Horse Racing & Tips Thread

Paddy Power is actually offering 6/1 on the over 1 goal in all English Premiership matches today.

They had also done wrong odds earlier giving 12/1 Ryan Moore to have 3 or more winners and only 3/1 Ryan Moore to have 4 or more. Obviously got prices wrong way around lol as fixed now.

Ryan Moore (Curragh) To Ride 3 Or More Winners Today
12/1
23rd May Power Prices Auteuil Racing Specials - Sunday's Jockey Specials
13:15 Today

Power Price

Needless to say i bet the 3 winners and cashout is double my stake now before racing even starts.

Also took Erzindjan in 2.05 as think it will at least come in first four.
 
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Haven't been through all of tomorrow's racing yet.


One that does catch my eye as an each way punt though is Dubai Station in 2.20 at haydock.
DeSousa rides for R Cowell both are in decent form the last two weeks. I'm prepared to forgive the horse his first run of the season and there was encouragement in the 3rd place last time out even though it was last of 3 it was on very heavy ground. The C&D win also helps.
Currently 18/1 and 20/1 most places. Shop around as some are going 4 places in a 12 runner race.
 
I think Iron Port should win very easily tonight in the 8.10W. Sean travelling there for a late night ride isn't usual, especially when you look at the card and see he could have had other rides tonight. It's not too far to travel, but still a couple of hundred mile round trip. Don't think the 10lb rise will stop him winning this, as it looks a worse race on paper than his last one.
Was 5/1 yesterday but the favourite being a non runner has meant his price has dropped to around 13/8, I'll probably do a couple of lengthen the odds bets to get a better price, over 5l 9/2 and over 10l 12/1, plus a few quid to win to cover the 2 LTO bets just in case he wins by a neck or something :)

Good luck today

@geordiecolin you ok mate? Not seen you post for a while, hope you're ok
All's sweetness and light thanks Col :)

There is so much racing today that I have had to wind my neck in with the betting!
This is my main bet today. Good luck all those having a punt :thumbsup:

Lucky 31 (x62) Each Way

14. Capotes Dream
5/1
29th May HAYDOCK 13:45 HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
2. Hester Prynne
11/2
29th May BEVERLEY 14:00 EVENT 0m 5f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
7. Mo Celita
9/2
29th May HAYDOCK 16:05 HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
16. Cousin Harry
5/1
29th May PUNCHESTOWN 16:10 2M 1/2F HCAP HURDLE 2m 100yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
10. Dont Tell Dj
6/1
29th May BEVERLEY 16:55 HANDICAP 0m 7f 96y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds
 
Not sure why Francky De Berlais is 16/1 but has to be worth an EW bet. Have backed it the last 3 times, won twice, taking away it's attempt at 3m, it's won or came second in it's last 6 races between 2m3f and 2m5f. Today is 2m4f. Would prefer softer ground but has ran well on good before. RP says this is a better race, I think it's around the same standard, just more runners, which could be a negative. However, 16/1 6 Places seems far too high for me.
Wouldn't go big, but I would say it's twice the price I would want to be laying.
 
Certainly not one for a big bet, but in the 8.10C The Aul Dubliner might run better than the 66/1 would suggest, in his first handicap. Ran ok last time despite being 7th, and might do ok here. 6 places with a few bookies.

7.50K Charlie Appleby is in really good form at the moment and think Renaissance Rose should win this quite easily. Typically I've been out and missed the earlier 4/1, but the current 9/4 is still decent. Will be doing some lengthen the odds bets too, 4l is 50/1 at the moment so probably have a few bets on the win, and up to that distance. Wasn't massively impressed with Zaajirah's win, so happy to take it on today. think the danger is more likely to be Prioritise at around 7/1.

Good luck if you are having a bet
 
Anyone any fancies for the Derby?
I backed John Leeper EW with Skybet as they are giving 5 places, think it has a great chance and I was very impressed with its last run, he won easily after not settling for the first half of the race.
If he settles better on Saturday I think he will go close.
Below is my favourite Derby, probably as it was the first Derby I had a bet in and happened to back the winner, and it was never in doubt.
Whats everyone else's favourite Derby?

