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Horse Racing & Tips Thread

This is kind of after timing but whatever. I'm just showing off my stupidity and blind luck.
This morning I saw Alcohol Free was 13/2 6 places with bet365. I thought that is massive. So had a tenner or so ew on it.

Not 20 minutes later I am on ladbrokes to back a first goalscorer for tonight and I end up totally forgetting I backed Alcohol free and back it in.
For once my stupidity is rewarded :oops:

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Kenji85 said:
This is kind of after timing but whatever. I'm just showing off my stupidity and blind luck.
This morning I saw Alcohol Free was 13/2 6 places with bet365. I thought that is massive. So had a tenner or so ew on it.

Not 20 minutes later I am on ladbrokes to back a first goalscorer for tonight and I end up totally forgetting I backed Alcohol free and back it in.
For once my stupidity is rewarded :oops:

View attachment 155921


View attachment 155920
Click to expand...
Nice when that happens.
 
Bit frustrating past 2 days. 3 placed today, 2 placed, one winner yesterday, yesterday returned £30 today £50 (from £15 stakes) and obviously the main bet today won. Having the other horse placed on both days would have made a big difference. The treble yesterday won, but the first one won at around the same price, 2nd was a non runner, and the third ended up 33/1 ON because of the non runners, so may as well have just done a single lol.
 
Last night I was looking at Ropey Guest in the 5.00 as a really good EW bet, but thta was based on him being 40/1. Woke up this morning and is 12-14/1, so thats put a spanner in the works. No doubt he will hack up now. Might just leave the race as I had it as a 20/1 chance, obviously 40's was value, 12's, not so much. If it drifts closer to the off I might have a small EW bet on it. Gulliver may be a better choice at the prices, currently 18/1.

3.40 Hukum 13/2 4 places. I'm surprised this isn't favourite. Likes the ground, has won here before and can't see him being out the first 4. Ilaraab is a handicapper, and don't think Broome will stay. I think Wonderful tonight is the danger, but lacks a run this season so fitness has to be taken on trust. Will do a small RFC on the two.

3.05 Naval Crown could get placed. 11/1 5 places. Should get a fairly easy lead on his side, while the other side has all the pace and might burn themselves out competing for the early lead.

Away from Ascot, think Typhoon Ten has a decent chance of winning the 4.30 at Newmarket. Currently 11/2

Good luck today
 
Not a whole lot catching my eye today. I have my eye on denise fosters runners at Perth which are really elliot's as we know. Won the first at 5s and has many other decent chances.

At ascot
I had a small ew on Tactical in the 3.05 at 14/1 6places. Won the Windsor castle 2yo here last year and I feel like it's a little overpriced.

I was impressed with the O Brien horse in the first on debut but its just too short now at 11/8.

Likewise Broome is the most likely winner of his race shouldn't mind the cut in the ground but ram a stinker here backend of last season

Small each ways on
Sonaiyla 9/1 in the 4.20. Really progressive since going to Paddy Twomey and may have a group one in him.

Kings Lynn is a standout fav in the wokingham at 5.00. 7 places at PP but hes into 3/1 now so I've had another small each way bet with 7 places in mind on Danzeno.
Has to be trusted for fitness but 25/1 is a good price for a horse that regularly makes the frame in big field handicaps.

Small ew trixie also
Sonaiyla 9/1
Danzeno 25/1
Tactical 14/1.



Good luck all having a bet.
 
Agree 100% with Danzeno, backed it @ 28/1 with Skybet as I think he has more going for him than against him and he is potentially well drawn.

My Lucky 15 today:

Masekela 2:30
Broome 3:40
Dream of Dreams 4:30
Falcon Eight 6:10

I have backed a few EW in the extra place races on Skybet - Light Refrain in the 3:05 and I think Glentaneous will run a big race in the 5:35.

Its a while since Dermot Weld won a Derby but I reckon he will have the Ulster Derby winner today.

Good luck to all having a flutter today.
 
4 placed yesterday so that gave a decent profit on the week.

2.55P Rising Star 15/2. Came fifth in a group 2 in Italy on totally unsuitable ground as needs fast ground in my view. She was entered in the Sandringham on Friday at Royal Ascot, and withdrawn because of the ground. Fitness shouldn't be a worry as I doubt she would have been running at Ascot if they didn't think she had a decent chance. Todays race is a massive downgrade from those, the Italian one was worth 99k, the Sandringham £40k, this is a class 3 HC worth £6k. Think the connections will be very disappointed if it doesn't win this.

