Morning guys
Couple of big priced selections today and another mug acca of short priced favs.Yesterday Concertista was beaten a short head for the 14.5/1 acca to come up
Race 1 (1.20)
7 runners is disappointing for each way plays.
For the win Jamie Codd called
Bob Olinger 11/8 a certainty! Does have rock solid form for CH winning combo yesterday. Seems to have relished this step up in distance.
If you want an each way punt Ladbrokes offer 3 places 1/5 odds. I fancy
Keskonrisk each way at 12/1(only at laddies for the extra place)
Race 2 (1.55)
Whats to say here,
Monkfish looks a superstar and is one for the short priced acca, probably the banker leg.
At 4/11 he is not everyone's cup of tea and one alternative is Sporting John at 11/4 betting w/o the fav.
For me he is best of the rest.
Race 3 (2.30)
Big field and PP paying 7 places.
Janika at 28/1 each way is overpriced at the weights IF he can find anything close to his best chase runs. Big shout with 7 places for each way value imo.
Craignieche 15/2 disposed of him comfortably last time out and if he is not overly put off by the hike in weights up 12lbs he has a great chance also and I would put no one off.
The fav Grand Roi would be a bet but I have twice seen the horse not get up a hill now, once here and once at Galway.
Race 4(3.05)
Chacun Pour Soi is running here for first time, provided the track isn't an issue the horse is a super quick jumper, likes this ground.
Politologue 10/1 is one for the each way punter here imo. Always runs a solid race and hard to see out of the first 3.
Is 7/2 betting w/o the fav.
Race 5 (3.40)
Easyland is so short considering the ground and last run. Obv a fav's chance but I am not going crazy with it.
Tiger roll now no longer in the National is in this again(second to Easyland last year) but has had a very interrupted campaign thus far.
For me
Some Neck is value each way 10/1, 4 places.
Former Willie Mullins horse who is a C&D winner and the big danger to the fav for me.
Race 6 (4.15)
Big Wide open race PP pay 6 places.
Ibleo is 10/1 now so a little shorter than I hoped but I was taken with his last two runs and its a positive the horse won't mind big fileds or the ground for me.
Duc De Genievres is a hopeful poke at 33/1, won the Arkle here big weight but the ground is no slog, If he keeps it tidy could def see him sneak a place.
Race 7 (4.50)
I hate this race!
Every year I get tip upon tip for it as they are all relatively new everything in the field is fancied somewhat.
It looks on all known form a match between Kilcruit and Sir Gerhard.
Sir Gerhard will love this better ground and form is very solid of what there has been,
Kilcruit did lose the one time he faced a hill at clonmel on debut but since then, won twice including the same race Appreciate it (hosed up yesterday) and Envoi Allen(most likely will hose up tomorrow) won.
So for me just a token bet
The Skeltons are in form
Elle Est Belle has done nothing wrong in winning twice, will like the drier ground and gets the mares allowance.So she is the play for me each way at 18/1.
So the plays for me are
BANKER treble
Bob Olinger R1
Monkfish R2
Chacun Pour Soi R4 this treble pays 5.5/1
If you want to beef it up Easyland in R5 brings it up to 11.5/1 acca.
Each way Patent/Treble
Craignieche R3
Some Neck R5
Ibleo R6
The treble pays 849/1.
Each way shouts
Janika 28/1 in R3 each way 7 places.
Duc De Genrieves in R6 each way 6 places.
Keskonrisk in R1 each way 3 places(ladbrokes only!)
Good luck all having a punt.
)
and if it doesn't win you're still £235k up! Wow, what a bet!