 
I thought Third Realm was very impressive last time in the trial. My each way bet will go there most likely at 12/1.

Coronation Cup tomorrow Japan will be my pick but in honesty I think it's a poor renewal.
Oaks also doesnt have much to get excited about. Santa Barbara may stay A mile and Half and hose up having used the 1000 guineas as a prep run but I'll stick to a small bet on Ocean Road at 20/1.
Princess Elizabeth Stakes (2.35 Sat) see Statement run again. Obviously names forgiving her the guineas run for going off too fast. At this point I am prepared to follow her off a cliff:laugh:

I tried to do a small accum on all 4 of those. Japan 11/4
Ocean Road 20/1
Statement 5/1
Third Realm 12/1
It was paying something silly like 30k for a fiver. Bet365 limited me to 30cent:oops:






Unquestionably my favourite derby was 2002. The race itself wasnt exceptional but I loved High Chapparal and he did put away talented horses in Hawk Wing also from the O Brien stable and Naheef and Half Moon of Godolphin. Also Bandari of Mark Johnson yard. In those days many great races came down to Ballydoyle v Godolphin. In particular Galileo v Fantastic Light. Kinane v Dettori. O Brien v Bin Suroor. Good times!

I was at the curragh three weeks after to see him win the Irish derby at a canter, so impressive even if he was 1/3.
The horse never gets the credit it deserves imo. RP 2yo trophy winner, derby followed by Irish derby, also won two breeders cup turfs.
 
I'll probably not have a bet in the Derby, if I do it will be a lengthen the odds on the distance Bolshoi Ballet wins by. He is massively fancied by the yard and they are all in on him becoming the go to son of Galileo when it comes to breeding. For them to back up their claims he has to win this easily. There is a lot more at play here than winning a Derby, they are trying to keep a stranglehold on the breeding world. They are more invested in breeding than racing really these days, it will be a disaster for them if this gets beat, or even doesn't win easily.

If I was going to go against it then it would be Mac Swiney.
 
I'll probably not have a bet in the Derby, if I do it will be a lengthen the odds on the distance Bolshoi Ballet wins by. He is massively fancied by the yard and they are all in on him becoming the go to son of Galileo when it comes to breeding. For them to back up their claims he has to win this easily. There is a lot more at play here than winning a Derby, they are trying to keep a stranglehold on the breeding world. They are more invested in breeding than racing really these days, it will be a disaster for them if this gets beat, or even doesn't win easily.

If I was going to go against it then it would be Mac Swiney.
Good points colin.
I don't agree it would be a disaster for them though. We are talking about an operation that churns out classic winners year after year. Multiple classics at that.

I agree it's very strong statement from them to have a sole runner. Ballydoyle/Coolmore has always been breeding and stud weighted in aims. They ran Camelot in a leger he was never likely to stay in hopes of winning a triple crown and not having to go the route of winning an arc/breeders cup to back up derby winning form. Australia was another one who they tried their best to place on specific races to keep stud value at a premium. We could probably name 25/30 horses O Brien has had that went this kind of route to maximise stud value.

I would be interested to see of the 84 classic winners (Uk&Ireland combined) OBrien has had how many of those winners trained on to 4 year old careers as opposed to retired at 3.

In the last 20 years there been no standout. That you are correct stretches back to Galileo and to a lesser extent Milan more so NH I know.

I'm waffling now, my point is with the Coolmore stud having good stallions standing in NZ,Aus,USA and obviously here in Ireland too. No one classic contender losing is a disaster. They are already too mob handed!
 
Good points colin.
I don't agree it would be a disaster for them though. We are talking about an operation that churns out classic winners year after year. Multiple classics at that.

