My 10/10 unit Bets Thread...make some money!

nomepunter

Banned User
Joined
Oct 3, 2016
Location
Dildo, New Foundland
I see most you play casino games and they are all -ev and in the long run you are going to only lose money. Casino games are for fun. But you need skilled games like sports betting or live poker to make money or use it as investment. I don't have patience for poker to sit down and play 8 hours a day, its more stressful than regular job! But sports betting on the other hand helped me a lot and I am doing well following certain picks. The 10/10 unit picks are the best. The 10/10 unit bet is a full scale bet. 10 units = 3% of the bankroll or 1 unit = 0.3% of the bankroll. 10/10 are very selective and some days there might be no bets. Weekends usually have more than one bet since there are many games to choose from. Last year October to December made 460 units with these picks. Hoping for the same this year.

Today in NCAAF: Boston College +17.5 (1.91) against Clemson 10/10 units.
Clemson is easily one of the top teams in the country along with Alabama and they had beat number 3 ranked Louisville in a close encounter last week. This team well balance offense and good defense and the line seems very attractive, however, this is a big let down spot for Clemson. Clemson was flying mile high after last week's win and they were still celebrating during the week and now this game is scheduled early on short rest. Clemson will look ahead and might get caught off guard in this rivarlary game on the road. 17.5 points is a too much. Boston College Offense is anemic and because of that majority of the public is backing Clemson but everyone forgets that Boston College defense is well above average giving up less total yards than Clemson. Boston college hasn't faced an offence of Clemson's caliber yet this year but at home they should be able to keep this close. If Clemson had played Louisville this week and Boston college last week, the line would have been around -13.5 or -14 instead. The home team must be backed with full stake in this situation as they will keep the score with in 17 points.
 

goatwack

Get dunked, big buns!
Joined
Aug 29, 2012
Location
Londonia
Slots may be non-skill based but I sure as hell wouldn't classify Sports Betting as a science. In fact it's downright ridiculous as either the odds are terrible or results erratic at best, even taking in all the team factors.

And as for poker, that's even more drawn out than slots play, with maybe a handful confessing to be pros, whatever that means.

All forms of gambling are heavily out of the player's control, no matter how much they kid themselves :cool:
 

scarletmuse

Full Member
Joined
Mar 5, 2016
Location
Perth
"Most slotters will try to play so many spins chasing bonus features or trying to win more if they win. Key is finding 5 to 7 slots a week out of those thousands of games that has the best value. Discipline is key. If you succeed you can make living with playing slots.
Indeed. There are some very good threads on money management and discipline at Free Spins Thread or Last Night on DOA...Following few simple rules and having self control can go a long way not only in playing slot games but can also help you minimize losses.
But if you look deeper and and work with analytics of RTPs, you can make money.This is why there are people who make living from spinning reels but there are no person on history of humanity who is making a living from sportsbetting...unless you are running the matchfixing ring!
I don't have patience for sports... to sit down and watch cricket 8 hours a day, its more stressful than regular job! But online slot games on the other hand helped me a lot and I am doing well following certain tips I read on CM. The MG 9-Liners are the best. Sometimes they are very volatile and some days there might be no wins. Weekends usually have more than one spin on the slots-since there are many games to choose from. Last year October to December made $460 with 9c spins on BDBA! Hoping for the same this year."

:lolup::lolup: (OPs from nomehunter) See what I did there? :what: Was browsing these posts and topics with a little interest... curiosity etc etc and I couldn't help thinking that even the 'For/Against' debate is really a bit of a gamble, like 50/50 either way it's all chance... Like flippin a coin, whether or not you study the variations in the curvature of the queen head imprint on the coin and analysing the weight-gravity ratios on descent... A seagull could still sh** on it mid-air :eek: Whatever side of the casino you prefer to loiter, it's all down to simply ya lose or ya win riiight??!? LOL

Spinning it around (pun intended :rolleyes: ) and swapping out a few words here and there for a laugh and I reckon it's pretty legit now in favour of slots :thumbsup::thumbsup:
:p:p
 

jasonuk

Experienced Member
Joined
May 10, 2014
Location
UK
Slots may be non-skill based but I sure as hell wouldn't classify Sports Betting as a science. In fact it's downright ridiculous as either the odds are terrible or results erratic at best, even taking in all the team factors.

And as for poker, that's even more drawn out than slots play, with maybe a handful confessing to be pros, whatever that means.

All forms of gambling are heavily out of the player's control, no matter how much they kid themselves :cool:

I also wouldn't consider it a science, but there is an element of skill involved in both sports betting and poker. The amount of effort required is significant, your edge may not be enough to overcome rake/overround, the variance can bite you hard and if you're playing against the house they will shut you down anyway!

