Horse Racing & Tips Thread

[geordiecolin]

There is some nice racing at Punchestown tomorrow. Enniskillen is running in the 7.00 but at 16 year old it must be the oldest horse I have seen racing for decades

 

[Kenji85]

There is some nice racing at Punchestown tomorrow. Enniskillen is running in the 7.00 but at 16 year old it must be the oldest horse I have seen racing for decades

It really is great racing for all, some big field handicaps and great grade one racing.

Enniskillen at 16 sure is an old timer. Looks like hes just out for a jog though and hope he comes around the x-country course safely.
On betting that looks a match between the two Bolger runners. Its a race I'll swerve as the fav hasn't run since this race two years ago. I have no doubt Bolger will have them schooled and ready but at odds on I am not prepared to trust a horses fitness.

Really looking forward to seeing the two grade 1 chases.
In the Irish Champion chase at 5.25 you would have to think 2m and G/F ground will not suit Allaho.
Chacun Pour Soi has no hill to face here and will for sure prefer the flat finish. Also not likely to be phased by the better ground. Can't rule out Nube Negra either. We know will prefer this ground and finished 2nd to Chacun's 3rd at the festival.
Betfair pay 3 places on this race if you fancy an outsider every other bookie pays two.
I really can't see Nube Negra out of the front 2 and will take the 4/1. In saying that Chacun Pour Soi amy look a massive price come 5.30 at 11/8.

In the other Grade 1 chase at 6.30 I don't think I've ever seen 4 such high class novice chasers take each other on and I look forward to watching it.
Monkfish deserves to be fav slightly from Envoi Allen given he styaed on his feet at the festival. Unbeaten last season and no questions about the trip. Envoi Allen is as talented as they come. Colreevy won at Cheltenham also and is 7/1 in a 4 runner race! Even the outsider Franco du Port was second in a grade one last time and he is 50/1.
I am struggling to seperate the two favs though so I will most likely just watch it and hope for a good race.

Small bet on Hallowed Star in the 3.40 at 7/1. 5 places each way.
Shark Hanlon has won this race before afaik and I rememeber thinking this horse needs a bit of better ground last time, which we have today.

Depending on how Great Bear runs in the opener I may or may not back Ruaille Buaille in the 4.50 PP pay 6 places and at 11/1 its a fair price considering it was 3rd to Magic Tricks 2nd last time. For that reason I could not back Magic tricks at half the price for a narrow defeat.
I have already also backed one at a bigger price, small bet each way on Cayd Boy at 20/1 ew. Dissapointed in the County Hurdle and has a nice chunk of weight. His 3lb claiming Jockey is very very good though and I feel the one bad run in a huge field can be forgiven.


This is a meeting I went to regularly over the years to see superstars run. The likes of Faugheen, Hurricane Fly and Sprinter Sacre in somewhat recent years always made it a special meeting!

GL all having a go!




BTW Free €5 bet on Paddy Power today.

 

[geordiecolin]

Nice write up Ken.

I think that the full week will be good for EW nutters like me

I quite like the chances of Mias Milan in the 7.00P so I've taken a small Ew at 33/1. I've struggled to find much to be confident in for my lucky 15 because one thing or another does not seem to suit them. The going, distance,time out since their last race etc.

I would like to see Champaign Gold win or place for Rachelle and I think its worth an EW pop.

No free bets in PP for the UK it seems

Good luck with your bets all


Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

17. Ya Ya Baby
9/2
27th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 15:40 2M 1/2F HCAP HURDLE 2m 100yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
9. Champagne Gold
12/1
27th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 16:50 2M 1/2F HCAP HURDLE 2m 100yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
17. Merlin Giant
9/2
27th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 17:55 2M 1/2F NH FLAT 2m 100yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
24. Glowing Account
11/4
27th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 19:35 2M 1/2F NH FLAT 2m 100yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
Best odds

 

[colinsunderland]

couple of quick ones from me
5.25 First Flow 20/1
4.50 Call Me Lyreen 25/1 6 places
Good luck

 

[colinsunderland]

ffs beaten on the nod there I think

 

[Slottery]

ffs beaten on the nod there I think

Can't get much closer

 

[Slottery]

Monkfish vs Envoi Allen next, few coins for Monkfish, interesting to see how they go.

 

[colinsunderland]

Yeah I reckon Monkfish too haven't back it though.

