Microgamings idea of random

hi all ,To add my 5th penny guys , ive been playing online for 10 years plus aswell as alot of other members , i would not say that there rigged , but im in no doubt that these online slots ,cards & roulette are weighted , ive seen it many many times to where ive had alot of hits at different casinos of x500+ wins to go onto a different game mainly roulette & get rinsed every single time in fact i could state that never once have i just after i good win on a slots, have i ever hit a £20 or £30 pound straight up number on roulette , just seems to easy that the software knows ive won a large some on a slot then counter acts it by taking it back via roulette ,ive done this so many times ive lost count & now after many years dont tend to do the same thing anymore , i shall also point out that ive tried all ways of stopping this changing my numbers going to red & black everything & anything but still remains the same results, thats how i come to say there weighted in some way or form.
 
hi all ,To add my 5th penny guys , ive been playing online for 10 years plus aswell as alot of other members , i would not say that there rigged , but im in no doubt that these online slots ,cards & roulette are weighted , ive seen it many many times to where ive had alot of hits at different casinos of x500+ wins to go onto a different game mainly roulette & get rinsed every single time in fact i could state that never once have i just after i good win on a slots, have i ever hit a £20 or £30 pound straight up number on roulette , just seems to easy that the software knows ive won a large some on a slot then counter acts it by taking it back via roulette ,ive done this so many times ive lost count & now after many years dont tend to do the same thing anymore , i shall also point out that ive tried all ways of stopping this changing my numbers going to red & black everything & anything but still remains the same results, thats how i come to say there weighted in some way or form.

I have had very similar experiences using the MG software so one does have to wonder if the RTP is set across the casino all games and how that is applied to individual accounts.
My best ever winning streak on slots (so anomalous as to be close to impossible) was interspersed by my worse ever losing streak on roulette.
I kept swapping between games and I would be hitting jackpots on the slots then go to roulette and go like 30 spins without hitting a number backing 12 numbers, repeatedly!
Just an observation not an accusation. After all, I was winning!
 
Nifty I have a deep technical knowledge, slot design knowledge (I design my own 5 reel slots complete with 95% RTP, bonus rounds scatters and wilds and multiple lines etc) I have a working knowledge of C++, flash/action script, java script, SQL and database design, HTML, PHP and others.
I have vast experience of playing slots both at B&M and remote casinos. There is my credibility, where is yours?

Sorry Rusty, but unless you have seen the code or you wrote it, then your theories are as good as mine. I did state earlier that I am not really a techie, so Im not sure what all the chest-beating above is all about :confused: I dont see the point in having a 'how high can you pee' match.

My point about credibility has nothing to do with knowledge - they are totally different things. What I said was related to this below:

The results were indeed random (pretty brutally weighted IMO but random) and the outcome was 50% RTP.
That is what I posted.

You didnt actually explain the point of what you posted originally, so you left it to the reader to decide what you were getting at.....and it seemed awfully like whinging that you only got a 50% RTP after 250 spins....implying that there is something wrong with those results, which anyone will tell you is ridiculous as these kinds of numbers can and do occur all the time, and will occur in a totally random game. If you are educated as you indicate, then you will (and I am sure you do) know this.

If your point was something different, then I am happy to listen.

What makes me laugh about Nifty is that he had a go at me before when I have been explaining for years exactly what he is suggesting only I extend this to 5 reel slots.
It is illogical to think that weighting would not be used in these slots when it is perfectly legal.

I agree that the 3 reel slots are most probably weighted, and some 5 reels slots as well come to mention it.

It might be illegal in many jurisdictions, but we both know that online casinos can pretty much do what they like.

Personally, I dont care if they are weighted, as long as the RTP is 'as advertised'.

My question is: If you discovered 100% for sure that your favorite slot was actually weighted, would you stop playing it? Even if you often win??

All I know that, as a player, I either win or lose. Simple. If I feel I am not getting a fair game at any time, I dont go back (and their are a few times Ive done this over the years). If Im happy in the knowledge that I have a reasonable chance of winning, then I am just that - happy.

Ive often asked myself and others : "If you were made privy to the internal functions of all the slots you play and exactly how they generate the RTP etc i.e. everything there is to know, would you still play them anyway?". Most, including me, said Yes. After all, its not like you can do anything about it is there? You cant spin it differently etc.

Anyway, my intention wasnt to get up your nose Rusty. It just bothers me when players complain about bad sessions etc and infer that there is something fishy going on. Have a rant about how bad your luck has been - sure - but you cant seriously go around claiming games arent random using a sample size of 250 spins.
 
And how do they beat it? Are they stupid programmed and they forgot to take betsizes in the equation?


