- Joined
- Jun 25, 2010
- Location
- California
mathematical analysis
Regarding the fairness of random jackpots being won by free chips with low max cashouts, here is my analysis.
First, we must assume that the casino software is not cheating or rigged so that the free chippers win the random. If the casino could cheat, then no one would ever be bonus barred because the casino would just "flip the switch" on the advantage players and make them lose.
If we assume that the software is fair, here is my analysis of why it's fair that randoms are won by free chippers and the casino keep the rest. To make things easy, assume the world is divided into free chippers and no bonus depositors. If the money deposited by the depositors were the same as the amount of the free chips, then play would be evenly divided between the two. The contributions to the random jackpot would be the same from both groups. The random jackpot would be artificially high because only half of it would be coming from real money. When it gets hit by a depositor, the casino would be paying double the contributions from real money. When the random gets hit by a free chipper, the casino would keep the random (or 99% of it). If the proportion of deposits to free chips were 9:1, then the random would get hit 90% of the time by depositors and 10% by free chippers and the random would be 10% overvalued.
that's my line of thinking. All analysis and critiques welcome It's a little early in the AM, so I may have missed something obvious.
Regarding the fairness of random jackpots being won by free chips with low max cashouts, here is my analysis.
First, we must assume that the casino software is not cheating or rigged so that the free chippers win the random. If the casino could cheat, then no one would ever be bonus barred because the casino would just "flip the switch" on the advantage players and make them lose.
If we assume that the software is fair, here is my analysis of why it's fair that randoms are won by free chippers and the casino keep the rest. To make things easy, assume the world is divided into free chippers and no bonus depositors. If the money deposited by the depositors were the same as the amount of the free chips, then play would be evenly divided between the two. The contributions to the random jackpot would be the same from both groups. The random jackpot would be artificially high because only half of it would be coming from real money. When it gets hit by a depositor, the casino would be paying double the contributions from real money. When the random gets hit by a free chipper, the casino would keep the random (or 99% of it). If the proportion of deposits to free chips were 9:1, then the random would get hit 90% of the time by depositors and 10% by free chippers and the random would be 10% overvalued.
that's my line of thinking. All analysis and critiques welcome It's a little early in the AM, so I may have missed something obvious.