1.30W Arthur's Reuben should be good enough to get a place here as long as the ground is good or better. 9/1 4 Places

Finally Danse Idol in the 2.00W. 7/2

Will do a EW treble on those

Good luck all.
 
Just a small treble today

4.20A Wise Eagle 11/4
8.50N Kingston King 7/4
6.30N Navegaon Gate 5/2

Treble pays about 35/1

I don't think Sean has gone to Newton Abbot for his only ride of the day, in the last race, unless he expects to win. Unfortunately the only market rival is a non runner so has affected the price, but I think 7/4 will still be bigger than the SP, as I can't really see anything in the race getting close to him now.

Good luck if you are betting today
 
Kingston King won at 4/6 :eek:

Again, one runner for Sean, and the only one of the day for Peter tomorrow, in the 2.35W. Regardless of that, think Montana should win this anyway, and don't think the current 15/8 will be there tomorrow.

King's Guard should win the 7.10K for Charlie Appleby, currently best priced 5/4. Bet365 are odds on, can see the others catching up soon.
 
Going to also add in Love is Golden in the 3.55S. Currently around 6/1. Likes cut in the ground, last time he missed the break and never recovered, and then hampered when running on at the end. It was a better race than this, and was only beaten just over 2l, on ground he doesn't like. The obvious danger is Lord Protector, but although he's won all 3 races so far, they were all over shorter than this, and he's up 6lb for a 1/2 length win last time. I'll probably do a small FC just in case it does beat Love is Golden.
 
Couple of late ones

7.20N Sea Empress 10/3. Ran very green in a good race at Newbury and the winner franked the form in the Ribblesdale. Has won here, and think he has as good a chance as any of winning.

6.45N Sunday Sovereign 6/1 5 places (Hills). De Sousa's only ride of the night, horse has been gelded, and looks like it's comiong back into form going from it's last race. Think it has an excellent chance of being in the first five, and a good chance of winning.

EW Double.
 
I think Kapsize should win the 1.00 easily, but after watching Peter's runners yesterday, they all seemed to struggle in the latter part of every race, which could suggest there's a bit of a virus in the yard, so just going to watch rather than back it, especially at 6/4. Obviously 4 runs isn't enough to tell properly, but it's enough to put me off short term.
 
colinsunderland said:
I think Kapsize should win the 1.00 easily, but after watching Peter's runners yesterday, they all seemed to struggle in the latter part of every race, which could suggest there's a bit of a virus in the yard, so just going to watch rather than back it, especially at 6/4. Obviously 4 runs isn't enough to tell properly, but it's enough to put me off short term.
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Will back Kapsize a little bit. Was bit disappointed that Peter couldn't get one winner yesterday, but didn't see these races to be anything easy but quite competitive and previous success made sure handicapper didn't make it any easier. Today Kapsize on quite short trip hopefully bring another winner for Bowens.
 
Slottery said:
Will back Kapsize a little bit. Was bit disappointed that Peter couldn't get one winner yesterday, but didn't see these races to be anything easy but quite competitive and previous success made sure handicapper didn't make it any easier. Today Kapsize on quite short trip hopefully bring another winner for Bowens.
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I hope so, but it wasn't that they didn't win, more that they all just folded completely in the latter stages of the races. Usually thats where Sean excels, and the 2 races at Cartmel especially looked like something wasn't right to me. Hopefully Kapsize hacks up though :)
 
Longsider in the 3.15 Haydock interests me greatly tomorrow. Big field handicaps obviously require luck to get involved in but a Sir M Prescott horse first time on turf/in a handicap with great form cannot be ignored. 5 places at PP too. Hes 8/1 now. No idea if he'll drift or come in again on price honestly as it's a wide open race.



Obviously I just backed Statement again at sandown tomorrow at around 3.4 on the exchanges because clearly I hate money :rolleyes:


Gl to all.


Anyone who bets rugby will have seen the Lions play tomorrow.
They play their namesakes The Lions (south African franchise).

B&I Lions are -28 on the handicap at 10/11. That is a terrible bet imo.
The SA Lions have a fantastic home record, are not just off a flight and most importantly have played 14 games together in the last 14 weeks.
The B&I lions on the other have picked a side with quite a few debutants and players that may take time to adjust to what it is to be a lion. Couple that with the the fact the B&I Lions generally in any tour dont batter teams first up tells me SA Lions +28 at 10/11 is massive value.

Also I haven't watched a whole lot of Euro 2020 as no Irish involvement I have been watching Wimbeldon and Golf instead, but from the games I've it is as good an opportunity as ever for England to go to a major final.

