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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 29th June 2008, 03:57 PM
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brutaldeluxe is a jewel in the roughbrutaldeluxe is a jewel in the roughbrutaldeluxe is a jewel in the roughbrutaldeluxe is a jewel in the rough
What happens if you lose the $12 bet as well which is just as likely ?
Seeing as you are not counting you have no idea if the deck is more favourable for the $12 bet. In fact the deck could be LESS favourable.

If all you are doing is playing basic strategy then no betting pattern is ever going to win. It doesn't matter how you stake it the house edge will get you eventually. You need to know when the deck is favourable to get the higher bets on and you have to cound cards to do that. It also helps to deviate from basic strategy depending on the remaining cards, again you need to be counting to know when to do that.

Plus one rather obvious point, if this "system" is making you three and a half thousand over the course of 20 casino visits why are you selling it for around $10 ? It'd be almost more believable if you wanted $1000 for it.
Just how many do you have to sell to make as much as the system itself ?
A common saying is you get what you pay for. For $10 how good would you expect anything to be ?
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 29th June 2008, 04:06 PM
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well not always true.!!!
With $10 you can buy an excellent hot dog.
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  #13 (permalink)  
Old 29th June 2008, 09:35 PM
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caldwell tends to piss everyone off
NO CARD COUNTING BLACKJACK STRATEGY

The example that I used was just one way of doing business. It's a good tool since the majority of time the player and dealer are alternating winning hands. Your situation of losing the $12 bet falls into another category. Counting cards is a lost art...so we need to think out of the box.

I do think that the package is worth more than a thousand dollars, but who's going to buy it? Too many 100-300 page books out there for less than $20.

Thanks again for your comments.
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  #14 (permalink)  
Old 30th June 2008, 12:56 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by caldwell View Post
The example that I used was just one way of doing business. It's a good tool since the majority of time the player and dealer are alternating winning hands.
This has got to be the funniest line I have ever seen.

Looks like someone has to play BJ for real here! it is NOT a 1 win and 1 lose! Chances of winning a hand is about 38%, and the extra 11% or so is returned via BJ's and doubling to the players advantage. I have had a 15 hand non winning streak, and in fact majority hands are not win one, lose one.

Looks like a little more time has to be invested into creating the perfect strategy, which is basically infinity, as it is impossible.

Why not take your strategy to the wizard, he'll offer you $20K, which is surely alot more then you will make on the site. Once done and dusted and proven, we will ALL buy the book from you for $9.95 (well i will fork it out anyway)
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  #15 (permalink)  
Old 30th June 2008, 01:28 PM
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caldwell tends to piss everyone off
NO CARD COUNTING BLACKJACK STRATEGY

The one way of doing business was referring to just those situations where the player and dealer go "back and forth". Losing streaks and winning streaks are each handled in a different manner. This strategy ties these three betting situations together in a way that will improve your bottom line versus basic playing strategy with flat betting. There are also some plays that go against "what the book says".

Hey, I wish I could still count cards, but I have to take what the casinos give me.

Appreciate your communication.
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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 30th June 2008, 01:40 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by uungy View Post
This has got to be the funniest line I have ever seen.

Looks like someone has to play BJ for real here! it is NOT a 1 win and 1 lose! Chances of winning a hand is about 38%, and the extra 11% or so is returned via BJ's and doubling to the players advantage. I have had a 15 hand non winning streak, and in fact majority hands are not win one, lose one.

Looks like a little more time has to be invested into creating the perfect strategy, which is basically infinity, as it is impossible.

Why not take your strategy to the wizard, he'll offer you $20K, which is surely alot more then you will make on the site. Once done and dusted and proven, we will ALL buy the book from you for $9.95 (well i will fork it out anyway)
Expectation in round numbers is out of every 100 hands, the player will win 43 hands, lose 48 hands and push on 9 hands. Thus the house has a five percent advantage before you factor in a BJ every 21 hands. The 4.75 BJ'S (paying 3 to 2) per hundred hands,doubles,splits and house rules assuming perfect BS hopefully gets the HA down to between .03% and .05%.....Yes, Uungy we are saying the same thing, I simply added in the expectation of the number of BJ's that should be winning hands and thus the player should win in round numbers 43% of hands of which 4.75% (1 out of every 21 hands, kinda of ironic but true) should be BJ's as expectation for the perfect BS player (in the long run).....SIDENOTE:I can remember BandM streaks where I won 5 out of 50 hands,7 out of 37 hands,0 out of 16 hands,part of the game
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  #17 (permalink)  
Old 30th June 2008, 01:43 PM
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the stumbling point is how do you know what the previous hands are forecasting? and clearly the answer is you don't and you're just GUESSING and trying to make back the losses or tighten up after the wins. good luck with that, and i hope you won't get the false impression when it does seem to work sometimes... also you should sell it for more not only to make it "look more credible", but also because there are too few suckers/marks to get yourself rich shilling it for $10.

edit/ot: what up nash?
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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 30th June 2008, 02:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by happygobrokey View Post
the stumbling point is how do you know what the previous hands are forecasting? and clearly the answer is you don't and you're just GUESSING and trying to make back the losses or tighten up after the wins. good luck with that, and i hope you won't get the false impression when it does seem to work sometimes... also you should sell it for more not only to make it "look more credible", but also because there are too few suckers/marks to get yourself rich shilling it for $10.

edit/ot: what up nash?
Peace, HGB
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  #19 (permalink)  
Old 30th June 2008, 04:10 PM
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caldwell tends to piss everyone off
NO CARD COUNTING BLACKJACK STRATEGY

All I'm saying is that this strategy can improve your bottom line over a flat betting strategy by adjusting your bet a specific way during a win streak, a specific way during a losing streak, and a specific way during "back and forth" situations. I understand the percentages you're throwing at me. Here's one for you to consider...a few years back one blackjack author of note did some research and concluded that 80% of the time, a win is followed by a loss, or a loss is followed by a win.

Anyway, I'm not here to agitate you so this will be my last post. Thanks for your time.

Pete Caldwell

Last edited by Simmo!; 11th September 2008 at 06:27 PM. Reason: Removed url
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Old 30th June 2008, 05:48 PM
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Im going to spam one of my old articles

http://pokeranon.com/foolproof-betting-systems.html

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