I agree it's very strong statement from them to have a sole runner. Ballydoyle/Coolmore has always been breeding and stud weighted in aims. They ran Camelot in a leger he was never likely to stay in hopes of winning a triple crown and not having to go the route of winning an arc/breeders cup to back up derby winning form. Australia was another one who they tried their best to place on specific races to keep stud value at a premium. We could probably name 25/30 horses O Brien has had that went this kind of route to maximise stud value.

I would be interested to see of the 84 classic winners (Uk&Ireland combined) OBrien has had how many of those winners trained on to 4 year old careers as opposed to retired at 3.

In the last 20 years there been no standout. That you are correct stretches back to Galileo and to a lesser extent Milan more so NH I know.

I'm waffling now, my point is with the Coolmore stud having good stallions standing in NZ,Aus,USA and obviously here in Ireland too. No one classic contender losing is a disaster. They are already too mob handed!
I would normally agree, except in this case they have been touting him around breeding circles as the best horse since Galileo for a while, and need him to win this to back those statements up.
Theres also a feeling in Ireland not too read too much into the fact it's the only runner in the race for him. There have been a lot of 'wrong' horses won big races for them recently, and the general feeling is that they don't want him being beaten by a stablemate. He gets beat by another horse they don't train, then the spin will be that he was a bit off and they obviously don't know how other stables runners have trained on, gets beat by a stablemate, they can't say that, not without basically admitting that they don't know their horses as well as they say they do.

Good luck with your bet though :)
 
I had a big long post written out but it's all irrelevant really.

We will just agree to disagree.

For anyone reading. I am not saying Bolshoi Ballet will not win the derby. He could hack up by 20 for all I know.
 
I had a big long post written out but it's all irrelevant really.

We will just agree to disagree.

For anyone reading. I am not saying Bolshoi Ballet will not win the derby. He could hack up by 20 for all I know.
If you still have it, post it please, I like reading them, they quite often challenge my thinking of things :)
FWIW I don't think his form stands up to any great scrutiny, it's more what the stable have to lose if he doesn't win thats affecting my reading of the race, and that taking that into account, I don't think theres value elsewhere, but I also wouldn't be backing it close to the current price. If it was 3/1 I would probably have a go, but not at the likely odds on on the day.
 
Here is the babble I honestly now have lost my train of thought though lol.



I live one county over from Ballydoyle and nothing has changed. No extra buzz about the one horse entry. Then again they are a stable who always keep their noses clean re:betting.
Getting a few hundred on a horse means nothing to boys operating in multi millions.

I fully understand what you are saying about the sole runner idea and having ready made excuses as a result. But I dont buy into it. As it never stopped O Brien before. Hes fired many darts before and been bullish about all of them then suddenly waxing lyrical about the winner after the fact.


High definition goes to the irish derby and Bolshoi ballet wont. So with that its definitely a different tactic. Keep them apart and hope to God they each win a derby.
St Marks Basilica and Van Dyck go to the Prix du Jockey Club in france Sunday and Kyprios goes straight to the queen Anne at ascot.
So they've split everything. Instead of firing a tonne at one classic. At least that's how I see it.



Entirely unrelated but this ban should be longer. The man in my opinion is a scumbag. He should have been banned for life back in '08 and all he got now is a 4 year suspension.
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Here is the babble I honestly now have lost my train of thought though lol.



I live one county over from Ballydoyle and nothing has changed. No extra buzz about the one horse entry. Then again they are a stable who always keep their noses clean re:betting.
Getting a few hundred on a horse means nothing to boys operating in multi millions.

I fully understand what you are saying about the sole runner idea and having ready made excuses as a result. But I dont buy into it. As it never stopped O Brien before. Hes fired many darts before and been bullish about all of them then suddenly waxing lyrical about the winner after the fact.


High definition goes to the irish derby and Bolshoi ballet wont. So with that its definitely a different tactic. Keep them apart and hope to God they each win a derby.
St Marks Basilica and Van Dyck go to the Prix du Jockey Club in france Sunday and Kyprios goes straight to the queen Anne at ascot.
So they've split everything. Instead of firing a tonne at one classic. At least that's how I see it.



