Horse Racing & Tips Thread

[colinsunderland]

3.00A Have already got a small EW on the one I mentioned earlier, but the one I like, on form, is Espoir De Guye. Currently 6/1 5 places.

3.35A Defi Du Seuil has a good chance of winning this, will be amazed if not in the first 3. 4/1

2.10T If The Cap Fits shoudl be good enough to beat the fav in this race. 5/2

2.45T Brewin'upastorm. Back over hurdles and down in grade, this should have enough to beat these. 4/1

Will probably do a win yankee on those 4, with maybe a small treble on the last 3.


For the competition

1.50A Lightly Squeeze

Navan has been abandonded

Good luck everyone

 

[Slottery]

12.40A I rarely bet in Juvenile Hurdle's but Tritonic was a good horse on the flat and I know the stable think he has a good chance of winning this, he's been gelded and is working well at home. Not the biggest price, but the evens currently available works out slightly better than the 2.02 available on betfair, so would be surprised if this isn't odds on at the start of the race. The stats also back up the selction, Alan King has had 3 runners in this race since 2012, winning with all 3, showing he targets this race. His form with first time out runners this season is excellent, 29.11% which increases to 48.15% with flat recruits rated 80 and above (Tritonis is rated 99 on the flat). Think this is an excellent short priced bet today.

Already under evens but got it there with oddsboost so let's try

One double with short prices for today:
1.35 Taunton: Chinwang @ 2.63
4.10 Ascot: Valleres @ 3.00
Sunday
2.40 Born to Fin(n)ish (how could this lose)

And for comp, thanks @Kenji85

1.50 Ascot: Arrivederci
Navan seem to be off today?
Goal scorer: Bruno Fernandes from penalty spot, utd can't be many games without getting one

edit: One long shot EW Patent for Ascot:

1.50 Arrideverci @ 8.00, BOG
3.00 Acting Lass @ 17.00, BOG
5.35 Fanion Destruval @ 11.00, BOG

 

[paul7388]

-
Thanks again Kenji.

1.50 Ascot War Lord.

Navan i will guess no horse wins that race today.

2.40 Lingfield Born To Finish

And first scorer Mane.

 

[Kenji85]

Yup with navan off. Its just 1.50 at ascot today
And don't forget to post your picks for tomorrow's 2.40 at lingfield tomorrow and the liverpool game by 2.40 tomorrow.

Cheers

 

[Slottery]

Yup with navan off. Its just 1.50 at ascot today
And don't forget to post your picks for tomorrow's 2.40 at lingfield tomorrow and the liverpool game by 2.40 tomorrow.

Cheers

Thanks for reminder, somehow missed tomorrows race, edited my post with easy winner there

 

[colinsunderland]

Not often I do a football bet, but today

Freiburg vs Stuttgart Over 2.5
Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg BTTS
Charlton vs Swindon Town Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Over 2.5
Oxford Utd vs Bristol Rovers Over 2.5
Wigan Athletic vs Fleetwood BTTS
Cambridge Utd vs Bradford Over 2.5
Oldham vs Newport BTTS

Pays around 87/1 with Paddy Power

 

[Slottery]

12.40A I rarely bet in Juvenile Hurdle's but Tritonic was a good horse on the flat and I know the stable think he has a good chance of winning this, he's been gelded and is working well at home. Not the biggest price, but the evens currently available works out slightly better than the 2.02 available on betfair, so would be surprised if this isn't odds on at the start of the race. The stats also back up the selction, Alan King has had 3 runners in this race since 2012, winning with all 3, showing he targets this race. His form with first time out runners this season is excellent, 29.11% which increases to 48.15% with flat recruits rated 80 and above (Tritonis is rated 99 on the flat). Think this is an excellent short priced bet today.

Cheers Col, doubled my hundred Or think it was 2.25 at start so don't mind if BOG overrides my oddsboost...