 

[colinsunderland]

And thats why I didn't back it.
I have a pretty hard rule of never backing in 3/4 horse races, they invariably either have a massively odds on favourite that wins by half the track, or if the favourite is more like 1/2 - 5/4ish an outsider wins. The only time I break the rule is if I really fancy the outsider more than the favourite!

 

[Slottery]

And thats why I didn't back it.
I have a pretty hard rule of never backing in 3/4 horse races, they invariably either have a massively odds on favourite that wins by half the track, or if the favourite is more like 1/2 - 5/4ish an outsider wins. The only time I break the rule is if I really fancy the outsider more than the favourite!

Made only small bet to get bit extra to watch, was pretty blind one, based only name to the meeting of Monkfish and Envoi Allen. If would have studied even a tiny bit of that "huge amount" of other horses in race, could possibly have backed winner with nice odds too, didn't realize Colreevy is 5/5 on fences, beaten last time in hurdles Cheltenham 2020, second G1 win over fences, two G2:s as well.

Not that big outsider than odds after just one minute look

 

[colinsunderland]

Colreevy was in foal too which makes the win even more impressive, it's very rare a horse will win like that!

 

[cncas2123]

Colreevy was in foal too which makes the win even more impressive, it's very rare a horse will win like that!

It just shows how important he mares allowance is in a race like this, though Colreevy won it easy enough.
And she probable had the hardest race of all the runners in the race at Cheltenham which makes it all the more impressive.

 

[Kenji85]

The last mare I saw in foal win a top class graded race was Voler la Vedette for C Murphy a few years back now. She seemed to thrive on it.

I didn't punt a lot or win for that matter today.

Tomorrow's gold cup race looks a nice betting heat if you fancy one. Al Boum Photo rightly fav. Clan ded Obeaux and Fakir Doudairies stop the race being a Willie Mullins only affair. Both are decent chances too. Kemboy also has a good chance imo.

 

[colinsunderland]

The last mare I saw in foal win a top class graded race was Voler la Vedette for C Murphy a few years back now. She seemed to thrive on it.

I didn't punt a lot or win for that matter today.

Tomorrow's gold cup race looks a nice betting heat if you fancy one. Al Boum Photo rightly fav. Clan ded Obeaux and Fakir Doudairies stop the race being a Willie Mullins only affair. Both are decent chances too. Kemboy also has a good chance imo.

I know one of the owners of Kemboy so will be cheering it on

 

[GordonotRamsay]

Well there are a lot of tips when it comes to horse racing but i do only have one tip, and that is to make time for research. There are many people out there who are thinking twice when it comes to making the most of their bets since that some people tend to lose a lot of money in the process. I think is it much easier to consider how many horses are there in the race, and how a single horse has ran well in his past few races as well. That is why research is so vital.

 

[colinsunderland]

3.55A Haqeeqy was impressive winning the Lincoln, but he was effectively running off 93. He 'might' win today, but not for me at Even money. I think Sir Busker is the most likely winner of this race and Marie's Diamond another with a decent chance. Doing a small RFC on them. Currently 9/2 and 17/2 respectively.

4.15P Suprise Package is extremely well thought of by the stable and owners. Was 33/1 yesterday and 12/1 now. They will all be extremely disappointed if he isn't in the first 4. Quite a big EW bet from me on this one. They do think Calthor and Breakeven are the two dangers in the race. 12/1 4 places

5.55P Has to be Kemboy because I know one of the owners, but would back it regardless. 4/1. Melon would be my second choice as I think the front two in the market do better after a break.

Good Luck today

 

[geordiecolin]

Just made it in time! Good luck with your bets



Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

1. Mt Leinster Gold
13/2
28th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 15:40 2M 4 1/2F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f 120yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
4. Heather Rocco
9/4
28th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 16:15 2M 4 1/2F HURDLE 2m 4f 120yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
2. Royal Rendezvous
8/1
28th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 19:00 2M 4F HCAP CHASE 2m 4f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
4. Glan
11/2
28th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 19:35 2M 1/2F NH FLAT 2m 70yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
Best odds

 

[cncas2123]

3.55A Haqeeqy was impressive winning the Lincoln, but he was effectively running off 93. He 'might' win today, but not for me at Even money. I think Sir Busker is the most likely winner of this race and Marie's Diamond another with a decent chance. Doing a small RFC on them. Currently 9/2 and 17/2 respectively.

4.15P Suprise Package is extremely well thought of by the stable and owners. Was 33/1 yesterday and 12/1 now. They will all be extremely disappointed if he isn't in the first 4. Quite a big EW bet from me on this one. They do think Calthor and Breakeven are the two dangers in the race. 12/1 4 places

5.55P Has to be Kemboy because I know one of the owners, but would back it regardless. 4/1. Melon would be my second choice as I think the front two in the market do better after a break.

