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Early Kentucky Derby betting??

Discussion in 'Sportsbook Information' started by liquidsoap, Feb 27, 2007.

    Feb 27, 2007
  1. liquidsoap

    liquidsoap Dormant account

    Occupation:
    my self
    Location:
    home
    Anyone going to do it???
    Right now you get 7/1 on Ravel, and 6/1 on Nobiz Like Shobiz on bodog (they are the two favorites)!
    Anyone else follow that?? Ravel is the late descendant of Secretariat.

    You can not argue with those odds.

    I also like Liquidity as a horse in the race, he is 30/1 right now!
    Some fantastic odds for early on, and if the horse get scratched you will get your money back. :)
     
  2. Feb 28, 2007
  3. mrracetrack

    mrracetrack Dormant account

    Occupation:
    Retired
    Location:
    North of Pluto
    Those two favorites are now (as of 2/28) 7-1 & 8-1.

    Unless you REALLY like one of those favorites... better off to wait a bit... too many things can happen between now and the first Saturday in May... :eek:

    The 30-1 on Liquidity might not be a bad bet, tho... ;)

    Many prep races will be run in March and early April... you usually can get a better opinion on who looks good or has some added potential after watching these races.
     
  4. Mar 4, 2007
  5. soflat

    soflat Senior Member

    Occupation:
    Scientist
    Location:
    Florida
    At this early stage I wouldn't bet anything at those short odds. What are the odds of any one horse actually making it to the Derby? And then they have to beat 20 other horses.

    I might take a small position in some horses that are at least 30-1 or 50-1, but nothing shorter than that.
     
  6. Mar 5, 2007
  7. mrracetrack

    mrracetrack Dormant account

    Occupation:
    Retired
    Location:
    North of Pluto
    Nobiz Like Shobiz got beat once again by Scat Daddy on Saturday at Gulfstream Park... finishing 3rd.

    I don't think this horse can go the distance in the Derby. Probably better suited for a run at the Preakness.

    Scat Daddy looked good... closing to get up by a 1/2 length.
     
  8. Mar 14, 2007
  9. soflat

    soflat Senior Member

    Occupation:
    Scientist
    Location:
    Florida
    I put token wagers on 5 horses in KY Derby Futures Pool 2 last weekend:

    Notional (22-1) - Winner of 2 graded stakes this year. Seems to ship well. Next prep will be the Fla Derby or the Wood.

    Ravel (11-1) - The odds are short for such a lightly raced colt (won the Gr 1 Sham in his only '07 race thus far), but is very well bred (sire is Fusiachi Pegasus, AP Indy mare).

    Sam P (45-1) - Just took a flyer on this Pletcher-trained long shot.

    Scat Daddy (16-1) - Another Pletcher horse. Winner of the Champagne as a 2YO and the Fountain of Youth as a 3YO. I'm partial to horses prepping Florida.

    Zanjero (50-1) - 3rd in the Risen Star and the LA Derby. Always finishing wide.
     
  10. Mar 14, 2007
  11. tennis_balls

    tennis_balls Dormant account

    Occupation:
    fish n chips promoter
    Location:
    Albuquerque, NM
    absolute insanity to bet 'em early! how are you going to feel when your money is already down and your horse doesn't pitch a biscuit on the way to the gate?
     
  12. Mar 14, 2007
  13. Swede

    Swede Hell is only a word PABnonaccred PABaccred

    Occupation:
    Auctioneer
    Location:
    Anaon
    Ravel is my pick as of today but 11-1 is not good enough, like soflat mentioned. I'm hoping S-bet will open above 11 and get as much money in as possible.
     
  14. Mar 14, 2007
  15. tennis_balls

    tennis_balls Dormant account

    Occupation:
    fish n chips promoter
    Location:
    Albuquerque, NM
    i got 5000/1 on Barbaro to repeat

    ok horse-people. you can unload on me now.
     
  16. Mar 23, 2007
  17. soflat

    soflat Senior Member

    Occupation:
    Scientist
    Location:
    Florida
    Bummer. Ravel got injured and is off the Derby trail now.
     
  18. Mar 23, 2007
  19. Swede

    Swede Hell is only a word PABnonaccred PABaccred

    Occupation:
    Auctioneer
    Location:
    Anaon
    Most unfortunate! Now I need a new winner, anybody got any ideas?

    PS - soflat, do you have a link? I can't find any info at all...
     
  20. Mar 23, 2007
  21. soflat

    soflat Senior Member

    Occupation:
    Scientist
    Location:
    Florida


    Yep, on ESPN: You must register/login in order to see the link.

    Also see the DRF.com frontpage.
     
    1 person likes this.
  22. Mar 23, 2007
  23. Swede

    Swede Hell is only a word PABnonaccred PABaccred

    Occupation:
    Auctioneer
    Location:
    Anaon
    Thank you Sir! Now all I need is some good tips and info, gimme all you got.
     
  24. Mar 24, 2007
  25. bonustreak

    bonustreak Senior Member webmeister

    Occupation:
    webmaster
    Location:
    Home Office
    If you think it is insane to bet them early, you prob think I am a nutcase since I bet on the name or color the horse wears!!:lolup:
     

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