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Scary thoughts about Casinos

Discussion in 'Online Casinos' started by Tirilej, Feb 25, 2012.

    Feb 25, 2012
  1. Tirilej

    Tirilej Still a Lady CAG MM

    Occupation:
    Breathing
    Location:
    Sweden
    I have reading a thread where people are saying that after a big win in a casino all the games goes cold.
    I don't want to derail that thread so I start my own instead.

    I have been gambling for 20 years. For every and the same reasons that everyone else I suppose. I hit my bottom at one point. Got up and started to educate myself about gambling addiction.
    I worked for several years with helping gamblers to quit and take responsible for their own lifes and their own actions.
    I know I saved a few and that made it worth the effort.

    What amazed me most, and still do, is the fact that people are so supersticious when it comes to gambling.
    When sitting by the computer many gamblers believe that it makes a differense how they click the mouse. If it's night or day when they play.
    Ask DeBeuker if he can win on mondays:p
    Small things are standing all over the table just to bring luck.
    I know I'm counting spins, believing that I often win at a certain amount of spins:oops: , so embarrasing I know, but I can't help myself.
    There is a lot of strange things we do, think or believe when it comes to gambling.

    My question is just this. How stupid are we?:confused:

    Back to the thread about machines that stops paying after a big win. That's absolutely not true!!!

    If you believe so you also believe that the machine you are playing have some kind of intelligence. That it's maybe a person. (Don't tell me you never have talked to your computer, or the game you're playing);)
    If so, you believe that the game you have played knows that you have been winning that amount, and not only that game but all other games too. They probably have some kind of conversation, telling all the other games that he has already been winning. You can't give him more.
    The boss of the games tell the casino who is spreading the rumour to all MG's out there, or all RTG's or Rival, saying that they can't let him win any more. He has to lose first, and the best would be if he lose a little more than he has been winning.

    Can't you see the stupid way of thinking? Can't you see it's not a person or has a mind of it's own? It doesn't know you and don't know that you are there. It's a programmed machine!
    Now please don't through your sceen out of the window because you think that I'm crazy and don't know what I'm talking about. After all, that screen can't be blamed for anything either:)
     
    22 people like this.
  2. Feb 25, 2012
  3. immortality

    immortality Senior Member

    Occupation:
    Mother
    Location:
    On a seat
    I believe that after a big win, if you push your luck, you will end up giving it all back, Whether it be at land casino or online, it has happened to me at land casino, so no the games online are no different than land slot games:)
     
    5 people like this.
  4. Feb 25, 2012
  5. Tirilej

    Tirilej Still a Lady CAG MM

    Occupation:
    Breathing
    Location:
    Sweden
    That is exactly what I trying to make you understand. You could keep on having the same luck every time you play. Or you can lose every time you play. It has nothing to do with the fact that you were lucky one time. Who would know? Who would say that you can't win again? There is no God making the decision:)
     
  6. Feb 25, 2012
  7. Stovetopp

    Stovetopp Senior Member MM

    Occupation:
    Retired
    Location:
    On the Beach
    Nice post Tiriley

    Another thing is when you really feel good and very lucky , the unfortunate thing is the machine , or cards or dice didn't know or someone fogot to tell them :))

    I have had back to back Royals playing on a land based casino and some don't believe it. Another thing. Another big misconception is that once a machine hits it wont hit any more.

    Most folks here are savvy to the things you wrote however there are those which just amaze me
    and those are the ones the casinos love
     
    1 person likes this.
  8. Feb 25, 2012
  9. Tirilej

    Tirilej Still a Lady CAG MM

    Occupation:
    Breathing
    Location:
    Sweden
    I completely agree! I just read someone was whining over a particular group. They have the most dead machines he ever have experienced and it was strange that he could be so unlucky. He in fact closed the accounts never to play there anymore.
    Well, then it had to be personal:eek2:

    It can not have anything to do with what game he played, what time he played, what betsize he had.
    It can not have anything to do with RTP or any other gamblingterm.
    The casino must have been deciding before he started that no way...we can't let that guy win!:rolleyes:

    Sorry for being a little ironic. I can't really help myself:p
     
  10. Feb 25, 2012
  11. LaHutti

    LaHutti Sr. ÜberUnter Ass. Man. webby PABnonaccred PABaccred

    Occupation:
    .
    Location:
    East and West
    I think the real problem is, that players ... and compulsive gamblers in particular have is, that they don't understand, that the mathematics say, that they are going to lose, and STILL they approach it, as if they're "supposed" to win, and when they don't, they start chasing their losses, because they're "supposed" to win. When chasing losses doesn't work, they blame the games, because something MUST be wrong....after all they're "supposed" to win
    I wish there was a way to explain to gamblers, that once you press that button the first time, you're already on the path to lose. I know a lot of people, including myself, have tried in every possible way, to explain this over and over, but if you're addicted to gambling, or anything else, you tend to block out, what you don't want to hear.
    Bottom line is, if you gamble, you lose, not because the games are rigged, but because you can't beat the math !
     
    7 people like this.
  12. Feb 25, 2012
  13. BustedFlush

    BustedFlush Account suspended until further notice

    Occupation:
    Driver
    Location:
    Midlands
    Changing stake can affect how your slot plays. People often think the slots are totally random but they are not. The outcome is picked randomly, yes, but we all know we experience patterns. This is because the randomness is not open-ended. The only game that is truly open-ended and random is a physical roulette wheel - there is no compensation to stop a person say betting 36 and hitting it 20 consecutive times at billions to one. You wouldn't do it on online roulette. In blackjack your randomness is restricted by the shoe and its 4 or 6 decks. Yes, superstition is pointless but subliminal optimism or pessimism while you play is due to recognition usually of previous similar events and their results.

    Computerized gambling is NOT totally random and anybody who thinks so is misled. You randomly pick, when you press play, a preprogrammed event that is represented as a reel win or loss and you get the monetary value. This program will ensure the longer you play the slot, the nearer you will get to the RTP say 97%. To make it a gamble the wins are varied in amount and frequency. An ultra high variance as possible on 97% would pay you say 97 pounds once in 100 spins and zero on all others. The opposite low varaince would pay you 97pence EVERY spin continuously.

    OK, this is how it is done. There are outcomes set to pay x% over x amount of revenue/plays. For example, you may find a slot that pays its 97% as 194 50 pound wins or 97 100 pound wins (simplified) over 10000 pounds worth of spins. Imagine this as a ladder with 10000 rungs and a rung is missing for each zero spin. That is ONE layer of the program. In the program will be numerous other ladders with outcomes of 97% expressed as different wins, again with missing rungs. Put all these ladders on top of each other, and imagine there is a rung where you win on a spin. Now imagine the next player loses so falls down through to the next ladder. There is a win and he stops falling. Think 3-dimensionally. Unlucky player 1 falls though 25 ladders before hitting a rung. Player 2 hardly falls, but when he does only one or two ladders down. He is well above %age and player 1 is well below.

    This is why we remember sequences which DO occur but cannot predict the next spin. Add in complications like freespins (where all they are is one rung of one ladder with a predetermined total which is spread over the x amount of 'free' spins) or different types of freespins like TS2 or IR. The outcome (total amount won on freespins of any type) is simply one rung of the ladder with x amount of win. This is why for example on TS2 it makes NO difference what freespin you opt for. All of them can quite easily pay only 2.3 credits and all can seemingly pay the capped amount of just under 300 x stake.
    All the super pooled jackpots are is a run from every ladder removed and added to a pool and do not affect the payout of your slot. Because of restraints put in the programs to prevent freakish damage to casinos you would never win say 2 consecutive 5 wilds on TS2 or get a 100 stake up to millions on the computer roulette. Each layer or ladder does have a fixed sequence of wins on it which is why some people can recognize what will happen next subconsciously. When you select a RNG number you know that this selects a ladder/layer as well as an amount. This is why some win overall and some lose but those factors are mostly temporary. If you don't quit and don't w/d you almost certainly will lose as the average value of the same stake deposited loses effectively 3% every time it's used. This is the problem some compulsive gamblers and those that never make a w/d don't seem to see.
    Therefore it is NO use keeping playing and saying 'I always lose' in monetary terms. What you need to know to decide if you have really lost is the amount in cash played including recycling and the total amount won including recycling. RTP.

