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- Jan 9, 2008
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- Just Across the Hudson River
@Enzo: Is the flaw in logic you are referring that casinos make more profit from high rollers than smaller ones?
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What you are doing by playing less lines is increasing the variance; e.g. If you were playing 15 lines you would have 3 times more chance of hitting 5-of-a-kind of the top symbol than if you were only playing 5 lines. However if you're only playing the 5 lines your win is proportionally bigger compared to your total bet because you are only paying for 5 lines, not 15.I dont play all the lines. IMO (yes, my opinion) I feel ppl think they need to play all the lines as not to miss a win BUT...the way I think is this: Ill play less lines because that gives me more spins and the more spins I get the bigger chance I have at a bonus round.
If I have $10 to play with and tut has 25 lines, I will get 40 spins at 1 coin per line BUT if I only play 20/25 lines I get one extra spin per $1 which gives me 50 spins instead of 40 (its very early and my math may be off). So even though you might miss out on a win from one of the 5 lines your not playing, youll have better odds at getting 3 or more tuts.
One time I played only 3 lines out of 25 but played 17 coins for those 3 lines, got the tuts and it paid out $138. On HV, I often play 10 lines out of 15 at 8 coins per line and although I miss out on some wins, the wins I do get are big.
Does this make sense to you? Do you believe that a player like me (who deposits small) and plays like this has a better chance of getting a higher balance to the point of being able to play all lines with more coins which will result in a higher cashout in the end? Or even if it doesnt, I still like this method because as I said, the more spins you have with your $10, the more likely to hit a bonus round
depo $10 + bonus $10 = $20 start balance.
total wagering = $20 * 20 = $400
houseedge on wagering = $400 * 0.027 = $10.2 recovered.
depo 37*$10 + bonus 37*$10 = $740 start balance.
total wagering = $720 (36 losing spins)
+ $400 (WR from winning spin)
houseedge on wagering = $1120 * 0.027 = $30.24 recovered.


Tooo funny but soooo right...english pleaseEnzo.....now you can do an easy question for us "dummies" who don't know anything about what you just wrote.

Congratulations Zap987 !
And although I agree its easier to derive when looking from the casino point of view, instead of 100 players, the equivalent is 100 bonuses for one player, arriving at the same end result.
For those who still haven't seen the light, lets do an easy-to-follow sample demonstrating the commonly used formula, and why it is flawed.
We will assume playing roulette, and playing maxbet on a single number. (Same principle applies to slots of course.). We will have a player that gets a weekly 100% $10 match bonus with a 20x(D+B) WR on it.
Using the commonly used formula and a 2.7% houseedge I find :
Code:depo $10 + bonus $10 = $20 start balance. total wagering = $20 * 20 = $400 houseedge on wagering = $400 * 0.027 = $10.2 recovered.
I commonly see people concluding from this that the casino will 'recover' $10.2 of the $10 bonus they give .. so 'take' $0.2 of your own deposit.
I see bonuses like this accompanied with the advice of playing them only if you're into playtime because you'll lose 0.2 ontop of the 10 bonus.
This is however fundamentally flawed .. lets take this bonus 37 weeks in a row (so that we dont just cover the win-case .. but also the lose cases.. ) and see what happens ..
Code:depo 37*$10 + bonus 37*$10 = $740 start balance. total wagering = $720 (36 losing spins) + $400 (WR from winning spin) houseedge on wagering = $1120 * 0.027 = $30.24 recovered.
given by casino : $370 - $30.24 = $339.76
This formula, which doesn't just cover the winning scenario, but also the losing scenario clearly demonstrates that this would be a particularly interesting bonus to take, cause in time you will end up keeping almost $340 of the $370 bonus that was given ..
Well done Zap, there's a $50 waiting in your 3Dice account. It has no WR attached to it.
Regards,
Enzo


)Hi Just Play, Silcnlayc,
Fair enough - lets play something everyone can join in on .. lets play a game of sacrifice ..
It's really simple and everyone can play. It's got a $25 prize and it works like this .. the tenth person to thank this post gets $25 ...
(hows about that for an evil twist)
Good luck everyone !![]()

Well....how the hell will that work Mr. Math Head? LOL....no one will want to go first, or second, or third...and so on. Ha ha ha. Okay, I'll sacrifice myself and say thanks, and the rest of you can fight it out amongst yourselves.![]()
I know - rolling over the floor here.lolI know - rolling over the floor here.
.. I should've called it the game of sacrifice .. oh wait .. I did ..
.. I'm confused .. oh wait .. maybe I'm not.


every now and then it delivers a "woohoo!" moment

Just curious Mr. Muppet.....do you actually yell Woohoo out loud when you hit?![]()



I punch the air....I'm the silent type![]()

Ahhh....strong, silent and blue. The man...errr...muppet of my dreams.![]()

Hi Just Play, Silcnlayc,
Fair enough - lets play something everyone can join in on .. lets play a game of sacrifice ..
It's really simple and everyone can play. It's got a $25 prize and it works like this
.. the tenth person to thank this post gets $25 ...
(hows about that for an evil twist)
Good luck everyone !![]()



OMG LMAO
Enzo are you blonde??? I am going to be the 7th to thank your post BUT..since my name begins with a "b", ill be the first![]()

Hi Just Play, Silcnlayc,
Fair enough - lets play something everyone can join in on .. lets play a game of sacrifice ..
It's really simple and everyone can play. It's got a $25 prize and it works like this
.. the tenth person to thank this post gets $25 ...
(hows about that for an evil twist)
Good luck everyone !![]()

