A question about VP

[SlotMonster]

I'm playing 100 Deuces Wild, and often getting a (Ace)-(wild)-(Ace) on the initial hand. That gives me a "three of a kind" combiation. What's the odds that on the other cards (100 hands * 2 cards left in every hand) I won't get a (wild) or (Ace)?

 

[rockycatt]

i would think you would get another 4ok or even 5oak frequently i dont know that math equation but 100 hands i'd feel confident im on my way to a hit

 

[Glunn11]

I'm playing 100 Deuces Wild, and often getting a (Ace)-(wild)-(Ace) on the initial hand. That gives me a "three of a kind" combiation. What's the odds that on the other cards (100 hands * 2 cards left in every hand) I won't get a (wild) or (Ace)?

I may be wrong, but here's my math on this.

The deck has 52 cards. 3 are out, so you're left with 49 cards. There are 2 more aces and 3 more wilds. So, on the fourth card, there is a 5/49 chance you'll get what you need to get a 4oaK. That means there is a 44/49 chance you won't.

Assuming you don't get a needed card on the fourth position, there is then a 44/48 chance you won't get a needed card on the fifth position.

(44/49) * (44/48) = .823129 or about an 82.31% chance you won't get a 4oaK or a 5oaK on a single hand.

To consider all 100 hands, raise that to the 100th power, and that yields .000000003522, or a REALLY SMALL chance you won't get a 4oaK or a 5oaK with 100 hands.

So, if my analysis is correct, if you don't get a single 4oaK or 5oaK with 100-play with that hand, you're either incredibly unlucky, or you're playing a rigged game.

 

[Simmo!]

I think 5 are out rather than 3 as it would have dealt 5 and 2 would have been discarded, leaving 47 possibilities. So you'd get 5/47 on the first turn and 5/46 on the second....21.5% chance of getting one I think.

 

[Glunn11]

I think 5 are out rather than 3 as it would have dealt 5 and 2 would have been discarded, leaving 47 possibilities. So you'd get 5/47 on the first turn and 5/46 on the second....21.5% chance of getting one I think.

Ah, you are right. Sorry about that error.

Thanks Simmo

 

[SlotMonster]

Thank you for your replies
Well, I was playing on demo version of software, but casinos usually claim that there are no difference between Real Money mode and Fun games
You can test it yourself. Any feedback is appreciated

Link Removed ( Old/Invalid)

 

[SlotMonster]

By the way, and what if the probabiliteis in 100 handed VP are calculated for every hand separately? Does that mean that there will be a lot of 'empty' hands, but then RNG, to adjust house edge according to paytable, will just generate extremely strong hands after drawing, even when the initial hand is just a trash?