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Thread: The Mysterious RTP??????

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    The Mysterious RTP??????

    Recently I had initiated a thread regarding the RNG's and Variance issues and why I felt it was not playing as advertised. It was later pointed out to me that possibly I meant RTP and this made sense to me as maybe RNG's and Variances can stay the same or go up and down in a given range, but what of the RTP, return to player?

    As I had asked, if the RNG and Variance is the same today as it was 6 years ago, then why is the play different. I know many many people are saying the same thing, you can read it in nearly all threads.
    So I would like to know what is the difference in the RTP now compared to just a couple or few years ago?

    I had read Amatrine's post regarding her bad streak finally breaking after a couple years. But I have to wonder when it's at one of Casino Jacks casino sites. How does a player know these few forum members aren't getting the high setting of the RTP just to retrieve some public positive advertising through forum members? I am glad she has finally gotten some positive return on her deposits, but how long will this last?
    And if a forum member spoke out against the remark Casino Jack publicly stated then how does a player know they won't get the low setting out of spite?
    I personally wouldn't play at his affiliated sites just because of this.
    But obviously this tells me that this casino group for whatever reason is giving the playing public the RTP that all casinos used to give on a regular basis a few years ago.

    And no I don't feel cheated or am having a run of bad luck or any of that other reasoning that is given when there is an inquiry from someone that is fairly new or new to this forum. I have personally dumped all casinos from my pc as I don't trust any of them anymore to give the average small depositor a fair session.

    But it would be interesting to know what is the secret recipe of the RTP?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mavin1 View Post
    as I don't trust any of them anymore to give the average small depositor a fair session.

    But it would be interesting to know what is the secret recipe of the RTP?

    I truly believe that to even have a consistent chance online you pretty much need a decent bankroll. Not that the small depositor couldn't deposit 50 dollars and post a 10k winner screen shot. But I would think that the small depositor would always look for a bonus, and then be forced into extreme conditions regardless of what happens early on during any given session making it hard to grab something.

    Although presently down between poker rooms, and casinos, now over 15k for this year, I also made withdrawals this year totaling 25k. That means for the year I had to deposit around 40k. This was a bad year for me, but overall I'm still safely ahead over the last 5 years.

    So has you could see I paid for a great deal of site time. If I took 1500 dollars in bonuses during the whole year that would be a lot. During my sessions which are usually never under an hour, I've had some that could go on for days. I think it would be obvious that the more you deposit the more time you have to play, and the better chance of the occasional shot in the arm session we all are waiting for. In addition I'm predominantly a video poker player.

    As far as the setting's on the RTP %, I feel that as long as their all somewhere in the 90's I think that's fair. But if someone get's special treatment as CasinoJack mentioned and offered, then we have a whole different issue.

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    On a good day without bonuses how much does the average person need to deposit in order to win anything. I'm known to deposit at least 300 but not in one session either..I break it up in little deposits.
    Give a fool his space....don't want to get caught up in their drama

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    Thanks 4 of a Kind, I am still in the learning process on many aspects of online gaming that I never considered before when the return was better for even the small player. But since things are changing, guess I need to as well.

    So if the RTP is in the 90% range is this the same meaning as RNG? I wondered since I it was mentioned that maybe I meant RTP rather than RNG.

    If I do go back to gaming at some time I would like to be better prepared if that is possible and have a better understanding how RTP can affect the play of a small depositor like myself that prefers not to use bonuses to boost my bankroll.

    Or will most of us only have a decent session when......
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mavin1 View Post
    Thanks 4 of a Kind, I am still in the learning process on many aspects of online gaming that I never considered before when the return was better for even the small player. But since things are changing, guess I need to as well.

    So if the RTP is in the 90% range is this the same meaning as RNG? I wondered since I it was mentioned that maybe I meant RTP rather than RNG.

    If I do go back to gaming at some time I would like to be better prepared if that is possible and have a better understanding how RTP can affect the play of a small depositor like myself that prefers not to use bonuses to boost my bankroll.