Spain or Italy will make a tough opponent in any final but England need to cease there chance to join one of those in the final.
Theres a free €/£5 bet on bet365 if you punt there. I stuck it on Maguire first goal for a decent long shot.
 
2.25S Accidental Agent 25/1 5 places. Won the Queen Anne 3 years ago, and while he hasn't reproduced that form since, has ran ok in group races, and much better races than this. This race isn't the best, and has a chance of finishing in the first 5, although don't expect it to win.

2.05H Oceanline 40/1 4 places. By far the best race he has ran in, but always gives his running, and might sneak a place here.

3.00S Kestenna 14/1 4 places. Be surprised if this doesn't place.

2.40H La Lune 7/1. this is a better race than he has been winning, but is likely up to this.

Good luck today.
 
I can't ignore the significance of Hollie Doyle riding in 2 races at Leopardstown this evening when there is some good meetings in the UK today. I've done an EW Double in the 6.40 and 7.10. I could well be wrong but I can't recall her ever riding in Ireland before?
 
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Good days racing today.

Just did couple bets at work mainly on specials. Should have done lucky 15 as would have had first winner as well.

3 bets 3 winners. Put tenner on at PP on Dubai Honour as was free bet if finishes first four. So nice £55 profit. They had Sandrine and Live your Dream as 18/1 enhanced double so put £5 on it when Dubai Honour won.

And Willy Hill had Sandrine as 5/2 flash odds so put tenner on it tho won at 11/5 in end but still just a better price.
 
Some decent racing today

4.05Y Like a few here at decent prices, best is Lucander but the price has gone now. Currently 12/1 6 places, was 20's yesterday in a few places. The move does increase confidence in it though. Last night I was looking at Strait Of Hormuz at 40's but now is best priced 16's which I think is a bit low and probably around it's correct price. I'll probably go with Good Birthday who has a decent chance on his best form, and jockey and trainer are both doing ok at the moment. Currently 28/1.

3.35A Count D'orsay might get a place here, 20/1 5 places.

5.15Y Ventura Express 28/1 5 places

Outsider of the day is Brando in the 4.25N. Always gives his running here, and although unlikely to win, certainly has a chance of being in the first 5 and 100/1 seems a bit too big to me.

This has missed the lucky 15 so I probably won't back it (which probably means it will win) but Revich in the 3.50N seems over priced at 40's with 6 places.

I might do a win treble but haven't looked at the shorter priced runners yet, although I think Winter Power is massive at 2/1, I think it's a really good bet and wouldn't like to be laying it at any more than evens.

Good luck today
 
Good news colin. I didnt back any of those lol.


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These are your four to avoid today. I fancy them all for a place at least. Should they all do the unthinkable and win its about 34,000/1 so easy money really.....
 
Wow I managed to avoid one of them even getting a place :rolleyes:


In other news sad to see Galileo has passed away at the age of 23.
He was one of the first horses I ever really followed on the flat and as good a racehorse as he was, he was a super stallion.
 
I notice O Brien and Ryan Moore are gone to Belmont tonight for two grade 1 races.

I cant believe that are both odds on
Santa Barbara 4/7 in the 9.02
Bolshoi Ballet 4/6 in the 10.12.
I know Athens followed the exact path as santa Barbara in 2018 and hacked up but I cant he having either of them at odds on. Unfortunately my knowledge of american racing means I probably wont find one to take them on with. But I may lay them both for small amounts on the exchanges.
 
Yeah I wouldn't be taking odds on for them either.
EW in the 9.06 Gam's Mission 14/1 and 10.12 Hard Love 6/1

Frustrating today with my last 2, 7th at 150/1 (needed 5th) but only a length off third and the last one coming 6th at 28/1 (18/1 SP) and I needed 5th
 
Unlucky again there Col Gams Mission 4th at a nice price. To be fair Santa Barbara looked boxed in and in bad shape. Showed a good turn of foot to get up in the end.
 
Peter has 4 runners today, 3 at Stratford, one at Perth, all with what seem, on paper, to have a decent chance. I'm going to do a small yankee on them, still think there was something wrong with his horses, but he hasn't had a runner now since Monday, despite having a few entered which were pulled, so am banking on whatever was wrong being sorted now. After yesterday's results I'll probably get 4 seconds :D

2.38S Kapsize 7/1
3.48S More Bucks 9/4
4.58S Shareef Star 7/2
2.50P Staple Head 5/1

Good luck today.
 
