarmat ICBMs, plus nuclear-capable Iskander units across its western regions. This gives Russia layered nuclear options, from tactical to strategic. European NATO countries do not have national land-based nuclear missiles. Some host U.S. B61 bombs under nuclear sharing, but those remain U.S. controlled assets.

Russia has:
• strategic bombers with nuclear cruise missiles
• ballistic missile submarines in regular patrols
• land-based nuclear missiles at all ranges
• a large tactical nuclear inventory

European NATO countries have:
• no independent nuclear aviation
• no land-based nuclear missiles
• only UK and France with SSBNs
• reliance on U.S. nuclear sharing for the rest

Warhead numbers and diversity

Russia holds roughly 5,500 nuclear warheads, with a large share being non-strategic or “tactical” weapons. Europe has no equivalent stockpile. France and the UK together field a few hundred warheads, focused almost entirely on deterrence, not battlefield use.

-----------------

These European warmongers will destroy themselves. No wars needed.




this-is-fine-dog.webp
 
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This is insane, absolutely insane. For the first time in world history, Ukraine's naval drone destroyed a Russian submarine, and it'll cost them hundreds of millions to build a new one. That's what those comic-style papers are pretty much saying.

ru-submarine.webp


The topic is interesting, so I decided to strip away the propaganda and look closer. Only FT and Bloomberg put correct titles on their articles. They use the "Ukraine claims" or "Ukraine says" wording. That's the right approach because Ukraine can claim anything.

Here it shows the parking spots in Novorossiysk for 5 to 6 sumbarines:

novorossiysk.webp


The biggest fuckup for the Russians is that they didn't spot the Ukrainian sea drone coming into that area. It's not just open sea but should be a well-protected area.

Novorossiysk-port.webp


This is the type of Russian submarine that was attacked.

The Russians call it "Varshavyanka", which literally means "a woman from Warsaw."

NATO calls it a Kilo-class submarine.

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Here I took a screenshot from the Ukrainian published video and adjusted the quality to better see the submarines. I see two of them. Both seem to be tops or masts.

russia-submarine.webp



Here is the video that Ukrainians published.



To me, the video shows nothing that would confirm the Russain sub was hit especially destroyed. The nearest mast didn't even move. But since the sub is submerged, the Ukrainian drone was possibly targeting the tail where the propeller is located, which is probably the weakest point. The subs are made of special alloy, so a direct hit with their sea drone would likely result in minimal damage at best.

The satellite view here shows that the pier was damaged:

russian-sub-satelite-view.webp



Here the Russians are saying that nothing happend...

They can also say anything that suits them best, just like the Ukrainians.


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Here's a screenshot of a video the Russians provided. It clearly shows a submarine, but skeptics would say that doesn't mean it's the same one Ukrainian drone was targeting, lol...

russian-Kilo-class submarine..webp
 
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Tulsi Gabbard, the director of US national intelligence:


Bravo to her. The young people of today totally reject the war in the Ukrain and the genocide in Palestine and will not go to war for these evil unelected dictators. And it is the young that will run the world in the future. Israel and the EU must be in panic mode about it and this is why they want to control free speech online and on the streets right now.
Evil bastids
 
Tulsi Gabbard, the director of US national intelligence:


The fact that Tulsi is stating this publicly plus the chatter about the USA being directly involved with the fraud investigations around Zelenski tells me that a wider conflict with Russia will not happen.
I hope that todays discussions leads to an end to the war and the Ukraine can get back to normal.
 
The fact that Tulsi is stating this publicly plus the chatter about the USA being directly involved with the fraud investigations around Zelenski tells me that a wider conflict with Russia will not happen.
I hope that todays discussions leads to an end to the war and the Ukraine can get back to normal.

I don't think anything will change. What Ukraine and Europeans call peace means war for Russia. Everyone knows it. What Russia wants is also unacceptable to Ukraine.

Putin just recently said, 'If Kyiv doesn't want peace, Russia will achieve all SMO goals by military means.' Europeans were throwing around 'peace through strength' rhetoric quite often. I don't know what they expected from it.