    Or will most of us only have a decent session when......
    Mavin...

    RTP = Return to player
    RNG = Random Number Generator

    The RNG is the mechanism that casinos use to determine the results of spins, cards, etc. These two terms aren't interchangeable. The RTP is the measurement of how much money is returned to the player versus how much is wagered.

    RTP is mainly a theoretical number. Most sessions are determined by the RNG, sheer coincidence and luck.

    When a slot is "high variance" for example, the slot, over the course of the machine's useful life, will produce fewer, but usually larger wins. On the flip side, a "low variance" machine, over the course of the machine's life, will usually produce much more frequent wins, although at lower payouts.

    I would chalk your sessions up, at the time you play them, to luck, but as a whole, when combined, over a significant play time amount (probably about a 6-month span at the earliest), should be within a few percentage points of the machine's theoretical RTP.
    Last edited by SlotKing; 22nd December 2009 at 03:44 AM. Reason: re-phrased because I contradicted myself

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    So if the RTP is in the 90% range is this the same meaning as RNG?
    Ok, I think there are a few terms that are being mixed here, so let me clear this out:

    RTP = Return to player. It is also known as payout percentage. It is generally represented in a percentage, like 95% (general average slot payout for most casino software). This means that for every $1 you put in, you can expect to get $0.95 back on average.

    RNG = Random Number Generator. This is a mechanism to generate random results.

    Variance: The deviation from expected return.


    This all can best be represented in the following image:




    I'll try to explain it also with coin tosses.

    Say you are going to make 10 groups of coin toses with 6 toses each right?

    Ok, the action of tosing the coin in the air and flipping it is what creates randomness.

    The 50/50 chance of one side comming up is the expected return (so expected return is 3 heads, 3 tails in each of the 10 groups).

    Variance is the amount your return changes (or varies) from the expected return (say you got 4 heads 2 tails on your first, 3 tails 3 heads on second, 1 head 5 tails on 3rd, etc).



    RNG and variance go hand in hand. You can't have something random without variance, and a casino can't be a casino without having an RNG.

    The RTP, or payout % is something that not only can change from casino to casino, but from game to game. For example, Blackjack has a better RTP or payout % then any slot. I hope that helps!

    Kind Regards,
    Nicolas Johnson
    Regal Affiliates Manager
    Last edited by NicolasJohnson; 22nd December 2009 at 03:43 AM. Reason: spelling

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    NicolasJohnson: Ok, I think there are a few terms that are being mixed here, so let me clear this out:

    RTP = Return to player. It is also known as payout percentage. It is generally represented in a percentage, like 95% (general average slot payout for most casino software). This means that for every $1 you put in, you can expect to get $0.95 back on average.

    RNG = Random Number Generator. This is a mechanism to generate random results.

    Variance: The deviation from expected return.
    Thank you for breaking that down in laymans language..I actually understood it .

    Now as to the RTP...I believe this to be the issue in the games lately since this is not happening at the casinos anymore..at the level they are claiming..

    How many 20-55% sessions will it take to make one session close to the 90%-97% they claim???

    The average lately in the last few months for many players is averaging around 60% so where is the other 30+% going??? If you read in these forums, I do not think we have seen but one person saying that they are over the RTP on ONE game only...nowhere do you see people excitedly saying....yeahhh! I hit 95% today (I would be the first to cheer if I ever came close to this at any casino for a few sessions).....all you ever hear about anymore is that they are getting back about 20-50% RTP..on almost all sessions...

    So, what has changed???

    .
    Today is the Tomorrow, you thought about Yesterday...so live as IT IS your last tomorrow!

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    Quote Originally Posted by silcnlayc View Post
    Thank you for breaking that down in laymans language..I actually understood it .

    Now as to the RTP...I believe this to be the issue in the games lately since this is not happening at the casinos anymore..at the level they are claiming..

    How many 20-55% sessions will it take to make one session close to the 90%-97% they claim???

