Early Kentucky Derby betting??

liquidsoap

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Apr 17, 2005
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Anyone going to do it???
Right now you get 7/1 on Ravel, and 6/1 on Nobiz Like Shobiz on bodog (they are the two favorites)!
Anyone else follow that?? Ravel is the late descendant of Secretariat.

You can not argue with those odds.

I also like Liquidity as a horse in the race, he is 30/1 right now!
Some fantastic odds for early on, and if the horse get scratched you will get your money back. :)
 

mrracetrack

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Sep 14, 2001
Location
North of Pluto
Those two favorites are now (as of 2/28) 7-1 & 8-1.

Unless you REALLY like one of those favorites... better off to wait a bit... too many things can happen between now and the first Saturday in May... :eek:

The 30-1 on Liquidity might not be a bad bet, tho... ;)

Many prep races will be run in March and early April... you usually can get a better opinion on who looks good or has some added potential after watching these races.
 

soflat

Experienced Member
Joined
Oct 3, 2005
Location
Florida
At this early stage I wouldn't bet anything at those short odds. What are the odds of any one horse actually making it to the Derby? And then they have to beat 20 other horses.

I might take a small position in some horses that are at least 30-1 or 50-1, but nothing shorter than that.
 

mrracetrack

Dormant account
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Sep 14, 2001
Location
North of Pluto
Nobiz Like Shobiz got beat once again by Scat Daddy on Saturday at Gulfstream Park... finishing 3rd.

I don't think this horse can go the distance in the Derby. Probably better suited for a run at the Preakness.

Scat Daddy looked good... closing to get up by a 1/2 length.
 

soflat

Experienced Member
Joined
Oct 3, 2005
Location
Florida
I put token wagers on 5 horses in KY Derby Futures Pool 2 last weekend:

Notional (22-1) - Winner of 2 graded stakes this year. Seems to ship well. Next prep will be the Fla Derby or the Wood.

Ravel (11-1) - The odds are short for such a lightly raced colt (won the Gr 1 Sham in his only '07 race thus far), but is very well bred (sire is Fusiachi Pegasus, AP Indy mare).

Sam P (45-1) - Just took a flyer on this Pletcher-trained long shot.

Scat Daddy (16-1) - Another Pletcher horse. Winner of the Champagne as a 2YO and the Fountain of Youth as a 3YO. I'm partial to horses prepping Florida.

Zanjero (50-1) - 3rd in the Risen Star and the LA Derby. Always finishing wide.
 

tennis_balls

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Joined
Mar 18, 2006
Location
Albuquerque, NM
absolute insanity to bet 'em early! how are you going to feel when your money is already down and your horse doesn't pitch a biscuit on the way to the gate?
 

Swede

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Ravel is my pick as of today but 11-1 is not good enough, like soflat mentioned. I'm hoping S-bet will open above 11 and get as much money in as possible.
 

Swede

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Bummer. Ravel got injured and is off the Derby trail now.

Most unfortunate! Now I need a new winner, anybody got any ideas?

PS - soflat, do you have a link? I can't find any info at all...
 

Swede

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Thank you Sir! Now all I need is some good tips and info, gimme all you got.
 

bonustreak

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Nov 18, 2004
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If you think it is insane to bet them early, you prob think I am a nutcase since I bet on the name or color the horse wears!!:lolup:
 
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