If Europeans are going to meet every day just to chatter like they did over these 4 years and not talk with Russia, things will get worse. Macron seems to have realized that they need to talk to Russia if they want peace, not with each other, lol..

But let's see what Trump says today. He seems to have had enough of empty talks too.
 
A peace deal between Russia and Ukraine is about to get signed... Oh yeah, right.

Lavrov - On the night of December 28-29, 2025, the Kiev regime launched a terrorist attack using 91 long-range strike drones on the Russian President's residence in Novgorod Oblast. All drones were destroyed by Russian air defenses. No casualties or damage reported.

This occurred during Russia-US negotiations on the Ukrainian conflict. Such actions won't go unanswered. Targets and timing for retaliation are set. We won't exit talks, but given Kiev's shift to state terrorism, Russia's position will be revised.

 
It seems the Russians are trying to put the latest Ukrainian drone attack as directed at Putin's residence in the Novgorod region. Russian MoD usually posts how many Ukrainian drones were shot down along with the regions and that's it, but this time they posted an additional message.

t.me/mod_russia/59894

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Yeah, it could be BS, but it also could be true. When anything happens that's hard to prove, both sides, Russia and Ukraine, can spin it however suits them best. The only hard proof would be a video or at least a picture of something getting hit.

Zelensky's former head advisor, Arestovich, who usually spills the beans, says it was a strike on the command center of the nuclear triad and that Ukrainians were most likely targeting the communication hubs. But again, nothing can back it up.

I'd say US satellite intel monitors drones over Russia closely, and they know whether the attack was possibly aimed at Putin's residence in Novgorod. So Trump could easily confirm it through them if needed.

If Ukrainian drones fly dead straight without changing direction and start landing when approaching a target, then it would be pretty simple to figure out where they were theoretically heading. Example:

ru-ua-map.webp


Now many are saying there were no danger warnings in Novgorod region on monitoring channels. That's not true. It took me a few minutes to find it:

t.me/radarrussiia/48073

novgorod-1.webp


Lavrov in his message says that 91 drones were used to attack Putin's residence. This doesn't sound accurate because even Russian MoD reports that 18 drones were destroyed over the territory of Novgorod region.

t.me/mod_russia/59869

novgorod-drones.webp


The thing is that if they were really flying to Putin's residence, then it doesn't matter how many, 91 or just 1. The actual event is what matters. Let's see what happens. Personally, I think Russia won't target anything related to Ukraine's government. It's pointless. It's more to do with the Russians adjusting peace rules and demands.
 
Seems the anti-Russia crowd on X is having a mental breakdown today.

Trump reportedly called his former special envoy Keith Kellogg an idiot, after Kellogg praised Zelensky as a courageous leader facing an existential fight, even comparing the situation to Abraham Lincoln's challenges.

Douglas Dykhouse, the US Chargé d'Affaires in Moscow, delivered the message on behalf of the American people. He said Americans and Russians share deep traditions of resilience, creativity, and love for their homelands.

Dykhouse also spoke in Russian at the end: "С Новым годом и Рождеством!" which means "Happy New Year and Merry Christmas!" This marks the first such official US congratulations to Russia in several years.

The video is on the US Embassy's Telegram channel at t.me/USEmbRussia/4425.
 
Seems the anti-Russia crowd on X is having a mental breakdown today.

Trump reportedly called his former special envoy Keith Kellogg an idiot, after Kellogg praised Zelensky as a courageous leader facing an existential fight, even comparing the situation to Abraham Lincoln's challenges.

Douglas Dykhouse, the US Chargé d'Affaires in Moscow, delivered the message on behalf of the American people. He said Americans and Russians share deep traditions of resilience, creativity, and love for their homelands.

Dykhouse also spoke in Russian at the end: "С Новым годом и Рождеством!" which means "Happy New Year and Merry Christmas!" This marks the first such official US congratulations to Russia in several years.

The video is on the US Embassy's Telegram channel at t.me/USEmbRussia/4425.