A timely example would be the "rakeback pros" in poker - people who make a profit because they get 50%+ of the rake back as a reward. Many have come unstuck in the past couple of years as site operators have taken an axe to their rewards programs - the couple of percentage points edge they have lost turns them from winning to losing.

Sports Analytics certainly exists - and some groups (as seen in US Daily Fantasy) are successful enough to make bank. At the same time, there is an even bigger pool of "mugs" who think they are either beating - or capable of beating - the market, and sooner or later they will get the bad news :rolleyes:
 

Jasminebed

Game old gal
Joined
Mar 13, 2008
Location
Ontario
I'm not a sports bettor, although I did win my one and only sportsbet, for a nice amount on the first three NHL games one year where I had to bet on sports as part of a casino promotion. It paid nearly twice what the same bet on Proline (canadian sports lottery), so if you are going to bet sports, online is the way to go IMO.

I don't know how many thousands you make per year so far, or how much you bet either. As you know, your action can quickly be limited if they perceive you as either too lucky or too knowledgeable.

Have you ever considered being an affiliate? Pinnacle has been good to you, and they have a good reputation to boot. Maybe approach them, have some "Nomepunter's" weekly best picks blog, and a link to the book?

Even with some winning picks (and like everyone, including the bookies, you get it wrong), not every player will stick to only your picks, or not go on to play blackjack or slots, and you might earn a fair amount as time goes on.

I would recommend strongly GWPA if you are interested in becoming an affiliate. Also, fantasy sports betting is becoming a huge field, there were several booths at the Amersterdam I-Gaming super show this year.

I don't know your field of work either, but sportbooks pay big bucks for those who calculate odds.

I think Scarletmuse may have been pulling your leg a little bit with her post. Not that I doubt her luck, I've had more than my fair share this year. And my losses have never been really heavy any year, bankroll management and carefully choosing bonuses does help a lot with that.

Players also run the risk if they follow some guru's advice of being considered part of a Syndicate or betting group, even if they are just following tips from someone.

If say 60 of us CM members took your picks, we all came out ahead only betting your picks, especially for first time bettors.... well, we've seen such tales before. They do not always end well.

Do let us know your outcome this week, and feel more than welcome to continue doing so. There's a blog section here at CM, that might be a great place to do it. I don't know if you can access it yet, I know certain features require certain levels of membership.

I do know having a bet on the outcome always makes watching a game a little more exciting. I'm hitting Woodbine Slots and Trots in Toronto on Monday, I'll bet some races. I don't follow much, it's just worth $5 to have horses to cheer for.
 

scarletmuse

Full Member
Joined
Mar 5, 2016
Location
Perth
You make no sense. I don't think you understand the basic concept of odds and probability.

I don't think you understand exactly what I was trying to demonstrate in that post..

Yes, I was being a little bit tongue-in-cheek--no malice intended though...;);)

All I did was take your own words and switch out sports betting for slotting terminology as the same points can really be put forward either way mate... to say there's no science in "just for fun" slot games is a bit dismissive--especially when you look at the posts and blogs dedicated to RTPs, probability and so on:eek2:

and my argument is that it's not fair to say one is better than the other... Otherwise it wouldn't be "gambling" would it?
 

jshort

Dormant account
Joined
Feb 1, 2014
Location
Canada
When I think of sports betting in order to try and get a profit, I think of arbitrage betting. You need special software to efficiently find arb opportunities! I actually sell this stuff.

Generally though, the house edge with sports wagering is 10-15% if your not using any strategy. This is incredibly bias and hard to overcome even with expert analysis!
 

lotusch

A little mix of Dutch and Irish
Joined
Jun 3, 2013
Location
Dún Dealgan
Well I think for most people here goes that they enjoy playing slots..
Some you win,some you lose..

No matter how you see it, also sports betting is gambling and has the element of chance.
No matter how much info you have about a certain match / team / player etc etc etc.
Yes maybe it can work slightly in your favour but look around in sports these days and see how many odd / surprising results come out.
No way you can counteract that, even with all your knowledge.

I do some sports betting but only on a small scale as most of the times they are losing bets. :D
I play mostly on football and darts as other sports do not really interest me.
Also I wouldn't be able to enjoy sports betting as much as I would enjoy playing slots.
I mean, I have been to horse racing and dog racing tracks for example and I would not be someone who could bet on this kind of events every day, would bore the crap out of me.

Slots however always keep me entertained. :):)
 
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