soflat mentioned LIKE NOW...
I posted this about LIKE NOW back on April 24th...
I will go with LIKE NOW to upset BARBARO in the Preakness.The final prep race that means anything was run yesterday, the Coolmore Lexington. A horse named Showing Up won it by about a length. It wasn't an easy win, but it was fairly impressive. He didn't have the easiest trip, he was stuck down along the inside for a good portion of the race, and then had to be taken out for the stretch run. Have a look MrR, let me know what you think.
I watched the replay 3 times (thanks for providing the link again, Pina )
and while it certainly was an impressive win by Showing Up, especially the move from the rail to the far outside into the stretch, I was more impressed with the effort on Like Now.
Like Now was pressured every step of the race, put away all challenges other than Showing Up, and was actually coming on again close to the wire!
Like Now, who was on the graded stakes earnings bubble, was also assured of a spot in the Derby with his $65,000 paycheck, but unfortunately, he probably will not race in the Derby, and it is still questionable if Showing Up will, either.
Here is what Like Now's trainer had to say:
Quote:
"Unfortunately he got into a bit of a speed duel with [Fast Parade]. Take [Fast Parade] out and I think we could have won. But he ran a huge race and fought hard. We'll talk to the owner [John Dillon], but I think we'll probably look at the Preakness [Stakes (G1)]. It's a little easier spot. He's a gelding, and we want to have some fun with him this year. The Derby is a little too soon to run back."
BARBARO will be the overwhelming favorite (probably 6-5 or lower) and although he deserves the role as favorite, and has a great chance of winning this race... there is no value from a betting standpoint.
At the morning line odds of 12-1 (which may drop a bit)... LIKE NOW offers value as a "live" price. Pimlico is a speed track, which favors front runners... and LIKE NOW should be on the lead early. If he gets away without being pressured for the first 6 furlongs... he could be very game and tough to catch.
I will also give my Derby selection, SWEETNORTHERNSAINT a good shot to win if LIKE NOW falters.
I will go with a 3 horse exacta box of LIKE NOW/ SWEETNORTHERNSAINT/BROTHER DEREK... a $3 box (total $18) and $12 to WIN on LIKE NOW... ($30 total invested)
How good is BARBARO? We'll know a bit after 6pm Saturday evening.![]()




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