I think this is basically the "good cop bad cop" routine, Kellog was probably put in to play the exact role he has, so Trump can give him flack and that somehow proves that Trump is actually on Russia's side and they ought to take any deal Donald puts on the table.

Russia doesn't want the whole of the Ukraine because it knows that would make it impossible to come back into the international fold and do business and trade as usual.

But the only way wars used to end in the old days was to take or be on the outskirts of the enemy's capital, Russia doesn't want to go down that route or even attempt to, so the quagmire in the east can drag out for at least another year as neither side want to make a big concession after all the fighting and sacrifice.
 
I think this is basically the "good cop bad cop" routine, Kellog was probably put in to play the exact role he has, so Trump can give him flack and that somehow proves that Trump is actually on Russia's side and they ought to take any deal Donald puts on the table.

Russia doesn't want the whole of the Ukraine because it knows that would make it impossible to come back into the international fold and do business and trade as usual.

But the only way wars used to end in the old days was to take or be on the outskirts of the enemy's capital, Russia doesn't want to go down that route or even attempt to, so the quagmire in the east can drag out for at least another year as neither side want to make a big concession after all the fighting and sacrifice.

Those international trades won't matter much if we're talking about EU countries that switched to US energy. Russia switched to China, India, and other Asian buyers anyway, plus they're now using Northern routes for quicker deliveries. Just recently, ship monitor channels spotted Russians using 8 nuclear icebreakers to clear the ice.



A gas pipeline straight to China through Mongolia is also being built. China uses twice as much energy as the EU, and India buys and then refines Russia's oil and sells the final products like diesel, jet fuel, etc to Europeans. It's funny that it also goes to Ukraine..

Their so-called shadow fleet has also grown. Open source reports from late 2025 suggest over 1,000 vessels, potentially reaching 1,400 total ships.

I'd say Russia's endgame is more about long-term safety and leverage. They don't need all of Ukraine, but they'll keep going as far as needed. Most likely their goal is to secure enough strategic territories against potential future threats.

It will heat up when Ukraine's fortress belt starts cracking. Some of the heavily fortified cities include Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and Kostyantynivka. They've been built up over a decade, and there's nothing equal behind them.

He provides quite interesting detail:

 
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Meanwhile...

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Who does Keir Starmer think he's kidding? Not Vladimir Putin, that's for sure.

This week's 'declaration of intent' sees our Prime Minister pledging to deploy British troops in Ukraine as a peacekeeping force, to 'establish military hubs... securing Ukraine's skies and seas'.

The commitment, in partnership with France, is 'to stand with Ukraine for the long term. It paves the way for the legal framework under which British, French and partner forces could operate on Ukrainian soil', claims Sir Keir.

But can he – can we – keep such promises? In a word, no. I do not believe for a moment we have the manpower, the equipment, the money or the political will to be true to our word.

These empty pledges, I predict, will come back to haunt the PM. The whole conceit is wildly unrealistic.
There can be no peacekeeping force before there is peace. Russian missiles continue to bombard Kyiv, drones scream across the steppes, and the number of the dead continues to rise.

The only way to achieve a lasting peace in Ukraine is for the Russians to finally accept Ukraine's right to exist. As a minimum, that will include recognising the legitimacy of the Ukrainian constitution, and acknowledging Volodymyr Zelensky as the rightful president until the next election.

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This was announced by Ukrainians at the world economics annual meeting in Davos a couple of days ago:

t.me/truexanewsua/130448

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Before that, around two weeks ago, Ukrainians hit Belgorod, a city in Russia about 50 miles from Kharkiv, and left around 600k people without electricity and heating for a few days. I read it was tough to get things working again. Then a few days back, they hit a power plant in Belgorod again, lol ..

The strange thing is that those on the front lines don’t seem to care what happens in the country, and some of their supporters are either complete lunatics or just comfortably living and cheering from abroad.

belgorod-blackout.webp


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So, here’s what was going on last night:

t.me/ASupersharij/50782

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t.me/radnyknews/35069

ukraine-1.webp



 
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