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Thread: Todays intelligent question!

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    Quote Originally Posted by NewOrleans View Post
    Wow this is gambler's fallacy at it's best,keno is a lottery game and all lottery games have the same odds no matter which number you pick...1.2.3.4.5.6.7 has the same odds as coming up as 2.4.6.8.10.12 I thought everybody knew this.
    So you are telling me that the odds of getting seven consecutive numbers is the same as any other draw? Maybe we should ask Mr Shackleford about this.

    PD

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pocketdiggers77 View Post
    So you are telling me that the odds of getting seven consecutive numbers is the same as any other draw? Maybe we should ask Mr Shackleford about this.

    PD
    Yes, the odds are the same. Why would they be any different? Just because you never see that happening doesn't mean there's any less chance of them coming out than any other 7 random numbers.

    Now, the odds of the numbers 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 coming out in order ....well....that depends on how many total numbers there are in the draw.
    Operators: If you don't know what Transparency means, then here you go.....now how about practicing it?

    Transparency, as used in the humanities and in a social context more generally, implies openness, communication, and accountability. It is a metaphorical extension of the meaning a "transparent" object is one that can be seen through. ...

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    Brain fart. Stinky one too.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pocketdiggers77 View Post
    Brain fart. Stinky one too.
    eww, I hate those....but have them all the time...lol
    Operators: If you don't know what Transparency means, then here you go.....now how about practicing it?

    Transparency, as used in the humanities and in a social context more generally, implies openness, communication, and accountability. It is a metaphorical extension of the meaning a "transparent" object is one that can be seen through. ...

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    Quote Originally Posted by winbig View Post
    Yes, the odds are the same. Why would they be any different? Just because you never see that happening doesn't mean there's any less chance of them coming out than any other 7 random numbers.

    Now, the odds of the numbers 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 coming out in order ....well....that depends on how many total numbers there are in the draw.
    I believe it never happened in a single lottery draw in the world, so I do not believe it is just as likely. If it is - I believe there is something seriously flawed with our perception of randomness. Maby in a perfect world of math where the wind stood still, and all people were smiling since there were noe hunger... Then it would be just as likely!

    It is possible - however extremely unlikely!

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    Off to see the Wizard

    Quote Originally Posted by Pocketdiggers77 View Post
    So you are telling me that the odds of getting seven consecutive numbers is the same as any other draw? Maybe we should ask Mr Shackleford about this.

    PD

    He'll tell you the same thing. For those who did not get it, Michael Shackleford is http://wizard of odds.com.

    He offers a calculator for keno odds, http://www.mathproblems.info/gam470/...prob-keno.html, as well as tables for various hotels and video keno machines.

    I often see people playing the whole first row, and they seem to do as well as anyone else.

    One of the big factors in playing keno is your goal. Are you trying to extend playing time? Changing your numbers frequently helps, but only because it slows your bets. Do you just want to play $20 hoping for a big hit? How big is big? If you are looking for $100, i suggest a low number of picks and appropriate bet size so that the top prize is $100. Or whatever floats your boat. If your goal is $1000, but $50 and $100 wins are good too, try a paytable that offers $1000 as a top prize.


    Back to the OP's request for numbers....4,6,19,20. Fill in with any additional numbers you want, but preferrably in patterns with mystical meaning. . Stars, crosses, pentagrams, smilie faces are all good. Make a star map of the big dipper. Or your favourite sports team Initials. And don't forget to rub a magic talisman (no, not THAT talisman ya pervs). Chanting is optional, but what you do in the privacy of your own home is your business.
    Last edited by Jasminebed; 26th October 2008 at 08:50 PM. Reason: sp

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    By the way, my initial post was an attempt to make you people smile - it was nothing serious about it really! Just wanted to add this before it derails into a serious discussion regarding Keno!

    If for some reason betting the 10 first numbers has the same odds of hitting as 10 numbers all over the place - it might just be that I have not wrapped my brain around the correct understanding.

    It might just be I have to add some "etrophy thinking" in the mix, just as with passwords where "habbahabbahabbahabbahabbahabba" has no better entrophy than "habba". Infact "!#Hb" is a better password! Takes some "computing power" to grasp it, but once you get it it's very logical.

    Thanks for the link Jasminebed!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jasminebed View Post
    He'll tell you the same thing. For those who did not get it, Michael Shackleford is http://wizard of odds.com.
    The way I was thinking was that the odds of getting 6 sequential numbers was the same as getting 6 non-sequential numbers which is obviously not the same. I'm sure you could count the times the lotto has drawn 6 sequential numbers on one hand and all the other results would make up the other 99.99999999%.

    Like I said, brain fart, my bad.

    PD

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    I believe it never happened in a single lottery draw in the world, so I do not believe it is just as likely. If it is - I believe there is something seriously flawed with our perception of randomness.
    If it's a legitimate drawing, 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 are just as likely to be picked as any other 7 random numbers.....or 1,2,3,.. ; etc..

    I've never seen or heard of such a thing happen in ANY drawing in history either.....weird, but it could definitely happen.
    Operators: If you don't know what Transparency means, then here you go.....now how about practicing it?

    Transparency, as used in the humanities and in a social context more generally, implies openness, communication, and accountability. It is a metaphorical extension of the meaning a "transparent" object is one that can be seen through. ...

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    Pick any 6 or 7 numbers (sequential or not) and there is a very very good chance they have never been the result of a draw anywhere

  11. The Following User Says Thank You to quber For This Useful Post:

    Jasminebed (28th October 2008)

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