How was I to know that I was alphabetically advantaged? (and 10th at that!)![]()
I couldn't believe that the 10th person wasn't sitting there waiting for that bonus opportunity!WTG!! I was the 9th thanker like 2 HOURS ago!I couldn't believe that the 10th person wasn't sitting there waiting for that bonus opportunity!
I skimmed through the messages and at first glance, I thought it was the 10th person to reply vs. "thanks". Upon reading again, I counted the thanks and was quite surprised myself!
p.s. Babs, Just Play, ... I'm not blonde ... the user cp link on the top of this forum shows you who sends you thanks and when - so I could easily see who was the tenth person to thank me even if people would've clicked real close together![]()

We are the blond ones then...hahahahaha![]()


Hi Just Play, Silcnlayc,
Fair enough - lets play something everyone can join in on .. lets play a game of sacrifice ..
It's really simple and everyone can play. It's got a $25 prize and it works like this
.. the tenth person to thank this post gets $25 ...
(hows about that for an evil twist)
Good luck everyone !![]()

Congratulations Zap987 !
And although I agree its easier to derive when looking from the casino point of view, instead of 100 players, the equivalent is 100 bonuses for one player, arriving at the same end result.
For those who still haven't seen the light, lets do an easy-to-follow sample demonstrating the commonly used formula, and why it is flawed.
We will assume playing roulette, and playing maxbet on a single number. (Same principle applies to slots of course.). We will have a player that gets a weekly 100% $10 match bonus with a 20x(D+B) WR on it.
Using the commonly used formula and a 2.7% houseedge I find :
Code:depo $10 + bonus $10 = $20 start balance. total wagering = $20 * 20 = $400 houseedge on wagering = $400 * 0.027 = $10.2 recovered.
I commonly see people concluding from this that the casino will 'recover' $10.2 of the $10 bonus they give .. so 'take' $0.2 of your own deposit.
I see bonuses like this accompanied with the advice of playing them only if you're into playtime because you'll lose 0.2 ontop of the 10 bonus.
This is however fundamentally flawed .. lets take this bonus 37 weeks in a row (so that we dont just cover the win-case .. but also the lose cases.. ) and see what happens ..
Code:depo 37*$10 + bonus 37*$10 = $740 start balance. total wagering = $720 (36 losing spins) + $400 (WR from winning spin) houseedge on wagering = $1120 * 0.027 = $30.24 recovered.
given by casino : $370 - $30.24 = $339.76
This formula, which doesn't just cover the winning scenario, but also the losing scenario clearly demonstrates that this would be a particularly interesting bonus to take, cause in time you will end up keeping almost $340 of the $370 bonus that was given ..
Regards,
Enzo
my brain hurts...I am not questioning Enzo's mathematical analysis but the player advantage he indicated can only be realised over a very lengthy period given that you are betting your whole bankroll on a single number resulting in extremely high variance. 37 tries simply isnt enough. I would say 1000 would be more like it so even if its a weekly bonus, it may take close to 20 years to gain this advantage lol.
A house edge on wagering occurs when there is play over an extensive period with numerous bets. There could be wild swings either way if the number of bets are small and where the whole bankroll is wagered. Simply put, these 2 things dont mix.
We are also assuming here that the winning bet is the first bet. There are still $380 WRs to go so if the player continues to bet $20 and loses the remaining 19 bets he just gets his deposit back and not the $400 as mentioned.
about 3dice.
See if this link works:https://www.casinomeister.com/forums/threads/3dice-customer-support-top-notch.27829/
In case it doesn't, Jas I won this around beginning of Nov. The cool thing about this is that I won it from hitting, I think, 5 butterflys like 3 to 4 times and using $10 that I won from a tourney.
just a thought.









No point, well not exactly.... well er uhm... except to point out that I still play at 3Dice and the reason is because I win and lose. Don't ask me why I would play at a place that I lose, but it happens. However, I don't have any screen shots of me losing since that makes me sad. The funny thing is that when the opposite happens, I am happy.![]()
all the timeand so do I...so I am going to look for those darn butterfly's that you said they had, the next time I play there ...to see if they indeed have some...that I still play at 3Dice
Not that I don't believe you but it's always a good thing to confim the source, right? 
Their game has butterfly's?![]()
![]()
.
No point, well not exactly.... well er uhm... except to point out that I still play at 3Dice and the reason is because I win and lose. Don't ask me why I would play at a place that I lose, but it happens. However, I don't have any screen shots of me losing since that makes me sad. The funny thing is that when the opposite happens, I am happy.![]()
isn't that special
continued good luck to you
so you will beall the time
Cindy
and so do I...so I am going to look for those darn butterfly's that you said they had, the next time I play there ...to see if they indeed have some...![]()
.
I'm ROTFLMAO...you guys are a riot....wayyyyyyyyyyy to funny...:notworthyFrom a mathematical and financial point of view, high variance is bad for the casino - good for the player - there's no two ways about it. And if you are not interested in the best odds, but rather playtime, then tournaments are a much better investment of your funds, delivering guaranteed playtime in a way that even the lowest variance machine can't.
Kindest Regards,
Enzo
Marmite? In Hong Kong, durian (a fruit) has the same effect. You either hate the smell of it or you love it wholeheartedly.

Its a tough call with 3dice the problem i think is they really need more variety of slots. Most of them are high variance and we all know what that means.
But with it comes the nice factor that at least if you do hit you know your getting your funds. And it seems they pay just as fast as you hit that check out button. More slots plse plse plse enzo.