    The average lately in the last few months for many players is averaging around 60% so where is the other 30+% going??? If you read in these forums, I do not think we have seen but one person saying that they are over the RTP on ONE game only...nowhere do you see people excitedly saying....yeahhh! I hit 95% today (I would be the first to cheer if I ever came close to this at any casino for a few sessions).....all you ever hear about anymore is that they are getting back about 20-50% RTP..on almost all sessions...

    So, what has changed???

    .
    Ok, I can't answer for other casinos. I can only answer for Vegas Regal Casino, one of many Rival Powered Casinos.

    And to be 100% honest, nothing has changed with us.

    Our payout %s are the same, you can find them by going to the help area of each game.

    We have plenty of winners who deposit small amounts and win HUGE amounts (just the other day I saw a $12k winner on a $50 deposit). That is what happens with high variance slots.

    And the reason you hear more people complain then they do rave, is because that is human nature. Marketing statistics confirm that it is much more likely for a person with a bad experience to post a bad review, then it is for a person with a good experience to post a good review.

    I'm not blaming anyone with saying that... it is simply a relevant statistic.

    Kind Regards,
    Nicolas Johnson
    Regal Affiliates Manager

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    Quote Originally Posted by silcnlayc View Post
    Thank you for breaking that down in laymans language..I actually understood it .

    Now as to the RTP...I believe this to be the issue in the games lately since this is not happening at the casinos anymore..at the level they are claiming..

    How many 20-55% sessions will it take to make one session close to the 90%-97% they claim???

    The average lately in the last few months for many players is averaging around 60% so where is the other 30+% going??? If you read in these forums, I do not think we have seen but one person saying that they are over the RTP on ONE game only...nowhere do you see people excitedly saying....yeahhh! I hit 95% today (I would be the first to cheer if I ever came close to this at any casino for a few sessions).....all you ever hear about anymore is that they are getting back about 20-50% RTP..on almost all sessions...

    So, what has changed???

    .
    Ok, I can't answer for other casinos. I can only answer for Vegas Regal Casino, one of many Rival Powered Casinos.

    And to be 100% honest, nothing has changed with us.

    Our payout %s are the same, you can find them by going to the help area of each game.

    We have plenty of winners who deposit small amounts and win HUGE amounts (just the other day I saw a $12k winner on a $50 deposit). That is what happens with high variance slots.

    And the reason you hear more people complain then they do rave, is because that is human nature. Marketing statistics confirm that it is much more likely for a person with a bad experience to post a bad review, then it is for a person with a good experience to post a good review.

    I'm not blaming anyone with saying that... it is simply a relevant statistic.

    P.S. also remember that 95% payout rate isn't on a session, but on a single bet. So if you take your dollar and bet once you should have 95cents, bet again and it will be down to 90 cents and 3/4, bet it again and you are down to... and so on.

    Kind Regards,
    Nicolas Johnson
    Regal Affiliates Manager

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    Quote Originally Posted by silcnlayc View Post
    Thank you for breaking that down in laymans language..I actually understood it .

    Now as to the RTP...I believe this to be the issue in the games lately since this is not happening at the casinos anymore..at the level they are claiming..

    How many 20-55% sessions will it take to make one session close to the 90%-97% they claim???

    The average lately in the last few months for many players is averaging around 60% so where is the other 30+% going??? If you read in these forums, I do not think we have seen but one person saying that they are over the RTP on ONE game only...nowhere do you see people excitedly saying....yeahhh! I hit 95% today (I would be the first to cheer if I ever came close to this at any casino for a few sessions).....all you ever hear about anymore is that they are getting back about 20-50% RTP..on almost all sessions...

    So, what has changed???

    .


    I keep running out of thanks you's, so you get a personal one Silc .

    I am getting some very good info here which does clear up what the meanings are, but like you said Silc, what has changed? Your point is exactly what I am wondering and I couldn't have said it better.

    Has the cost of playing been increased along with gas, groceries, housing and such, where the consumer is getting gouged now even in our entertainment?

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