BJ (4Decks/ALL17)

[poser]

Hi,

just a question:

How probably is it, to have such a BJ Session, with the Basic Strat. follwed ?

112 Games:

12 Pushes
33 Player Wins
67 Dealer Wins (!)

As I read in WizardOfOdds about the cheating BJ Game from "Casino Bar", I do have a little strange feeling noe about this session at a well known Casino.

Has someone the math ?

THX

poser

[aka23]

I'd recommend treating it as 3 binomial variables -- pushes, wins, and losses.

The average of each variable is n*p
The standard deviation of each variable is SQRT(n*p*(1-p))

n = number of trials = 112
p = probability of each variable... You can probably find this on Wizard of Odds.

[poser]

Yes, I would, but I didn't find the probabilities for the outcomes, even not on WizOfOdds.

EDIT: OK, I found it. It's a very unlikly, but possible outcome in the 3rd. St.Dev I think. BAD luck...

I should have 47 wins, a st.dev of around 5....

THX