RNG: What to expect after a win?

kimss

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Joined
Feb 21, 2006
Location
Norway
I enjoy theese theoretical question, given we are talking about a total random system. So, just to be sure all minds think alike, a little question.

Stats tell me, that when given a great win in MG, you are most likely to hit another one on the next game in high wagering. After this your luck drops down to the basement. However, this is is not the question, but my biased observation which I was not to disquss.

My question however, given there is a 100% RNG environment, and all games are different.

After having 2 great wins, does that mean that you should really not expect win anything for the next spins? (And I am talking below average payout during the next, say 1000 spins).

I would expect the answer above is supposed to be yes, but I would be interesting in hearing your views.
 

aka23

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Joined
Jun 12, 2006
Location
Planet Earth
If the game is truly random, you have the same chance of getting a big win on any spin, including the spin immediately following a big win.
 

kimss

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Joined
Feb 21, 2006
Location
Norway
If the game is truly random, you have the same chance of getting a big win on any spin, including the spin immediately following a big win.
That is what I would want to expect, yes. :) (however....)
 

kimss

Dormant account
Joined
Feb 21, 2006
Location
Norway
But the odds of hitting a big win are horrible, so the chances of losing are the usual 9990 out of 10000.
That I also know, my point - as you know I am a stats junkie by now - is looking for (none existing you might add, :D) trends in the stats. I know the odds of hitting anything big are very slim, however it seems luck comes in pairs. Also, followed by luck we get usually very unlucky. Comparing overall that we are going for a 95% payout - it's staring to make sense...

However, I will come back to this most likely, I'm kinda just warming up here in the back throwing out some questions for ya'll, :)
 

kimss

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Feb 21, 2006
Location
Norway
Also, a question for aka23. I have looked at your webpage, beating bonuses. I guess you have been to a landbased casino also from time to time. Do you have a feel on how your techniques work in real-mode versus virtual-mode? Is it the same, or do you have different findings?
 

Simmo!

Moderator
Staff member
Joined
May 29, 2004
Location
England
It doesn't really matter how you spin it (sic) or perceive it, if a game is truly random then it's pure luck :D I agree you get a "feel" that stuff is happening but I guess oem days you are lucky, some you aren't. And the "some" depends on the variance of the games you play...:D
 

aka23

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Joined
Jun 12, 2006
Location
Planet Earth
Also, a question for aka23. I have looked at your webpage, beating bonuses. I guess you have been to a landbased casino also from time to time. Do you have a feel on how your techniques work in real-mode versus virtual-mode? Is it the same, or do you have different findings?
My site primarily deals with online casinos. Land based casinos usually offer different types of promotions/comps than online casinos. The game strategies and advantage math still applies, but there are often different types of advantage play.
 

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