 

[geordiecolin]

It's a shame about Navan. Good luck today if your having a punt

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

11. Paddys Motorbike
9/2
23rd Jan ASCOT 13:50 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 58y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/4 Odds, 3 Places
11. Crossley Tender
15/2
23rd Jan ASCOT 14:25 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 7f 180y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
3. Dashel Drasher
7/1
23rd Jan ASCOT 15:00 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 5f 8y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 5 Places
5. First Flow
14/1
23rd Jan ASCOT 15:35 EVENT 2m 0f 167y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds

Edit. I'll go for Mayson Mount in the 2:40 at Lingfield

 

[geordiecolin]

I also took this before Banana Joe seen a heavy gamble on it

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

10. Banana Joe
14/1
23rd Jan TAUNTON 13:05 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 1y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
9. Thibault
9/2
23rd Jan TAUNTON 14:45 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 1y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
9. Menapian
6/1
23rd Jan TAUNTON 15:25 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 1y - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
3. Jubilympics
15/2
23rd Jan TAUNTON 16:00 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 5f 150y - Each Way
16:00 Today
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places

 

[paul7388]

Roksana was might impressive like thought it would be.

So looked at the 1.30 race. Went feck it Skelton is in such great form so why not back Faivoir as big price. Didn't think it would get up tho.

 

[paul7388]

So here is my lucky 15 for today.

Paddys Motorbike @ Guaranteed Price (+400)WinOpen

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Chef D'Oeuvre @ Guaranteed Price (+650)WinOpen

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Crossley Tender @ Guaranteed Price (+800)WinOpen

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Bennys King @ Guaranteed Price (+550)WinOpen

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And if anyone wonders why odds are priced like that lol it is because i often use the Canadian site at WH. I much prefer the old site they had and you can not get it if you have language as English so i use Canadian and can use the old style site.

 

[Kenji85]

@cncas2123. With the 14/1 winner.

Everyone else with work to do!

 

[geordiecolin]

Saturday 1:50 Ascot - Craigneiche
1:57 Navan - Wolf Prince

Sunday First Goalscorer Man Utd v Liverpool- Sir Marcus of Rashford
2:40 Lingfield - Kraka

Thanks for the comp and good luck to all.

Congratulations on a hell of a pick

 

[cncas2123]

I always look for weird combinations with trainer/jockey I dont remember seeing Tom Cannon riding for Henderson before so it stood out for me off bottom weight.
Had it EW @11/1, in a lucky 15 @11/1 and a Lucky 15 @ SP 14-1 ( hate that Sky dont give BOG on races with extra places/money back anymore), so it has me well covered for today.

 

[geordiecolin]

That was quite a profitable afternoon for me all told and I've got this one on this evening.

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
P
9. Heatherdown Matron
13/2 15/2
23rd Jan NEWCASTLE 16:40 HANDICAP 1m 0f 5y - Each Way
16:40 23 January 2021
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds

12. Your Choice
4/1
23rd Jan NEWCASTLE 17:10 CLASSIFIED STAKES 0m 7f 14y - Each Way
Starting Soon
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds

2. Rockley Point
4/1
23rd Jan NEWCASTLE 18:40 HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y - Each Way
18:40 Today
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
Best odds

2. Jack The Truth
10/1
23rd Jan NEWCASTLE 19:10 APPRENTICE HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y - Each Way
19:10 Today
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
Best odds

 

[colinsunderland]

For the comp

2.40 Kylla Looks
Goalscorer Scott McTominay

Good luck

 

[Kenji85]

So looks like salahs goal and born to finish winning at Lingfield leaves @cncas2123 The winner.

Congrats I'll be in touch tomorrow!

 

[cncas2123]

So looks like salahs goal and born to finish winning at Lingfield leaves @cncas2123 The winner.

Congrats I'll be in touch tomorrow!