Good Luck today

Cracker @colinsunderland , had a fiver ew @ 16-1 on surprise package, that’s the next few days covered

 

[colinsunderland]

Cracker @colinsunderland , had a fiver ew @ 16-1 on surprise package, that’s the next few days covered

Glad you got on
I was actually told yesterday to back it to win, not EW, when it was 33/1, and I just thought, it wouldn't be 33/1 if it was that strongly fancied, pfffttt. Price collapsed and it won easily lol.
Shame Kemboy didn't win, and Sir Busker, but at least I read the race ok, that the short priced favourite wouldn't be good enough

 

[colinsunderland]

I can't see Livelovelaugh being outside the first five in the next at Punchestown. Although it's a 24 runner race, theres probably only 6 or 7 who have a chance of winning, Livelovelaugh likes big fields, likes the ground, jockey and trainer in ok form. Currently 15/2 6 places with PP/BF.

7.35 Hollymount won on debut but was soundly beaten last time out, however, the ground was heavy that day. Not sure he will win, but 9/1 4 places with PP/BF seems a decent enough price to me, considering Jamie Codd has around a 75% rate of being in the first 4 in Irish NHF races over the last 5 seasons, and around the same this season.

In the Champions League match later, think PSG are a stronger team in the first half, and Man City stronger in the second. Just wanted a bit of an interest in the match, so doing HT/FT PSG/Man City at 22/1

Good luck

 

[Slottery]

Happy that Nicholls trained won Gold Cup, feels that 30-50% of horses at this festival comes from Mullins.

 

[colinsunderland]

I can't see Livelovelaugh being outside the first five in the next at Punchestown. Although it's a 24 runner race, theres probably only 6 or 7 who have a chance of winning, Livelovelaugh likes big fields, likes the ground, jockey and trainer in ok form. Currently 15/2 6 places with PP/BF.

7.35 Hollymount won on debut but was soundly beaten last time out, however, the ground was heavy that day. Not sure he will win, but 9/1 4 places with PP/BF seems a decent enough price to me, considering Jamie Codd has around a 75% rate of being in the first 4 in Irish NHF races over the last 5 seasons, and around the same this season.

In the Champions League match later, think PSG are a stronger team in the first half, and Man City stronger in the second. Just wanted a bit of an interest in the match, so doing HT/FT PSG/Man City at 22/1

Good luck

Those 2 horses did shite, and the football didn't need a bet to make it interesting, the 2nd half was really good. Glad I put the bet on though haha.

 

[geordiecolin]

Those 2 horses did shite, and the football didn't need a bet to make it interesting, the 2nd half was really good. Glad I put the bet on though haha.

Very good tipping today Col. Lots of big fields tomorrow in Ireland

 

[colinsunderland]

Very good tipping today Col. Lots of big fields tomorrow in Ireland

yeah was gutted the 25/1 shot got beaten by so little yesterday but today made up for it
Going to be busy most of tomorrow so not sure if I'll be having a bet unless I hear anything positive about anything

 

[geordiecolin]

yeah was gutted the 25/1 shot got beaten by so little yesterday but today made up for it
Going to be busy most of tomorrow so not sure if I'll be having a bet unless I hear anything positive about anything

I've already stuck my bet on because I think some of the prices will shorten. Good luck if our having a punt tomorrow


Lucky 31 (x62) Each Way

16. Cousin Harry
8/1
29th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 15:40 2M HCAP HURDLE 2m 40yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
8. Jungle Junction
11/2
29th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 16:15 2M HCAP CHASE 2m - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
7. Blue Templar
17/2
29th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 16:50 4M 2F CHASE 4m 2f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
6. French Dynamite
16/1
29th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 17:25 3M HURDLE 3m - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
22. Max Flamingo
10/1
29th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 18:00 3M HCAP HURDLE 3m - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
Best odds

 

[colinsunderland]

4.15P Friday - Notice To Close, might get a place here at a (hopefully) big price. I would be wanting 16's as an absolute minimum though and theres no prices yet so have to wait and see.

5.25P Thursday James Du Berlais's (22/1) French rating translates to 164, the same as Flooring Porter's (7/4), however, I do think FP's is possibly a fair bit lower than it should be. That said, there shouldn't be a 23 point difference between the prices and happy to take a chance EW 5 places at 22's. In the same race Saldier could be anything, the stable thought he would be competing in the champion hurdle at one point so has clearly shown stuff at home, just isn't showing it on the racecourse at the moment.

