So VWM, who in your opinion will be the casino groups that would be close to closing ?
I would expect groups that derived a large percentage of revenue from US players to be the ones most likely to close. Even if they find new processors, US players have lost their money THREE times in the space of a year, and this might encourage many to give up trying.
First, we had EWX going down with players' funds on board, and no player has seen any of it back. Some players then moved to QT, which AGAIN went down, with some players being told QT are not liable for their monies because they were seized from a US bank, and the rest have been given a near impossible method to retreive their balances.
On top of this, we have 3 big Poker operators being shut down, and Full Tilt took players' balances with it, and the rest have had to put together a plan to return monies to US players.
As well as this, we have an inconsistent approach from the US authorities, with on the one hand the poker rooms being REQUIRED to send money back to US players, yet EWX NOT being "required" to do anything about returning players' balances, and QT claiming the US authorities simply won't let them send the money directly back to their US customers, making it necessary to concoct a repayment plan that uses offshore Euro bank accounts.
Some US players got burned all three times, and these are the ones least likely to carry on with the next new processing option that appears.
Operators that don't yet have a worthwhile non-US player base are going to struggle to build one, and may have to offer "unaffordable" welcome offers to lure players in, which could backfire on them if their launch is followed by complaints of non-payment because too many players beat the welcome offers.