Entirely unrelated but this ban should be longer. The man in my opinion is a scumbag. He should have been banned for life back in '08 and all he got now is a 4 year suspension.
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With that record he should never be allowed near a horse again, absolutely disgusting.
 
Thanks for that Ken :)

Not massively confident about anything today, but I'll have an EW Lucky 15 on these

3.45E Waters Edge 28/1 4 places is 5lb better off with HMS President (5/1) for a 2l beating at Windsor last time. The rain will be an advantage, and while it's a longshot, shouldn't be that price in my view.

4.30E In the Oaks, I like Dubai Fountain EW 15/2 4 places, beat Zeyaadah last time out and don't see any real reason why it would be turned round today.

5.40E Count Otto 20/1 4 places has ran here 3 times, winning once and coming second twice.

2.35E Muraad 11/1 4 places. Not sure what happened last time out, but taht run was too bad to be true, so giving it another chance here :)

Good luck today all
 
The change in going might temper the confidence on BB in the Derby today. Someone who was there yesterday said the ground was really cutting up in the last couple of races. Think the ground was reflected in the fact only 2 favourites won all day, and think today might be good for EW backers too.

I think if something does beat BB it could be Hurricane Lane or John Leeper. John Leeper faces a pretty daunting task early in his career and don't think he's shown as much as Hurricane Lane, add the fact Charlie Appleby is in outsanding form at the moment, I'll be going EW on HL at 6/1 4 places with PP/BF. I'll probably do a small R Trifecta on the three Appleby runners too, not that I expect it to win, but just in case :). Gear Up might have a chance, but I can't back it considering Johnston's form at the moment

3.45E Lord Riddiford may do ok here, think he will like the track, has been running well on the AW in decent races, and is 13lb lower here. 12/1 6 places seems too big to me.

2.20W Mr Mafia 11/1. Putting this in mainly because it's Sean's only ride of the day, he's in good form at the moment and rides this track well. The horse showed signs of getting back to form last time out, when coming second over C&D beaten half a length, in a similar race.

4.00M Breath Of Joy seems a little overpriced at 15/2 here. Hollie Doyle seems to get on well with it and could see her getting a place at least in this race.

Good luck today everyone.
 
Statement into 15/8 from 5/1 last night. I have a decent ish each way bet on at 5s but 15/8 is too short now imo. So very happy with the price I got.

As for the derby. I'm sticking with third Realm.
Won the derby trial at Lingfield while he may not have beaten much in Adayar but they pulled well clear contests here also.
14/1 eac way 4 places with 12 runners on PP.
 
I am sticking with John Leeper in the Derby as my main bet, but will have a saver on MacSwiney @ 8/1 ew 5 places with Skybet, it has the group one form in the book and Jim Bolger knows how to win the race.
Bolshoi Ballet will probably win by a distance, but I just cant have him at 6-4.
Of the other racing today, Han Solo Berger ew 6 places in the dash is another bet for me, but not too much else to get excited about.

Good luck to all with their investments today.
 
Its great to see the crowds back at the races even if they are limited. Here are mine at Epsom today. Good luck with your bets

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

20. Duke Of Firenze
25/1
5th Jun EPSOM DOWNS 15:45 HANDICAP 0m 5f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
4. Hurricane Lane
13/2
5th Jun EPSOM DOWNS 16:30 EVENT 1m 4f 6y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
5. Grantley
11/2
5th Jun DONCASTER 16:50 HANDICAP 1m 0f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
4. Desert Safari
5/1
5th Jun EPSOM DOWNS 17:50 HANDICAP 0m 6f 3y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds
 
2021-06-05 (1).webp


Just going to leave this here before the winning distance is given, commentator said 5 lengths, I thought 4 :(
 
Horse race betting wise I could stop a train at the minute. Doesnt stop me having a punt though :oops:
Luckily I'm doing ok in golf/rugby betting so I'm slightly ahead for the month as a result.