    It is also worth stating the new slot effect. In arcades, the old bar-x machines used to be fixed at percentage in the programs and would always payout well in excess of 100% until they 'settled' much to chagrin of some arcades and the delight of us that knew it and would fight to get on a brand new one being installed. Eventally a program was made that plugged in and played the first 10,000 spins. Fun over.

    It is also worth mentioning that some casinos, especially Wagerworks I noticed, tended to get you to a profit quite quickly when you were a new player, i.e. on the undulations along the 97% line you would get an up rise quite a short way into your play. I had one WW a/c whereby I played the same slot for almost a year every weekend. Before I left I had a look at my play figures and they were something like 297000 staked and 290800 returned. I had hit almost the exactly advertised RTP over this amount of spins. When you open a casino a/c you get a fresh 'seed' i.e. a new registry of RNG entries. This applies over the whole casino so if you were on a losing streak on say TS2 and changed to IR and lost on that, you are getting the same outcome as you would have got on TS2 if you had stayed on it.

    I know this my get some indignant replies, I have over-simplified it maybe, and may incur some pedantry but the proof is in the pudding. Online gaming is compensated to an extent; it has to be for both player and casino. Then play at any casino for tens of thousands of pounds turnover, look at your playcheck for stakes played and returned (not money deposited and cashed-out) and see them very near the advertised %age.
     
    2 people like this.
  14. Feb 25, 2012
  15. Tirilej

    Tirilej Still a Lady CAG MM

    Occupation:
    Breathing
    Location:
    Sweden
    Thanks for the reply BustedFlush! (I believe we got ourselves a new VWM);)

    I believe that what you are saying is correct. I'm not that good in math or technical details so I take what you experts are saying as facts. To be honest. I didn't understand half of it:oops:

    That was also one of the reasons I started this thread. To maybe give the common gambler an easy way to understand things on how and why we react like we do when we are losing.
    It's okey with whining if we understand the game:)
     
  16. Feb 25, 2012
  17. Realitybitez

    Realitybitez Experienced Member

    Occupation:
    Cati Interviewer
    Location:
    New Zealand
    I hate to admit this but I am incredibly superstitious :oops: I think most gamblers are, well it does have a lot to do with luck:p I recall when I first started gambling (land casinos) I was quite amazed at the people who used to talk to their machines, rub their machines - stare totally glassy eyed at their machines as though that was going to bring them a win..... then hello! a few months later, Im doing exactly the same thing:oops:

    I used to get really religious when I was on my last few dollars. 'please lord' give me one more hit and I promise I'll be out of here. :lolup: My religious frenzy only lasted as long as I was in the pub:p

    I haven't read the thread yet on the 'big win then you start loosing' but I kind of share that belief. It probably just is superstition but I have found, if I win anything substantial, I seem to loose constantly right after:(

    Anyhooo solution to that, just bounce to another casino - come back to that other casino (you won off) another day when one's mindset isnt on ' Im probaby gonna loose now, that I won so big'. And probability is that session will just be a normal round of win and loose.

    Works for me:thumbsup:
     
    1 person likes this.
  18. Feb 26, 2012
  19. skiny

    skiny Banned User - violation of <a href="http://www.cas

    Occupation:
    Doing everyone else's job.
    Location:
    Canada
    Will a game go cold after I hit something? Yes.

    Maybe not immediately after I hit something but whether I hit something or not the game will eventually go cold.