3.40P Thursday Golden Spear, bane of my life this horse. Backed it the last twice when it's ran like it's got 3 legs, but also when it was 3rd in a much better race than this last summer, at 66/1. Not suggesting anyone backs it, but I'll be having a couple of £ EW just in case tomorrow is it's day 33/1 7 places with skybet, 5 places elsewhere.

If I hear or see anything else I'll pop them up if I have time

Good luck tomorrow

 

[colinsunderland]

4.15P Friday - Notice To Close, might get a place here at a (hopefully) big price. I would be wanting 16's as an absolute minimum though and theres no prices yet so have to wait and see.

Currently 25/1 5 places, so will be having a small EW on it

Can't believe I'm actually doing ok in Ireland! A 22/1 second today, 14/1 winner yesterday and a 25/1 2nd beaten in a photo the day before, I think thats better than I have done in the past 5 years over there

 

[Kenji85]

Didn't get to see much today with real life getting in the way. I see Willie Mullins did his usual Hoover job winning race after race.


I've not picked much tomorrow and may have a bet yet at goodwood and the meeting at Cheltenham.

In punchestown I expect Rachael Blackmore and HdB to have a good day. Honeysuckle and Bob Olinger are both odds on but deservedly so.
Another one that they saddle I find interesting is Abbey Magic at 11/1 4 places at PP.
Nice weight and far from disgraced in a listed mares race last time. Definitely value for me. I expect a good run for my money and a very very solid place chance at the least.

 

[geordiecolin]

Backing every single Mullins horse on the nose that ran this week must have made you up quite a bit this week.

These are mine for tomorrow. As usual I bet at least one will be a none runner. Good luck if your having a punt


Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

8. Antey
6/1
30th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 16:15 2M 5F HCAP CHASE 2m 5f - Each Way
16:15 Tomorrow
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
8. Demi Plie
13/2
30th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 16:50 2M 5F HCAP CHASE 2m 5f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
4. Caid Du Berlais
7/2
30th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 18:35 3M 1/2F CHASE 3m 120yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
10. M C Muldoon
10/3
30th Apr PUNCHESTOWN 19:05 2M HURDLE 2m - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
Best odds

 

[colinsunderland]

Haven't worked profit/loss out but he has had quite a few losers too! I think all his winners have been for different owners too, which is pretty good going.

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[colinsunderland]

working it out in my head you would be roughly even I think

 

[geordiecolin]

working it out in my head you would be roughly even I think

working it out in my head you would be roughly even I think

I probably should have qualified that by excluding the rank outsiders which would have reduced the outlay quite significantly. But cheers for that Col

 

[colinsunderland]

Didn't get to see much today with real life getting in the way. I see Willie Mullins did his usual Hoover job winning race after race.


I've not picked much tomorrow and may have a bet yet at goodwood and the meeting at Cheltenham.

In punchestown I expect Rachael Blackmore and HdB to have a good day. Honeysuckle and Bob Olinger are both odds on but deservedly so.
Another one that they saddle I find interesting is Abbey Magic at 11/1 4 places at PP.
Nice weight and far from disgraced in a listed mares race last time. Definitely value for me. I expect a good run for my money and a very very solid place chance at the least.

I wouldn't go too deep on either of them, obviously they should win, but it would be concerning that neither Rachael or Henry have won a race during the festival so far, including some quite short priced favourites. Bob Olinger is a non runner too.

 

[colinsunderland]

In the 1000 guineas on Sunday I've heard good things about Queens Speech, currently 25/1.

 

[colinsunderland]

4.15P I'm A Game Changer, 50/1 5 places. Polished Steel beat him last summer into second, and he was running well and looked like he was going to place at the very least, when he fell at the second last when going into an extended lead (was about 3l clear when he fell). Nothing really came from behind, and he looked to be going strongly, so on that evidence, I'm A Game Changer shouldn't be 50/1. Not saying it will win, but I would have had it at around 12/1-16/1 if I were pricing the race up.
6.35P Think Bob & Co should win this (3/1) but like On The Sod for a place at 25/1 4 places.

 

[Kenji85]

I wouldn't go too deep on either of them, obviously they should win, but it would be concerning that neither Rachael or Henry have won a race during the festival so far, including some quite short priced favourites. Bob Olinger is a non runner too.

