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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 9th August 2005, 11:10 PM
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scrollock is very cool!scrollock is very cool!scrollock is very cool!
is MG BJ like playtech BJ now?

yes another BJ is fixed thread!!!!

i gave up doing Bj a few months ago (casino game that is, not that i do the other!) because basically i ran into stream of badluck at a certain MG casino, problem was that it was not just the bad run on its own, but the way i got beat, i.e. a dealer miracle pull everytime especialy on big hands. i got sent a stack of offers over the weekend, apart from the the dealers consistent house advantage of 5% over 4000 hands, everytime i went to make a gamble of it i had a bad beat.

i just found a email for a offer i hadnt seen, done the offer and yes i dont need to tell the rest.

so is MG BJ like playtech or as someone mentioned in another thread,have i been profiled?
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Old 10th August 2005, 05:03 AM
ftg ftg is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scrollock
yes another BJ is fixed thread!!!!

i gave up doing Bj a few months ago (casino game that is, not that i do the other!) because basically i ran into stream of badluck at a certain MG casino, problem was that it was not just the bad run on its own, but the way i got beat, i.e. a dealer miracle pull everytime especialy on big hands. i got sent a stack of offers over the weekend, apart from the the dealers consistent house advantage of 5% over 4000 hands, everytime i went to make a gamble of it i had a bad beat.

i just found a email for a offer i hadnt seen, done the offer and yes i dont need to tell the rest.

so is MG BJ like playtech or as someone mentioned in another thread,have i been profiled?
I have similar experience for recent 3 months.

Normally I will bet from $1-$10 until I have a loss of say net -20 units in 30 hands and then I start to raise my bet from $10 upwards, But EVERYTIME the losing streaks come in like this one afterwards:

LLLLLLL
W
LLLLLL
WW
LLLL
W
LLLLL
W
L
W
LLLLLLL
__________________
ftg
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Old 10th August 2005, 08:59 PM
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mg blackjack

I am with you on giving up playing blackjack as well. Not sure what the deal is but it seems that the dealer pulls these miricle hands. When a 20 is no longer good enough what is up with that??? There are a few casino groups that seeem worse than others.

What is funny is so many people think slots will rob you, not the case playing slots seems the only way i will keep my money or win these days....lol

However once at vegas7 casino i did let a 500 deposit ride at 100 bets and cashed in 13k courtesy of bj....that was a once in a lifetime deal...lol
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Old 17th August 2005, 08:13 PM
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MG BJ

I am conducting an experiment consisting of 100,000 hands of Blackjack.
I am tabulating the results (I have reached 60,000 so far, and the results are incredible!)

I did a smaller run of 20,000 hands and got the usual "kill mode" experienced by many players, which has lead to the persistent rumours about "rigged streaks" in MG games.

Needless to say, I am running this at a mere £1 unit stake, and have taken a bonus that requires me to run this trial to 82,000 anyway at this level. Statistically, I will merely sacrifice the bonus in the interests of science and retrieve my deposit (or most of it).

I am not sure how big a run is required to give the results meaning, as previous postings of lucky dealer streaks have been dismissed as possible for a random game.
I will use the formulae on wizardofodds to give meaning to my results when done. I will probably need to repeat the experiment again to check that there is consistency.
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Old 17th August 2005, 08:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vinylweatherman
I am conducting an experiment consisting of 100,000 hands of Blackjack.
I am tabulating the results (I have reached 60,000 so far, and the results are incredible!)

I did a smaller run of 20,000 hands and got the usual "kill mode" experienced by many players, which has lead to the persistent rumours about "rigged streaks" in MG games.

Needless to say, I am running this at a mere £1 unit stake, and have taken a bonus that requires me to run this trial to 82,000 anyway at this level. Statistically, I will merely sacrifice the bonus in the interests of science and retrieve my deposit (or most of it).

I am not sure how big a run is required to give the results meaning, as previous postings of lucky dealer streaks have been dismissed as possible for a random game.
I will use the formulae on wizardofodds to give meaning to my results when done. I will probably need to repeat the experiment again to check that there is consistency.
Check out my post:
http://www.casinomeister.com/forums/...49&postcount=9
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Old 17th August 2005, 08:26 PM
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mg bj

Well yesterday i did someting i have only done one other time in my life, i took $500 of some of my winnings at casino classic and let $100 bets ride, got it up to $2000 and i even did the old tricky double downs. So maybe you just have to be at the right place at the right time
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Old 17th August 2005, 08:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mattysgirl
Well yesterday i did someting i have only done one other time in my life, i took $500 of some of my winnings at casino classic and let $100 bets ride, got it up to $2000 and i even did the old tricky double downs. So maybe you just have to be at the right place at the right time
Yeah, or maybe you just need to be lucky.
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Old 17th August 2005, 08:49 PM
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As for the 100k-hands BJ experiment (I assume you are playing Vegas strip?), here are the standard deviations and expected values:

SD = sqrt(100000)*1.167*£1 ~= £369
EV = -100000*0.003606*£1 = -£360.6

Your result after 100k hands is a normally distributed variable with EV -£360.6 and standard deviation £369.

With 99 % probability your result will be within EV ± 2.85*SD i.e. between -£1489 and +£768.
With 95 % probability your result will be within EV ± 1.96*SD i.e. between -£1084 and +£363.

Last edited by raol; 17th August 2005 at 08:55 PM.
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Old 17th August 2005, 10:12 PM
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scrollock is very cool!scrollock is very cool!scrollock is very cool!
Quote:
Originally Posted by raol
As for the 100k-hands BJ experiment (I assume you are playing Vegas strip?), here are the standard deviations and expected values:

SD = sqrt(100000)*1.167*£1 ~= £369
EV = -100000*0.003606*£1 = -£360.6

Your result after 100k hands is a normally distributed variable with EV -£360.6 and standard deviation £369.

With 99 % probability your result will be within EV ± 2.85*SD i.e. between -£1489 and +£768.
With 95 % probability your result will be within EV ± 1.96*SD i.e. between -£1084 and +£363.
can i ask where the 1.167 figure comes from, i once seen it in a online BJ odds calculator and i never understood where it came from.
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Old 17th August 2005, 10:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scrollock
can i ask where the 1.167 figure comes from, i once seen it in a online BJ odds calculator and i never understood where it came from.
You calculate the probabilities for all the possible outcomes of a blackjack-hand and evaluate the standard deviation.
http://wizardofodds.com/blackjack/bjapx4.html
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