    Going cold just means you're not winning anymore and I don't care where or what you're playing. If you're gambling eventually you're going to stop winning.

    In fact I think most games are "cold" anywhere from 75% to 95% of the time. It doesn't matter if you're playing with slots, cards, a wheel or dice. Unless the game you're playing has a +100% RTP it's mathematically impossible for the game not to go "cold."

    The trick to gambling is being there when it's not and getting out before it is.
     
    2 people like this.
  20. Feb 26, 2012
  21. Nifty29

    Nifty29 Dormant account

    Occupation:
    PAID CASINO SHILL
    Location:
    Turn right, then right. then right again
    Well, if it was a very high variance slot, it could still go cold if it were 100%+ RTP.

    Good points you raise. It really is all about being in right place at the right time. Knowing about RTP and variance and game choice etc can help you manage your bankroll, but in he final washup its luck that decides your fate at any particular moment.
     
  22. Feb 26, 2012
  23. skiny

    skiny Banned User - violation of <a href="http://www.cas

    Occupation:
    Doing everyone else's job.
    Location:
    Canada
    That's true but if it's less than 100% it's impossible not to go cold.
     
  24. Feb 26, 2012
  25. nikantw

    nikantw Ueber Meister MM PABaccred

    Occupation:
    A bit of this and that
    Location:
    EU
    The fact that most raise their bets after a big hit doesn't help either! :cool:
     
    8 people like this.
  26. Feb 26, 2012
  27. BustedFlush

    BustedFlush Account suspended until further notice

    Occupation:
    Driver
    Location:
    Midlands
    Yes, you are more likely to go flat after a big win. RE. the ladders I mentioned in the program layers. You just hit a good rung and had a big win, the way the wins are distributed mean you are unlikely to hit another one immediately, because on each layer of programming the variance comes into effect, and each ladder has a few large wins and many small wins to keep your stake going, on a high variance slot the small wins are fewer but the bigger wins more which means more reloading but biggers wins when the RNG selects the right ladder and rung. Remember the slots are designed mostly (they have to be to retain players) to keep a deposit live as long as possible. For example on TS2 you get many spins giving a fraction of a credit followed by one or two 5 reels wins to rebuild your balance, and at 30p or 60p a spin it's not unusual to play for a couple of hours.

    The key to winning and w/d a profit is not hitting the big wins via the reels or free spins per se, but 'overlapping' when the RNG selects these amounts, i.e. you are rewarded with another large win while still playing the product of the previous one, and hopefully again and again so you end up playing for a good few hours and make a decent w/d of your profit. The way the ladders/layers work means you will experience both scenarios - overlapping for profit on one occasion, and attrition of your decent win without replacing it before redepositing, ie, losing.

    Again, when you join a casino you get a new seed and RNG of your own, and the ladders/layers will apply to ALL slots you play on that casino - you can see this when the slot retains the same reel pattern from when you last played it. You cannot ever renew this seed, unless opening a duplicate account. You are stuck with it, and it WILL payout very near the advertised RTP/ %age the longer you play there. If you are on a layer without rungs and losing this will happen whichever game you choose, similar with winning.
     
  28. Feb 26, 2012
  29. Nifty29

    Nifty29 Dormant account

    Occupation:
    PAID CASINO SHILL
    Location:
    Turn right, then right. then right again
    Ummm....eh??

    Sounds like that's made-up to me. I've never heard such things in 15 years.

    Unless you have evidence of slots being programmed this way, then I'll just assume this is another "Oh I just have a feeling etc etc" theory.
     
  30. Feb 26, 2012
  31. Tirilej

    Tirilej Still a Lady CAG MM

    Occupation:
    Breathing
    Location:
    Sweden
    Thanks Nifty! I wasn't sure I was understanding correctly, but if what he says is true then it wouldn't be random would it?
     
  32. Feb 26, 2012
  33. BustedFlush

    BustedFlush Account suspended until further notice

    Occupation:
    Driver
    Location:
    Midlands
    You confuse 'random' with results picked by a RNG from a program. The two concepts are entirely different.

