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BetFair (IMO) seems to be a tough place to make any regular profit. I didn't have much luck at Bet365 either. Cake Poker is dried up (which is too bad as I'm about 2 years too late). I never really cared much for any of the PrimaPoker sites, and I likely never will. Really, the 2 best options are FullTilt and PokerStars. While I really like both of these sites, I can't disagree that the cards have some pretty funky outcomes (which is pretty much true at EVERY poker site out there).
I pretty much gave up playing NLHE because:
a) there are too many knowledgeable players at every stake (too many training sites/books out there)
b) there are too many donks who get lucky
c) and there's not much in between
d) despite only playing with a quality starting hand (solid hand range), all too often I'm forced to play All-In shoves at any stage/level of any MTT or S&G tournament (where I get sucked-out on all too often)
So, I switched to PLO Hi/Lo and Omaha Hi/Lo (S&G and MTT), which is oh-so-much better. The field is generally not as knowledgeable, even the better players tend to play loose hand ranges (which they shouldn't be playing with), and I find that it's easier to get control of the table in certain spots. Most importantly, understanding when to not play hands (generally nothing within the first 15-20 minutes unless it's something like A-A-K-2), being ultra patient (knowing how to play the short stack... generally shoving with 3 BBs when a semi-quality hand comes), not 'just' patient, but twice as patient as one thinks one needs to be, and most importantly knowing how much to bet at every stage of a tournament, should help anyone become a profit player long-term.
My advice (not that anyone was asking for it) is to play the 'other' poker games out there (eg. Omaha, 2-7, Razz, Badugi, 7-card stud, etc.), get really good at them, study them to death, and provided that you're disciplined enough, start making a profit. Despite what tons of people say, I think there are much softer games out there than NLHE. I don't recommend 'turbo' anymore either, although I don't mind it so much in heads up play.
In the future, I suppose I'll play the larger field NLHE tournaments, but I'm pretty much done grinding all of the S&G (6/9/18/27/45 seat tournaments), DoN (never easy), and ultra-boring HU NLHE games. The 180/$2 are still relatively fun though.
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If I could give an example of questionable play, I'd think back to a 180-seat MTT ($2) I was playing at PS several months ago. The tournament was down to roughly 30 players, and I was 4th in chips, the blinds were relatively high, and I pushed with A-A. The player in the small blind calls my All-In, and he/she had a 3-7 o/s (?!!), and of course, flopped a straight.
Those things happen of course, but this person was 3rd in tournament chips, and likely didn't get there by playing with such a crappy range of hands. So why get that deep into a tournament (probably at the 1 hour 20 minute mark by that point), and call with 3-7 o/s? Some people might have to go somewhere, but at least they'd wait for an ace or something... not 3-7 o/s. Why call a shove in that spot?
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From Micro-donk, to SuperNova in 12 months!
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