Regarding the beatability of UK fruit machines - maybe vinylweatherman can chip in here because I believe he used to do this. These machines would run in cycles to try and stick near the RTP in the short term and it is possible to tell whether or not it is likely to pay out. There is a lot of rubbish spoken about them on the internet though as you'd expect! Basically any casino game with non random elements can be beaten (another example - a biased roulette wheel), this is why all casino games must be random.

Not to me, I can't find any other reason for the machines to act like they are:

* After a huge win the machine is dead.

* When you hit 4 scatters on Loaded the free spins usually pay less than if you hit 3 scatters. Do you know why? 4 scatters pay so much from the beginning.

* If you win a lot on your first free spin you usually hit nothing afterwards.

etc.

This is all personal experience. I doubt you've played enough spins to make any real judgement. Have you recorded this data or are you just bringing up things from memory? We all have a tendency to remember only the bad things.

If you seriously believe what you're saying, why don't you collect some data and then bring down the industry in flames? You could single handedly destroy Microgaming if you collected proof of your allegations. You'd need quite a lot of spins but the software does have autoplay! :p They might even index the data for you.
 
Regarding the beatability of UK fruit machines - maybe vinylweatherman can chip in here because I believe he used to do this. These machines would run in cycles to try and stick near the RTP in the short term and it is possible to tell whether or not it is likely to pay out. There is a lot of rubbish spoken about them on the internet though as you'd expect! Basically any casino game with non random elements can be beaten (another example - a biased roulette wheel), this is why all casino games must be random.



This is all personal experience. I doubt you've played enough spins to make any real judgement. Have you recorded this data or are you just bringing up things from memory? We all have a tendency to remember only the bad things.

If you seriously believe what you're saying, why don't you collect some data and then bring down the industry in flames? You could single handedly destroy Microgaming if you collected proof of your allegations. You'd need quite a lot of spins but the software does have autoplay! :p They might even index the data for you.

No need for vinylweatherman, Billy Bleach has all the answers. Just hold the bells

 
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This is all personal experience. I doubt you've played enough spins to make any real judgement. Have you recorded this data or are you just bringing up things from memory? We all have a tendency to remember only the bad things.

Before you continue to read you have to know that I am ahead at those 3 softwares I have played the most, Rival, Microgaming and RTG. One reason is that I nowadays really try to avoid the "dead" machines.

The data is recorded, I usually record my play with a screen recorder (cam studio).

About playing enough spins, this is the most common answer/question by those who believe that the outcome of every single spin is totally random.

I will never play enough spins. If I play 30 million spins, some really bright guy think that the sample is too small. :lolup:

If you seriously believe what you're saying, why don't you collect some data and then bring down the industry in flames? You could single handedly destroy Microgaming if you collected proof of your allegations. You'd need quite a lot of spins but the software does have autoplay! :p They might even index the data for you.

I don't have to, because I want to be able to win more. I have already in other threads told 4 of a kind that I don't want regulation either.
I really think that I will win less if the games were totally random.

If they are totally random I have no use for my theories about avoiding "dead" machines.

I want the games to act as they do at Microgaming, Rival and RTG.

And to the most important issue, there is almost impossible to prove this anyway. The RNG works perfectly and I can't record and collect data of 40 million spins.. :rolleyes:

I still don't think that the casino cheats, even if they stabilize their RTP with some help. :p
 
Sorry Rusty, but unless you have seen the code or you wrote it, then your theories are as good as mine. I did state earlier that I am not really a techie, so Im not sure what all the chest-beating above is all about :confused: I dont see the point in having a 'how high can you pee' match.

My point about credibility has nothing to do with knowledge - they are totally different things. What I said was related to this below:



You didnt actually explain the point of what you posted originally, so you left it to the reader to decide what you were getting at.....and it seemed awfully like whinging that you only got a 50% RTP after 250 spins....implying that there is something wrong with those results, which anyone will tell you is ridiculous as these kinds of numbers can and do occur all the time, and will occur in a totally random game. If you are educated as you indicate, then you will (and I am sure you do) know this.

If your point was something different, then I am happy to listen.



I agree that the 3 reel slots are most probably weighted, and some 5 reels slots as well come to mention it.

It might be illegal in many jurisdictions, but we both know that online casinos can pretty much do what they like.

Personally, I dont care if they are weighted, as long as the RTP is 'as advertised'.

My question is: If you discovered 100% for sure that your favorite slot was actually weighted, would you stop playing it? Even if you often win??

All I know that, as a player, I either win or lose. Simple. If I feel I am not getting a fair game at any time, I dont go back (and their are a few times Ive done this over the years). If Im happy in the knowledge that I have a reasonable chance of winning, then I am just that - happy.