I've been looking at the Prix du Jockey Club(French Derby)today and think there is value to be had somewhere.
I think the best chance for a winner from UK or Ireland is not an OBrien horse but Megallan. The Gosdens have a better record in this race than O Brien too. The race is always been an afterthought for them due to its timing.

Megallans line of form from the Dante at York is quite impressive. he split Hurricane Lane(3rd in Epsom Derby yesterday) and High Definition(Irish Derby Fav)
The fact it's over a mile 2f is likely to suit as a result too.
Unfortunately after a quick look on oddschecker its seems the best value is with Wills Hills and Betfred I cant bet with either but if you can get on there its 5 places at 11/1 currently.
The French horse I fancy most is Makaloun. Trainer has an outstanding record here and connections have too. Also 11/1 5 places with the same two firms.

I've included them in a couple of multiples and done a rfc also. Haven't even looked at the rest of that card just the one bet there.
Not great fare at home today but theres one or two.

Screenshot_20210606-104531_Chrome.jpg



Adapt to Dan is a reserve but with a run 10/1 is a big each way price. Good form, nice draw and likes this distance/ground.
Call my bluff is in excellent form and the hope is a small rise in weights wont stop the improvement. Exchange rate is having a first run in 3 years so fitness is taken on trust but Willie Mullins is obv capable. If fit he is about 17lbs well in here so worth the each way poke.



GL all having a go.
 
I want to apologize Colin. I logged on to say Prey for glory was a cracking each way shot to nothing between the drop in class and the recent decent efforts. So you can blame me if he bombs out lol.

Same can be said for Added Bonus 3.05 at Listowel. Not much else doing so I've done an ew double on those two and two ew singles.


Prey for Glory is 11/2 on PP
Added Bonus is 8/1 on PP (5places)

I'd be happy with two places but the double is around 60/1 for the win.


Gl all
 
4.35Y Illusionist 8/1 5 Places. Illusionist was outpaced at the end of a quite hot 6f handicap last time out, so should enjoy the step up in trip. The stable is in excellent form and I'll be surprised if he doesn't get a place at least. Only runner of the day for the stable too.

2.10S Dashing Dick 7/1. Second the last two runs, in similar races to this, can't see any reason why he won't be up there at the end of this race too. Jockey is in decent form, banging in the winners.

5.45A Falberto 10/1 should be good enough to place in this fairly poor race

7.25A Nordic Combined 7/1, again, a poor race that won't take much winning, think this should get placed.

One win bet, small double on:

1.35S Native Trail should win this at around evens.
3.45C Flip Mode 11/4

Good luck today
 
Didn't do much the weekend as it seemed like every decent horse is waiting for Ascot to start.

Incidentally anybody with a PP or Bet365 a/c both have free €5 bets. PP is for the first race only but you can use it in alternative markets.
I did Sir Busker 12/1 without the favourite who is 4/9!!


Seems to heaps of money early for Dhabab in the 3.05. Bet 365 are 12/1 into 6/1. PP 10/1 into 9/2.

Looking forward to the sprint too at 3.40.
Winter Power looks a smart sprinter.
Couple him with the american sprinters in this and they may give Battash something to think about.


In the last race Saldier is a significant enough entry, felt like Listowel the last day was a prep race for this race.
He won well so the 4lb penalty is nothing to worry about imo. Getting short enough now though at 11/4.
 
my early thoughts on tomorrow

2.30 Palace Pier should win but at 2/5 isn't really backable. EW I like Lope Y Fernandez has form on the straight track and likes firm. Currently 14/1 at Betfair. Regal Reality at 18's is overpriced and I think will start around 12's. Has a chance of a place too.