I haven't backed either mate. Even the double was only paying 2's! Like you say Bob Olinger is a nr now anyway.
Also Abbey Magic(my other stable pick ew in the 4.50) out to 18's.Might be something to that, as in all HdB's horses were wound up for the festival and this is an after thought. Altough if that was the case no way he runs Honeysuckle unless he believs she'll win, mares allowance and all.

In the 1000 guineas on Sunday I've heard good things about Queens Speech, currently 25/1.

Am I missing something? or maybe just pulled out. I see a field of 12 and no sign of Queens Speech.

Doesn't matter to my bet anyway I'm on statement at fancy prices becuase I am a glutton for punishment


GL with all the bets folks.

 

[colinsunderland]

I haven't backed either mate. Even the double was only paying 2's! Like you say Bob Olinger is a nr now anyway.
Also Abbey Magic(my other stable pick ew in the 4.50) out to 18's.Might be something to that, as in all HdB's horses were wound up for the festival and this is an after thought. Altough if that was the case no way he runs Honeysuckle unless he believs she'll win, mares allowance and all.

Am I missing something? or maybe just pulled out. I see a field of 12 and no sign of Queens Speech.

Doesn't matter to my bet anyway I'm on statement at fancy prices becuase I am a glutton for punishment


GL with all the bets folks.

ffs lol. Yep non runner now.

Hunters Chase 8.15C Peacocks Secret should win this.

 

[cncas2123]

4.15P I'm A Game Changer, 50/1 5 places. Polished Steel beat him last summer into second, and he was running well and looked like he was going to place at the very least, when he fell at the second last when going into an extended lead (was about 3l clear when he fell). Nothing really came from behind, and he looked to be going strongly, so on that evidence, I'm A Game Changer shouldn't be 50/1. Not saying it will win, but I would have had it at around 12/1-16/1 if I were pricing the race up.
6.35P Think Bob & Co should win this (3/1) but like On The Sod for a place at 25/1 4 places.

Another good shout, 2.50 ew as I didnt fancy anything in the race and it was 4th @ 100/1. Keep 'em coming

 

[colinsunderland]

I'm A Game Changer came 4th at 100/1, not sure what happened to Not A Chance but was up there towards the end too (edit 7th)

5:00 - Downbythestrand @ 25/1.
5:35 - Getting Closer @ 16/1 & Hadmeathello @ 15/2
18:10 - Moscow Prices @ 22/1
18:45 - Summer Sounds @ 25/1
19:15 - Fishy Story @ 12/1
19:45 - Optimised @ 12/1 (4 places)
20:15 - Eric The Third @ 40/1 and Peacocks Secret @ 4/1

Not my tips but from someone who knows PTP and Hunters Chases very well and does reasonably well with them (usually).

 

[colinsunderland]

Another good shout, 2.50 ew as I didnt fancy anything in the race and it was 4th @ 100/1. Keep 'em coming

 

[Slottery]

Not my tips but from someone who knows PTP and Hunters Chases very well and does reasonably well with them (usually).

What da heck these Hunters Chases are? It's been really interesting to try to learn something about horse racing, loads to get for one who's only been using the metric system and decimal odds before

Really enjoyable way to have a little bets there and there, hopefully audience is allowed to races next jump season, wanna go to Cheltenham or Grand National once in life.

This was first winter i paid bit more attention and tried to start to understand a racing little bit, what you prefer, jump or flat season? Guess it can be different one for betting and for watching.

 

[colinsunderland]

What da heck these Hunters Chases are? It's been really interesting to try to learn something about horse racing, loads to get for one who's only been using the metric system and decimal odds before

Really enjoyable way to have a little bets there and there, hopefully audience is allowed to races next jump season, wanna go to Cheltenham or Grand National once in life.

This was first winter i paid bit more attention and tried to start to understand a racing little bit, what you prefer, jump or flat season? Guess it can be different one for betting and for watching.

From google (as it was easier)

Hunter Chases are basically races over steeplechase fences for horses that have a hunters certificate and are ridden by amateur jockey's. Professional trainers can run horses in hunter chases, but can't run them in points.

So you get a lot of cross over between points and hunter chasers.

I really like Peacocks Secret in this race, had a decent bet on it.

I prefer jumps

 

[Kenji85]

The 2000Guineas looks wide open today.
I can't be having Wembley at 7/2.He is as big as 6.4 on the exchanges at the min too. He is favourite for the Guineas purely through the fact hes OBriens no.1 on jockey bookings seems the only reason he is favourite. The horse has 6 runs and only win is a roscommon maiden. The form ties in closely with Thunder Moon also. At least he looks a little more progressive potentially.