Ive often asked myself and others : "If you were made privy to the internal functions of all the slots you play and exactly how they generate the RTP etc i.e. everything there is to know, would you still play them anyway?". Most, including me, said Yes. After all, its not like you can do anything about it is there? You cant spin it differently etc.

Anyway, my intention wasnt to get up your nose Rusty. It just bothers me when players complain about bad sessions etc and infer that there is something fishy going on. Have a rant about how bad your luck has been - sure - but you cant seriously go around claiming games arent random using a sample size of 250 spins.

If you state incorrectly that I have posted something which I have not and then go on to use this falsehood to question my credibility you should expect a vigorous response.
Of course you got up my nose and of course this was your intention.

The point is that the credibility of a person regarding a certain topic is strongly linked to their knowledge of that topic.
Knowing the mathematics involved and having an understanding of the programming languages used in these slots and websites are pretty much essential if you want your opinion to be informed.

I would not talk about how the weather works and make a forecast without knowing the physics involved and having a knowledge of meteorology and I would consider someone with knowledge of those as a more credible weatherman then someone who had none.

Stating my credentials is not chest beating just as fairly asking yours is not a pissing contest - you were the one who raised the issue of credibility.

Ok that is past, let's move on.

As for the intention of my original post, it was a little tongue in cheek and I thought that sample was pretty funny, hence my please come again comment.
It is not evidence of anything other than 50% RTP playing with $70+ at 60c a spin and busting out after 250 spins.
If I had stated casino x cheats and so does this slot and here is the proof you would have a had a point but making your own assumptions on my meaning and rewriting my post to fit those assumptions then going on to attack me for what I have not stated is not cool.

Now the rest of what you write we are in pretty close agreement on except I would say that virtually all slots are weighted not just some.
Also this is not illegal in any jurisdiction to best of my knowledge as long as they conform to certain standards and levels of RTP.

Knowing this do I still play, yes, just as I used to play AWP slots (also perfectly legal) knowing how they functioned - that does not mean I think they are completely fair though or things can not be improved.

Where you say we can do nothing about it - I disagree, though an argument that continuing to play them does not help the cause of change is a strong one. Still, if I just walked away that would not effect change either.

You state you are happy playing weighted slots as long as they conform to certain standards which is fine but when I first started playing online I thought it would be a liberation from AWP sucktitude - especially since all the noise coming from the industry at that time was that these slots operated without weighting or probability tables.

Why does it matter if you can still win and the RTP is 95% or whatever?
Because it is open to abuse and unlike B&M slots there are no other players to fill the slot while you are not there.
Sure it may take into account other players results but it may not which could mean the height of every win streak must be followed by the depths of the losing streak from hell. That does not seem fair.

Aslo RTP could be altered live rather than having to disable the game and upload a different version with a different natural RTP.
We could debate long hard as to whether the RTP is changed live and debate further about how the RTP is made up and whether that in itself is fair but such debates would not even exist if the software was algorithm free when it comes to how the RTP is arrived at.

I know the win streaks are fun but does it not stick in your throat just a little that what goes up must come down faster than freefall speed?

There are perfectly good reasons that the RTP is determined by other factors and bonus pick rounds are weighted and freespin rounds sent in batches.
Adding multipliers, the ability to change stake and lines increases the variance a great deal as well and software designers and operators want a handle on this but I maintain it is possible to design slots without these hidden number crunchers.
The problem is that while it is very desirable for me and most players it is not desirable for the Casinos so they will never go for it unless the industry is more strongly regulated with, dare I say, a little more technical savvy and desire for the player to receive the fairest game possible rather than just a pay check.
 
Now the rest of what you write we are in pretty close agreement on except I would say that virtually all slots are weighted not just some.

Don't think this is true. As far as I know all of the new MG slots are not weighted. Most of the 5-reel ones aren't.

Some slots have weighted elements such as the jackpot round in Mega Moolah and some prize picking bonus rounds etc.
 
Don't think this is true. As far as I know all of the new MG slots are not weighted. Most of the 5-reel ones aren't.

Some slots have weighted elements such as the jackpot round in Mega Moolah and some prize picking bonus rounds etc.

Why do you say the new slots are not weighted? (genuine question)
The new 243 line slots are even more obvious if you ask me - just keep tabs on the scatter symbols.
The last time I played Thunderstruck 2 it was around 1300 spins before I triggered the free spins and 600+ before I got a lightning storm.
Other times when I get the lightning storm frequently I also get the free spins fairly frequently - that is my experience thus far though I have pretty much given up on the game.
That sort of thing suggests to me that these events are linked.