    The results of spins on compterized slots are pre-programmed in many different ladders or layers. The only thing a RNG does when you press spin is select a digital reference to one particular rung/amount, and the only difference between you and say me when we both join a casino, download the software and for example play BDBA for 100000 of recycled stakes is the combination of wins we get on our way to the RTP of 97% which we'll both end up with.

    The difference will be when you overlay your peaks and troughs, over mine for the 100000 stakes, the pattern will be different. If you are fortunate enough to get your peaks early in the events after joining the casino for example are at 500% or 2000% you w/d and quit the casino otherwise attrition in the gameplay will ensure you end up at 97%and down overall.

    If in any doubt, ask members on here to paste (when they've joined a casino and turned over hundreds of thousands of pounds) their aggregate gaming report and see the figures. If you think online slots are truly random and not compensated or contained then you are in fantasy land. Show me one genuine report where (discounting outside pooled jackpots/awards) of a substantial turnover for several hundred thousand spins/pounds where you have a figure of say 110%.........
     
  34. Feb 26, 2012
  35. skiny

    skiny Banned User - violation of <a href="http://www.cas

    Occupation:
    Doing everyone else's job.
    Location:
    Canada
    I'm going to assume these ladders and rungs are metaphorical but really instead of good and bad rungs I'd add some snakes so you can slide back down them. After that you pretty much lost me with the layers in the programming.

    Variance is going to come into effect in any group of random events and no slot game has a predetermined amount of small or big wins. They are also not designed to keep a deposit as long as possible.

    In any slot game (not just TS2) you get many small wins and if you're lucky a few medium or large ones. The large ones are not there to "rebuild your balance." The large ones are there because "shit happens."

    The key to winning IS hitting the big wins. (I'm not sure how you can hit anything other than "via the reels.") The RNG doesn't select anything. If it did it wouldn't be a random number generator. It would be a selected number generator.

    So basically you're saying "When you play a slot game sometimes you win and sometimes you lose...." Gotcha.

    I'd like to know who told you this. I've never heard of every player getting their very own personal seed.

    And the snakes.

    If the slots retain the same reel pattern your seed is broken.

    Actually if you play there long enough you'll most likely sometimes be way over the casino's advertised RTP and sometimes be way under it.... Because it's random.

    So if you're losing it doesn't matter what you do, you'll keep losing and if you're winning you have no choice but to keep winning? So I just keep joining new casinos until I'm finally given a winning seed and then just quit my job?
     
    8 people like this.
  36. Feb 26, 2012
  37. BustedFlush

    BustedFlush Account suspended until further notice

    Occupation:
    Driver
    Location:
    Midlands
    Assume what you like, but before you do, check your various playing reports, look us in the eyes and tell me you aren't down in your years of playing. Try and visualize three-dimensionally the layers. If you like think of the old ticker tape computers used, with the patterns of holes. Imagine many of them stretched out and laid on top of each other, and at one place you'll find a hole lines up for 10 consecutive layers, whereas someplace it's only the top layer, sometimes the first 3, or there is no hole in the top layer, but underneath there are 5 consecutive holes.

    These holes are fixed but there are a finite amount which is your 97%. Your press randomly selects a position on these tapes, either hole or blank.

    I am trying to explain it in a basic way for those not familiar with programs.

    These holes will ensure against freakish events, like hitting a screenful of wilds on 3 consecutive spins or any other results or runs which will be detrimental to a casino operating the software. This is why, in all the trillions of spins done by members here none has come up and posted screenshots or reports of this happening, and never will. If truly random statistically something similar would have occurred, and been bragged about (quite understandably):lolup:
     
  38. Feb 26, 2012
  39. BustedFlush

    BustedFlush Account suspended until further notice

    Occupation:
    Driver
    Location:
    Midlands
    Good luck in finding a casino which pays you over time........
     

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