playing roulette today on an accredited site, and i had 17 numbers covered at various stakes. i went on a run of hitting 1 number in 20 spins, my balance went from 1800 to 850 during tjis run.is this normal, and what are the odds of it happening?
Was it live roulette or the Megadrive version?
Because if it's the latter, I'd say the gameplay was dubious at best
Those figures are dismal indeed. Roulette is usually a 'safe' game and this is why bonus wagering is normally so low for it. Having about half of the numbers covered or even a third of the board should really entail more than 1 in 20 wins.
Of course strange sequences can occur, but come on, you'd have to have had broken several mirrors for this to happen to be honest
So I say firstly, unlucky, and secondly, stop playing there. Roulette is best played in an b & m casino
Those figures are dismal indeed. Roulette is usually a 'safe' game and this is why bonus wagering is normally so low for it. Having about half of the numbers covered or even a third of the board should really entail more than 1 in 20 wins.
Of course strange sequences can occur, but come on, you'd have to have had broken several mirrors for this to happen to be honest
So I say firstly, unlucky, and secondly, stop playing there. Roulette is best played in an b & m casino
i think i must have broken all the mirrors in the world!! i got an email to say that £100 bonus was in my account, so i tried it on the same roulette. im still convinced that yesterday was 1 number in 20 though the gameplay says 2 in 17, but todays is even worse. 15 numbers covered, £5 total stake and 1 hit for £5.40 in 22 spins. for something like that to happen once is a bad run, but twice in a row, its setting off alarm bells in my head. oh and thy replied last night to say my longest losing run was 6 numbers, but that was bollox as it was 2 hits in 17 spins, they are sticking their heads in the sand.
I think there's some questionable maths going on here so I figured I'd pitch in and try and clear things up.
Double Bonus Roulette uses a 00 wheel meaning there are the numbers 1-36, 0 and 00 making 38 bins. There's also a 'B' bin which is defined as 1.5x as likely to be selected as other bins. To make the numbers easier to get you head around double all the figures. So we have 38 bins each with a chance of 2 of being selected and the B bin has a chance of 3. So the chance of hitting any individual number is 2/79 and of hitting B is 3/79.
If you were betting straight up on 17 numbers (no 'B') the chance of hitting a no winner is (79 -(17*2))/79 = 45/79. For this to occur 20 times in a row we'd do (45/79)^20 = 0.00012933 or 1 in 77319. This isn't actually all that unlikely. If we drop this to 19 spins in a row without a win (assuming that the 20th was the winner) the odds are (45/79)^19 = 0.000022705 or 1 in 44043. When playing Jacks or Better Video Poker the odds of drawing a Royal Flush when playing optimum strategy are approximately 1 in 44k.
There are other factors here that make this analysis the worst possible condition. Firstly it's been stated that the real data set is actually 17 spins with 2 hits rather than 1 - if you look at the figures about you can see that the odds almost double for each extra spin without a win (which makes sense as the chances of a no win are a little over a half), so knocking it down to 17 spins with NO wins would give us odds of 1 in 14290 and if we said 15 spins with no wins it would be 1 in 4636 - suddenly things aren't really all that unlikely at all. And that's 15 spins in a row, not 16 with 15 losses and 1 win somewhere within which again changes the odds.
Secondly, taking a data set and selecting a subset based on a pre-existing hypothesis leads to selection bias. For instance, if I think that a roulette wheel is bias and is resulting in the number 32 occurring too often and go and record 1000 spins worth of data then and see 100 spins where 32 occurs 8 times, specifically withdrawing that 100 spins and analysing them would NOT give mathematically valid results. It ignores all the rest of the data set where 32 didn't occur more often than it should have. In this instance the OP suggests this is was "20 spins out of series of 25 with 3 hits". Selecting the worst subset of results doesn't paint a fair picture.
Not having a go at anyone here - it's a loss that sucks - just point out that the actually likelihood of this happening isn't nearly as remote as has been suggested.
TP
Im one of those people that had a really outrageous run on BJ and roulette a few years ago when I first decided to try it out instead of always slots.
I remember speaking to a manager about the odds of my cold spell and it was something like 350,000 - 1. He told me he never saw such bad luck ever. He actually gave me my deposit back even though I didnt ask. If im correct it was Dino from club gold.
I remember having live chat up and saying to them no matter what or how many numbers I bet, it keeps missing. I made a bet to prove a point So I covered 35 numbers twice and both times it landed on zero lol..which I left open. Live support was like "wow very bad luck"
I will still play it but only when drunk and have a few dollars left for the most part. I would never ever again deposit or have plans to sit down and have a session with it again. I dont even know the last time I played it online.
Now that I think of it I never see or hear any success stories in regards to those games online.
I dont care what anyone says, I truly do not trust them. They feel off. But still worth a haymaker when down to a couple bucks I guess?
I dont care what anyone says, I truly do not trust them. They feel off.
What ever you do, stay away from online Roulette...if you still wish to play, find a casino with Evolution Live games.....one of the best Table is "Immersive Live Roulette" with a real live dealer.
about your 20 loss in a row....sadly, it will happen a lot, Roulette can be very tricky....never play against the table, if you see Red, you play red.....it can go 15 times in a row easy!..........awhile ago i've had 20 times the section of the Zero hit, while i was betting 8 number around the 23, which is completely the opposite....went from 5000k to 100 Was soo stubborn couple years ago...
But these days i'm mostly following the Table, and Pressing the winning number, this way....you can go from 200$ to 10k quickly!
(or loss quickly )