I doubt I'll back anything with any degree of confidence in it.

For a mad bet I'll chance Devilwara at 100/1 ew 4 places. His comeback run was poor but he did lose a shoe. Prior to that was only behind thunder moon by not much in the Dewhurst. Also Beckett is in flying form. Only 1 of his last 12 runners countrywide was unplaced.

 

[Kenji85]

Elsewhere heres 5 horses to avoid today as I fancy them all to place at least.
If all 5 win it's an easy 40k and my Chinese later is upgraded to a trip to China for dinner.

Gl all

 

[cncas2123]

I will be having a dabble on Chindit ew in the Guineas, thought it won its prep race readily enough and looks like the mile will be perfect for it.
As @Kenji85 says the only reason Wembley is fav is because Ryan Moore is on it, and for me if it was the real deal from Ballydoyle it would be a lot shorter.
Good luck to all over the next few days.

 

[colinsunderland]

Yeah the big race seems like it could be won by pretty much any of the 15 runners, very hard race to read. Kieren Fallon seems very confident about One Ruler, but as he's a bit of a dick, we shall see . The top rated are

No. Draw Form Horse OR RPR
15 8 22122- Wembley 118 131
13 10 113- Thunder Moon 117 131
6 3 12152- Lucky Vega 116 130
11 7 21312- One Ruler 114 127

Out of those, and going on value, I think I would be on Lucky Vega, currently 12/1 5 places with Hills (and SkyBet but no BOG on there), probably be a race I just watch rather than bet in though.

Having said that, Mutasaabeq ran extremely fast LTO out, if he can repeat that, then has a good chance of winning. Obviously very limited form to go on with him.

 

[colinsunderland]

EW Lucky 15 on these

2.25N Garrus 6/1
2.15P Ballyboker Bridge 12/1 4 places
1.55U Passing Shadow 10/1 4 places
2.10T Rocket Dancer 17/2 4 places

Small EW Lucky 15 on the long priced outsiders below

1.50N Graphite 80/1 4 places, put this up for the Lincoln where it came last, but had had over a year off. It's French form suggests it will outrun it's odds if it retains any ability.
4.15N Lord Rapscallion 25/1
5.05P Koshari 25/1 6 places
2.40T Waarif 70/1 5 places

Good luck today everyone

 

[geordiecolin]

Very nice tipping this week Col. It must have been a very good week for you Here are mine in Ireland today. Good luck all with your bets


Lucky 31 (x62) Each Way

5. Josies Orders
7/1
1st May PUNCHESTOWN 14:15 3M 1F CHASE 3m 1f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
2. Freewheelin Dylan
15/2
1st May PUNCHESTOWN 14:50 3M 7F HCAP CHASE 3m 7f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
16. Jerandme
9/1
1st May PUNCHESTOWN 16:30 3M 1/2F HCAP CHASE 3m 120yds - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
23. Tronador
12/1
1st May PUNCHESTOWN 17:05 2M 4F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 6 Places
17. Millyinthemiddle
3/1
1st May PUNCHESTOWN 17:40 2M 4F HCAP HURDLE 2m 4f - Each Way

Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places

 

[Slottery]

My daughter picked nice winner by name, my ones couldn't beat the wall at least she and friend are happy with their delivery dinner and i keep hearing how "it's all about the skill to pick winners"

 

[Kenji85]

Did ok today. No good in the guineas although as suspected all the market leaders I didnt fancy bombed out.

My old pal Jeff Kidder won at 22/1 to make the day profitable. Having won previously at 80/1 then 5/1 and now 22/1 the horse owes me nothing that's for sure!


My feelings about tomorrow are well known. In the 1000 Guineas, Statement is now a general 9-10/1 shot. Still backable for those who fancy it. I have no intentions to lay off any of the 66/1 and 20/1 I got as they are for small enough stakes. I hoping for a good run for my money at least. That being said theres a lot more confidence behind ballydoyle favourite in this as opposed to the 2000Guineas. Santa Barbara was backed consistently all winter but at 6/4 and shorter it's not for me. O'Brien's horses often come on for the run also so with no prep run it's no gimme. Even if he has a ridiculously good record in this race.




Small interest on Camino Mission 11/1 ew in 2.15 at Sligo.
I didnt back it last time but watched the race. Made a note of it as the horse dwelt early and took a while to get motoring. Finished well to get 4th of 18 on heavy ground.



Good luck all having a bet.