The scatter symbols went through cycles of landing on reels 1&2 or 4&5 before vanishing again for long periods.
In fact I hit the first 2 scatters 4 times in less than 10 spins but then went well over 50 spins without seeing either. Rinse and repeat.

This would be all well and good if it was not the same pattern each time I played it. Also after a decent win I found I was spinning more blank spins than ever - on 243 lines!
I suggest there is very strong evidence for weighting in these slots and all others and usually the best way to find this evidence is to look at low probability event frequency rather than RTP as this requires much smaller sample sizes when checking for anomalies.

I can't prove they are weighted as such but if I can predict an increase or decrease in certain event frequency at certain times with pretty good accuracy.
It is not an exact science because the slots retain a random element throughout it is just the probability of events that alters.
I think this is because the bonus rounds have their own probability of triggering outside of the reel stop probabilities but I can not be certain on that.

Anyone who has an open mind should play a slot where a symbol doubles as the scatter and wild and keep tabs on their hit frequency, especially reels 1 & 2 after losing streaks or winning streaks. Also remember we are talking 3 reel stop positions here (in the window) not one.

People will believe what they want to believe but all I say is check these things for yourself and if you are still not convinced and of a fair mind then we will just have to agree to disagree.

Also you need to consider that I don't stand to gain anything by repeatedly banging this drum, I am not even saying the games are unfair as such - I just know what I know and think things could be done better as well as believing everyone should know how the games operate.
If I thought they were out and out rigged I wouldn't play myself, or would I?:confused:
I sure like my slots :D
 
Rusty, weighted slots don't have changing probabilities. There is no way to tell the difference between weighted and non-weighted slots by just playing them. To the observer they would look exactly the same.

The only way to tell is to find of the reels and put them into a simulator (or calculator) as I said earlier and see what the RTP turns out to be. The simulator assumes a non-weighted slot so if the RTP is clearly wrong, generally over 100%, then it must be weighted.

Why do you say the new slots are not weighted? (genuine question)

I am making an assumption here, but people have determined the reels for several new slots and none of them turned out to be weighted. Not sure about the 243 line ones. But so far i've only seen evidence of the really old ones being weighted (3 reels, and slots like 5 reel drive).
 
Rusty, weighted slots don't have changing probabilities. There is no way to tell the difference between weighted and non-weighted slots by just playing them. To the observer they would look exactly the same.

The only way to tell is to find of the reels and put them into a simulator (or calculator) as I said earlier and see what the RTP turns out to be. The simulator assumes a non-weighted slot so if the RTP is clearly wrong, generally over 100%, then it must be weighted.



I am making an assumption here, but people have determined the reels for several new slots and none of them turned out to be weighted. Not sure about the 243 line ones. But so far i've only seen evidence of the really old ones being weighted (3 reels, and slots like 5 reel drive).

I'm not being funny but I don't think you fully understand what weighting is and how it works.
MGS were caught out by not having the win probabilities and paytable match on their old 5 reel slots. When this was pointed out they had to admit they were weighted but from then on they have ensured that the win probabilities and paytable match the theoretical RTP which is made up from a complete cycle of every stop position sequence with wins paid as per paytable.

If you think that MGS changed the way their software operated rather than just ensured the correct reel strip and paytables to match the RTP then what can I say?
If you think they would only weight 3 reel slots that are much less volatile than 5 reel bonus slots, what can I say?
If you ignore everything I told you in my last post about how to look for signs of weighting in 5 reel slots, what can I say?
If you don't believe the RTP of these slots can be changed without changing the reel strips or paytable, what can I say?

I'm not going to write another thousand lines or rewrite stuff I have written many times before, often going into great technical detail, in an attempt to convince you of something that I know and you may as well stop trying to convince me of something you think - especially when you have nothing to back it up and it lacks common sense.
 
I'm not being funny but I don't think you fully understand what weighting is and how it works.


A simple weighted slot:

A - 10% weighting
K - 20% weighting
Blank - 70% weighting

A pays 5x bet
K pays 2x bet
Blank pays 0x bet


It's a one reel slot, there is only one symbol for each win but they are weighted so that the jackpot occurs less frequently than blank.

The same slot in un-weighted form:

A
K
K
Blank
Blank
Blank
Blank
Blank
Blank
Blank

Same paytable. The reel is not weighted in this slot (they all have a 1 in 10 chance of hitting) but the end result is the same, a 90% RTP slot.

Extrapolate this to a more complicated 3 or 5 reel slot and there you have it. Weighting is very simple. There is no weird crap going on with changing probabilities, less wins after big features etc. It's impossible to look for "signs of weighting" while playing - that's crazy talk.
 

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