5.00 Elysian Flame has a good chance of getting placed here, was badly hampered at the start last time out, then didn't get a clear run about 2f out. I think he lost more than the 7l he was beaten by, and if he manages a clear run tomorrow should do much better. Likes the trip, likes the going. Currently 14/1 6 places, another I think will be shorter tomorrow, more like 8/1.

5.35 Fox Tal 16/1 4 places, think this will be a lot closer than the betting suggests.

6.10 Saldier quite possibly will win this (sorry Ken, both liking the same horse, disaster :D ) but I'm not taking 5/2. Going to go EW on Gallota Bridge 22/1 5 places. Typical profile of a horse Dr Newland tends to do well with.

Good luck to everyone
 
It promises to be a great week of racing. I have played safe for tomorrow despite doing quite well recently. Although in the morning I may have another look and do a bet based on outsiders too.
Good luck all that are having a punt this week :)

Lucky 31 (x62) Each Way

12. The Acropolis
11/2
15th Jun ROYAL ASCOT 15:05 EVENT 0m 6f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
16. Winter Power
7/2
15th Jun ROYAL ASCOT 15:40 EVENT 0m 5f 0y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
11. Poetic Flare
4/1
15th Jun ROYAL ASCOT 16:20 EVENT 0m 7f 213y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
18. Just Hubert
9/1
15th Jun ROYAL ASCOT 17:00 HANDICAP 2m 3f 210y - Each Way

Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
13. Patrick Sarsfield
7/2
15th Jun ROYAL ASCOT 17:35 EVENT 1m 1f 212y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
Best odds
 
Frustrating day yesterday, a 2nd, 3rd and 5th where it was 4 places. The other one, Fox Tai looked like it might win and was backed from 20's into 15/2, then gave up at the end of the race :(

5.00A Revich 66/1 7 places. A bit torn about this one, was the 11/4f in his last race which was the same class as this, but only 10 runners, and blew the start at Chester, which is fatal. trainer isn't in good form, and has Hayley Turner on board, who I've never been a massive fan of. However, despite the negatives, I think the horse has decent form and should get in the first 7, and is overpriced at 66's. It basically comes down to if they have solved the problem of him fluffing the start. If he starts well, then he should get placed.

3.40A Champers Elysee 12/1 4 places. His best form is on good or firm ground, and on his pedigree, firm will suit him best. This is the first time he's ran on fast ground since his G1 success at Leopardstown in September last year, which was a better race than this. Be very surprised if he isn't placed, and think he should be half the current price.

2.30A Desert Dreamer 11/1 7 places with Skybet, 12/1 4 places most other firms. Hasn't done anything wrong so far, jockey and trainer in decent enough form, token selection in a race anything could win.

6.10A Miss Mulligan 40/1 5 places. think this might outrun it's odds, has been running ok, albeit on slower ground, and might sneak a place. Think it's twice the price it should be.

Probably put the 4 above in an EW lucky 15.

4.20A It's a shame theres only 7 runners as I like My Oberon at 25/1 here. Has the form to win this, but the price puts me off, if there was 3 places, would be a bet. If I'm winning by then might stick a few £'s on just in case.

5.05U Kingston King 22/1 5 places Hills. Started it's life in better races than this, running pretty poorly. Been running ok in PTP races more recently. Low weight with Sean on board (his only ride of the day) on better ground could see him do a bit better than shown so far, the race isn't exactly overflowing with talent, and has had recent wind surgery that could also help his cause. I have a fiver free bet on Hills, might stick it on him to win by over 3 lengths when I see the prices later, should be around 100/1 I think.

Good luck if you're having a bet today.
 
Obviously Love should win, she was a wonderful filly last year but at the prices I'll just watch the race.

I have only backed Lafayette so far.
22/1 7 places in the 5.00.

Colin you'll be happy to know we picked different horses :laugh:
 
I had a couple of winners yesterday @ 11/1 ew and 9/2 win single, nothing in my lucky 15.

Today I have taken 2 against the field in the 5:00 as Skybet are paying 8 places - Maydanny and Trais Flours ( if you go back not too far in the form it was running in top class races and has now dropped down to a more manageable class).

