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Thread: Almost incredible BJ session

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    ugaboga's Avatar
    ugaboga is offline Casino Addict
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    Quote Originally Posted by Janek12 View Post
    Dear Babs, I am not that Jane; I am not even a woman; my posts were not macho enough to make that obvious?

    Janek in Czech is approximately the equivalent of Johnny but it is also used as a designation of a person who acts somewhat erratically and chaotically and impulsively - and that's what I am inclined to do in on-line casinos (lose my nerve ) - hence my nickname.

    As for this forum, I am a regular reader and I find it really informative here and appreciate the time and energy you frequent posters invest in your posts to share useful information with others.

    And, of course, I generally like the company of people here, decent and nice and helpful, IMO.

    Nice to see a member from Czech Republic

    I'm a Slovan Liberec fan We haven't been doing too well these few years, compared to our runs in the UEFA cup back around 2003. Would be good to see Jiri Stajner back in the Liberec squad again!

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  3. #12
    PSB
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    Quote Originally Posted by aka23 View Post
    The odds of losing 13 hands in a row is about (0.479)^13 = 1 in ~14,000.
    The odds of losing 36 out of 49 hands is about 1 in 1000.
    The odds of having no pushes in any of those 49 hands is about (1-0.0878)^49 = 1 in ~100
    this assumes doing thousands if not millions of trial (i.e. getting dealt hands) I assume?
    reason I mention it .. is I once got an RNG email from a casino saying I couldn't base my results on some 40 odd hands when I was convinced it was duped

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    Quote Originally Posted by PSB View Post
    this assumes doing thousands if not millions of trial (i.e. getting dealt hands) I assume?
    reason I mention it .. is I once got an RNG email from a casino saying I couldn't base my results on some 40 odd hands when I was convinced it was duped
    ? No, I think you have the stats confused. They are based on the EXACT 13 hands or whatever in a row.

    The way it works, is you play X number of hands. Then you go... pants, that was awful, was I unlucky or duped? You then work out the probability of getting X hands, and see it is say 1 in 1000, and realise you are probably unlucky. It means, statistically, you should see a lot of play before getting 13 losses in a row again! But if it happens often, then the game could be rigged.


    In your case, you would take your 40 hands (say you lost 30). Perform the maths.. what is the liklihood of this happening? And then if it isn't 1 in millions it's probably bad luck.

    For example, the wizard tested a play for fun site, and got 133 reds and 67 not reds in 200 spins of roulette... which the maths says is 1 in millions and so almost certainly biased. With something like that you only need 200 spins to test. But for an "unlucky" run, you can work out how unlucky you are, but to prove you have been cheated, does indeed take severl 000s+ hands.

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    lojo (8th November 2007)

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