Cheers Kenji85 for the comp.
I had decided during the week what I was going to do if I won the comp and I will do a Lucky 15 next weekend and put up my own comp with any winnings. But I will also make a small donation ( £15) to the Injured Jockeys Fund, these are the people that give us entertainment day in day out, the people we shout at when we think we know better how the horse should be ridden etc.
Again, thanks for the comp and your generosity.

 

[colinsunderland]

4.20P Magen's Moon. Longshot and not one for a big bet, but currently 25/1 4 places with a few firms. She started off in Ireland with top Irish trainers but now trained by Phil York. She won two handicap hurdles here a little while ago on soft and good ground. She might have needed her last run which was her first start of the season. She races off a mark of 99 tomorrow, which is identical to her last winning mark at Plumpton. She's possibly still fairly handicapped over hurdles. It's also possible she is not very good and will come last, but I wouldn't be laying at the current price and terms. It won previously at 28/1 so the price shouldn't be off putting, and won this class of a race, on soft, over C&D. Small EW at PP for me.

1.10C Jumira Bridge 6/5
4.15K Culture 7/2
6.15K Bravado 10/3
4.10C Indigo Times 7/4

Probably do a small yankee on those for a bit of an interest

Good luck today.

 

[geordiecolin]

4.20P Magen's Moon. Longshot and not one for a big bet, but currently 25/1 4 places with a few firms. She started off in Ireland with top Irish trainers but now trained by Phil York. She won two handicap hurdles here a little while ago on soft and good ground. She might have needed her last run which was her first start of the season. She races off a mark of 99 tomorrow, which is identical to her last winning mark at Plumpton. She's possibly still fairly handicapped over hurdles. It's also possible she is not very good and will come last, but I wouldn't be laying at the current price and terms. It won previously at 28/1 so the price shouldn't be off putting, and won this class of a race, on soft, over C&D. Small EW at PP for me.

1.10C Jumira Bridge 6/5
4.15K Culture 7/2
6.15K Bravado 10/3
4.10C Indigo Times 7/4

Probably do a small yankee on those for a bit of an interest

Good luck today.

Nice shout out with Magen's Moon. Looking at its history and its opposition it does look as if it has a good ew chance so I have taken it as a single ew just with a few shekels

It wasn't easy picking out 4 for this afternoon but I did this. Good luck

Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way

1. Canimar
10/3
25th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 13:40 7F STAKES 7f - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 3 Places
9. Word Of Honour
5/1
25th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 14:10 1M HCAP 1m - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
2. Eyes
16/5
25th Jan CHELMSFORD CITY 15:40 1M HCAP 1m - Each Way
Each Way: 1/5 Odds, 4 Places
7. Sawpit Sienna
11/4
25th Jan PLUMPTON 16:20 HANDICAP HURDLE 1m 7f 195y - Each Way

 

[colinsunderland]

Nice shout out with Magen's Moon. Looking at its history and its opposition it does look as if it has a good ew chance so I have taken it as a single ew just with a few shekels

Fingers crossed
It's into 16/1 now but a non runner in the race so 10p R4, but the 25/1 with the R4 is still better than the current price by quite a long way.

 

[colinsunderland]

Small double on these today

2.55S Maykir
4.10W My Girl Maggie


Good luck today

 

[cncas2123]

@Kenji85 @geordiecolin @colinsunderland @paul7388 @Slottery as you are all regular contributors on this thread, I have made a small contribution on all of our behalf's out of the generous comp win from @Kenji85 - we are now the Casinomeister Racers.


Apologies to anyone I have missed out, this is on behalf of all the contributors on what I believe is the best thread on CM.

 

[paul7388]

Very nice of you cncas to give a donation to a worthy charity.

 

[geordiecolin]

@Kenji85 @geordiecolin @colinsunderland @paul7388 @Slottery as you are all regular contributors on this thread, I have made a small contribution on all of our behalf's out of the generous comp win from @Kenji85 - we are now the Casinomeister Racers.
View attachment 149683

Apologies to anyone I have missed out, this is on behalf of all the contributors on what I believe is the best thread on CM.

What a lovely gesture