A lucky 15 on
Kemari 3.05
Champers Elysee 3:40
Love 4:20
So I Told You 6:10

I also took Champers Elysee ew @ 11/1 and love in a single @ 11/10, that would be my banker for the meeting.

I will also take something in the two year old races as Skybet are doing 7 places and 6 places respectively.

Good luck to all having a dabble today, hoping you will get lots of winners.
 
The 5.00 has big priced horses written all over it so I've done a 10p R/Trifecta and 20p R/Exacta on the following just for a laugh and think they all have a decent chance of running better than the odds suggest

Lucander 40/1
Fame And Acclaim 40/1
Revich 66/1
Bell Rock 50/1
Bowerman 100/1

60 bets in the trifecta
20 bets in the exacta
 
This week is fast becoming a pinstickers paradise, so with that in mind heres mine for today :)

3.05 Think Mohaafeth needs taking on in this, especially at the price. He is a Frankel out of a Sea the Stars so he has to be taken on. One Ruler or Roman Empire are the two I like to take advantage if Mohaafeth doesn't like the trip, and going to go for the latter despite the quite hefty market drift. 10/1 seems a fair price to me.

3.40 Eshaada beat Gloria Mundi at Newbury and I can't see any reason why Eshaada is the higher price, so happy to back her at 13/2 4 places.

4.15 Stradivarius should really win this, but he doesn't win all the time, and at 11/10 I would rather be on something else EW. Think the ground will be too dry for the second fav, Trueshan, leaving Subjectivist as the EW choice in the race. 6/1 4 places

then just token selections

5.00 Summa Peto 12/1

5.35 Act Of Wisdom 25/1 6 places Hills

6.10 Persuasion 12/1 6 places

Lermoos Legend (13/8) should win again tonight in the 5.45, as should Beau Haze (11/4) in the 7.20. Probably put those 2 in a treble with Equus Dancer (10/11) in the 8.20. Treble pays around 18/1.

Good luck today
 
A couple of winners yesterday and a decent bet on Love meant that I am still in front but the handicaps havent been the kindest to me so far.

Today I will have a few EW horses and a Lucky 15:

Second Wind 2:30
Mohaafeth 3:05
Eshaada 3:40
Stradivarius 4:15

EW I think Bielsa could run a big race in the 6:10 even though its the first go over 7 furlongs - I think he can sit in behind a strong pace and come with a run in the final furlong.
Lord Protector is another I will back ew and if theres more rain today and it starts to get into the ground I will have a few quid ew on Princess Zoe in the Gold Cup, though I think Stradivarius is by far the best horse in the race.
Raadoburg looked very good on his last two runs and I would think he has every chance in the 5:00.

Good luck to everyone investing today, may your returns be big and may you give your bookie a spanking.
 
Not doing much today, but beware the going at Ascot is now soft and if it starts raining again, it's likely to turn heavy. It stopped about 30 minutes ago but more is likely through the morning.

With that in mind, I think Alenquer in the 3.05 is a decent bet. Aside from beating the Derby winner and today's rival Yibir at Sandown, he’ll appreciate the extra 2f and being a German bred is related to a family who love it the deeper the better (inc In Swoop) and its supposed to lash down all day today. The opposition are really poor and I’m being kind there. My main worry is Tom Marquand being on board, I'm not impressed with his style of riding usually, but he does get some winners, so not a massive negative. Currently bossted to 5/2 on PaddyPower I think this is a really good bet, and, especially if more rain comes, will be about double the SP. For an EW selection, it would have to be Gear Up.

In the 3.40 A Case Of You should love the ground, 12/1 5 places

5.00 Urban Violet is another who will like the ground, might get a place at 22/1 6 places is very big to me.

5.35 Zabeel Champion 14/1 5 places

Can't see Mo Celita being beaten by far, if at all, in the 6.10. 11/2 5 places.

Good luck today
 

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