I think in the next race (3.15) Land of Winter should get placed at least, been running in better races than this and hasn't been out the first 2 in any flat race 14f or more. Loves soft/heavy.
Golden Flame obviously has a chance, but think he prefers better ground, and I certainly wouldn't be taking odds on about it.
The fly in the ointment might be Platform Nineteen, who certainly has the form for this, but hasn't ran for about 3 years. Considering theres been some money for it today, you have to think he should be fit, and I'm going to do a RFC on it and Land of Winter.

Also think Martin Keighley may have a treble this evening, which I put on last night before the prices collapsed.

Good luck today.
 
Cashed out my Keighley treble after 2 races, it paid 10/1, which is actually more than the treble would have paid if I had been on at SP (assuming the last one starts at around the price it is now), so the obvious play was to cashout. Re-invested £30 of it on the race so if it does win I'm not too pissed off :D
 
Heres my 4 for today

2.55NM Rifleman 10/1
2.25NB Scaramanga 7/1 4 places
3.40NB Russellinthebushes 40/1 5 places
2.05MR Ambassador 11/1 5 places

I notice Francky Du Berlais is running in the 2.40MR For James and Peter Bowen, and Lord Bryan for Sean. The intersting thing about it Sean usually rides Francky Du Berlais and James Lord Bryan. Normally I would back Francky Du Berlais but until I see signs of improvement from the stable I'm staying away.

Good luck today
 
Its going to be a hot day and I feel for the horses today. Especially the longer distance runners. Is there a max temp where racing is no longer suitable?
Here is one of my bets for today. Good luck all that are having a punt

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

2. Captain Tom Cat
4/1
17th Jul MARKET RASEN 14:40 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 5f 89y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
7. Sweet Flora
10/1
17th Jul CARTMEL 15:45 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 1f 61y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
6. Valseur Du Granval
7/1
17th Jul MARKET RASEN 16:22 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 1f 43y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
12. Breaking The Ice
6/1
17th Jul CARTMEL 16:50 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 1f 107y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/4 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds
 
colinsunderland said:
I notice Francky Du Berlais is running in the 2.40MR For James and Peter Bowen, and Lord Bryan for Sean. The intersting thing about it Sean usually rides Francky Du Berlais and James Lord Bryan. Normally I would back Francky Du Berlais but until I see signs of improvement from the stable I'm staying away.

Good luck today
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First time I haven't backed it for ages and it hacks up at 11/1 ffs
 
A few for this evening, win yankee on the first 4.

6.50N Miss Jabeam - should be able to win this. 7/2
7.00S Sunset Bay - couple of question marks about this, but the money fot it suggests it's fancied by the stable. 7/4
7.50L Arabian Romance - has the form to win this, and the favourite might not be up to it on turf. 4/1
8.25L Truth In Jest - be surprised if anything beats this tonight, now it's main rival is a non runner. 6/4

8.45S Snowalot is the likeliest winner in my view, but don't think Master Milliner should be the price he is, in fact I wouldn't like to be laying him at half this price. Assuming 8 runners stay in, will be having an EW bet on it. 14/1
 
The 3.35A is a brilliant race, and I'll probably not have a bet it's so hard, I think Love is overpriced, I expected him to be closer to Evens rather than the current 2/1, and think he should win. However Adayar, is very good too, and is likely to give him a decent race, and could win. If the forecast rain comes, the ground can turn soft very quickly at Ascot, and if that does happen, I will probably have a few quid on Wonderful Tonight. Definately a race to watch, rather than invest heavily in though.

Sticking with my selection above in the 3.00.

Think Latest Generation will win the 2.25, around 10/3 at the moment.

3.20NC Al Erayg won here last year over this distance, off a 6lb higher weight. First run back on the AW since then and might outrun his odds of 20/1.

Good luck if you're having a bet today
 
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Your 4 to avoid.
All races have an extra place.
I'm hoping gulliver is on one of his better days,the race is well within his grasp if so. Ventura Express has come in for support and is better than shown the last time out.
Robeam is carrying a lot of weight but is a lb lower than his last run which was encouraging.
Shine so bright has also shown signs of returning to form of old. So hopeful all have a place chance.
Easy 30 grand if they all win lol.


As colin said Love even now at 7/4 is a half point bigger than I expected her to be. I expect the stable to make plenty of use of Broome who to be fair isn't a bad horse itself. Great race which should be a fun watch. I would rule out Lone Eagle either who almost pinched the Irish derby from the front.


Looking forward to the Lions v S A also. Even if the tour has been a bit of a farce. It should be a good watch.
Gl all having a bet.
 

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