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Thread: Math Question

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    BigBill's Avatar
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    Math Question

    I have a math question for those members that are so inclined.
    I played at Maharajah Club today a Boss Media based casino
    And I played 307 hands and the dealer had a Ace showing 52 times
    and had 30 blackjacks and I had 11 blackjacks.
    Question- is that normal or is there not enough hands played to compute?
    and should I have taken insurance even though I normally never do?
    Any input would be greatly appreciated.
    Last edited by BigBill; 21st June 2006 at 01:10 AM.

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    thechap is offline Banned User - multiple forum accounts - violation of posting rule 1.9
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    without even doing the maths freakish

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    It sounds real bad,

    However 300 hands are not much...

    Anyways, that happens to me and I will smash the monitor.. (AT LEAST)...

    JEJEE

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    lucky21 is offline Full Member
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    me too

    hi
    I often find that BJ at online casino's does not behave like land based casinos, and some of the runs leave you scratching your head another reason to toughly regulate casino's and ensure they use True RNG's
    Lucky

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    apwd is offline Newbie member
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigBill
    I have a math question for those members that are so inclined.
    I played at Maharajah Club today a Boss Media based casino
    And I played 307 hands and the dealer had a Ace showing 52 times
    and had 30 blackjacks and I had 11 blackjacks.
    Question- is that normal or is there not enough hands played to compute?
    and should I have taken insurance even though I normally never do?
    Any input would be greatly appreciated.
    Your sample size is way too small to signify any foulplay.

    Never take insurance as it is a bet that carries a large house edge. Simple deduction dictates that when the dealer has an ace up, there is roughly a 4/13 chance that a 10-value card will accompany the ace. Since insurance pays out only 2/1, that yields a payout of 8/13 or 62%. Considering the fact that correct play at blackjack yields closer to 99.5% payouts, I would suggest that insurance is one of the worst bets you can make in a casino.

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    franklin is offline Dormant account
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigBill
    I have a math question for those members that are so inclined.
    I played at Maharajah Club today a Boss Media based casino
    And I played 307 hands and the dealer had a Ace showing 52 times
    The probability of the dealer receiving 52 face-up aces out 307 deals is only 0.0000072969201%. That's about 7.3 millionths of a percent.

    So yes. Those results are quite irregular.

    If you could post the actual hand results from Boss Media I'd be happy to review them.

  7. The Following User Says Thank You to franklin For This Useful Post:

    Linus (26th June 2006)

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    Quote Originally Posted by BigBill
    Question- is that normal or is there not enough hands played to compute?
    and should I have taken insurance even though I normally never do?
    Any input would be greatly appreciated.
    Not only is it not enough hands played to compute, but more importantly your sample is not picked at random. Any frequent blackjack player is able to pick a sequence of 307 hands out of their entire history that shows the same result or worse, but of course this is no evidence for fraudulent software.

    You (probably) just had a run of bad luck, and of course you're connecting this to the fact that you just started at a new casino. This, however, is psychology, not math.

    ...and as apwd said you should not take insurance.

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    Thanks to all that replied

    No the monitor survived though I do beat on it, my desk and my head with
    a foam bat kept just for anger managemnt.

    Franklin the hand history is not available from the Casino- I asked
    and the history available online only gives each sessions total number
    of hands played. I thought the results to be freakish also thus this post.
    But I was still able to post win in spite of all the blackjacks

    Thanks all for the feedback

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    franklin is offline Dormant account
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigBill
    No the monitor survived though I do beat on it, my desk and my head with
    a foam bat kept just for anger managemnt.

    Franklin the hand history is not available from the Casino- I asked
    and the history available online only gives each sessions total number
    of hands played. I thought the results to be freakish also thus this post.
    But I was still able to post win in spite of all the blackjacks

    Thanks all for the feedback
    Contact Boss Media via the casino portal and they will produce full hand histories. If you can provide me this data I can look into it for you.

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    BigBill's Avatar
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    Franklin

    Could you be more specific on how to reach Boss Media?

    TIA

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