What percentage of hands do you loose in BlackJack?


Dormant account
Oct 13, 2003
... was just wondering.. I know what you expect to loose playing optimal strategy, but I don't know what percentage of actual hands you expect to loose in blackjack as it is played at eg. microgaming and bossmedia playing optimal strategy....



Dormant Account
Oct 27, 2003
I'm no mathematician but I guess the precise answer varies according to the software rules you are playing, but that variation is negligible.

I play Atlantic City at MG, the approximate expectations on each hand are, a win 43% , push 9% and lose 48%. If pushes are ignored then you expect to win about 47.5% of the hands decided and lose 52.5%. Therefore in any 100 hands you should lose 5 on average or 5%.

I believe you would do marginally better at BM because for a start you can double 'soft' hands.
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Dormant account
Jan 21, 2004
According to the Wizard of Odds,
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Probability of net win = 43.31%
Probability of tie = 8.80%
Probability of net loss = 47.89%
This is for standard AC rules.

My statistics are
Probability of net win = 43.6%
Probability of tie = 8.6%
Probability of net loss = 47.8%.


I predict a riot.
Oct 17, 2004
Location, Location!
To answer the question - "Pretty much all of them" ;)

I have no luck whatsoever playing Blackjack these days, even following basic strategy. It's a game I much prefer to play in person and find it a bit boring online.

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