- Joined
- Mar 25, 2012
- Location
- IOM
The UK formally ceased to be a member state of the EU on the evening of 31st january 2020, and then entered a transitory period until 31st dec 2020.
The uk also entered lockdown in march 2020, and came out of that finally in mar 2022. Then we've seen a major war start in the east of europe and massive price inflation of energy and other essentials, plus increases in interest rates globally.
Only a delusional person would think this is a clean slate from which you can accurately assess and attribute factors to economic performance after and relating only to brexit.
That being said I cannot fully disagree with Zombie's opinion regarding where we fall short, and whether we have the kind of business leaders ready and willing to 'forge ahead' in the wider world.
Apparently we are very high up in the tech world of robotics and AI, just behind the US and China, things required for the fourth industrial revolution, could just be hype but a man [bond villain lookalike] called klaus schwab is very certain this is the next big thing and inevitable.
So the OBR, the IMF and the OECD are all wrong then, and we're just back to Oh But Covid and Oh But Ukraine.
The rest of the world had Covid and Ukraine too, but the UK is the only advanced economy that's shrinking at the moment, which puts it in the company of..... Russia. (There is actually some similarity there since Russia is subject to massive economic sanctions, whereas the UK chose to impose economic sanctions on itself via Brexit.)
As for 'forging ahead' in the wider world, how do you propose we do that? We can't get any trade deals that are better than those we had with the EU, and the trade deal with Australia and New Zealand is now openly recognised by the government that negotiated it as being a pile of shit that hurts UK interests.
We cut ourselves out of the Single Market and Customs Union and replaced it with..... nothing. Which is why we're bleeding out 4-5% of GDP every year, economic activity worth some one hundred billion pounds. So whatever we're 'saving' by not paying EU contributions we're losing ten times over - every single year.
I absolutely promise you mack, and I mean cast iron guarantee of 100%, that this shit isn't going to get better. One year or two years or five years from now, when the Covid and Ukraine lines won't even remotely wash, none of this will have got better.
Brexit delivered the sum total of absolutely naff all, and it will continue to do so, because it's broken by design, it didn't even stop the dinghies coming across the channel (in fact it made it worse because we lost the Dublin Regulation).
This is a wound that's going to have to be treated eventually, it's not going to get better by itself, the first step on that path is for everyone to be honest with themselves, and admit that Brexit is a failure, even when judged explicitly on its own terms.





