Do the math?

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Gonna toss a question out there for you eggheads to ponder:

Playing baccarat with a $200 bankroll,
Playing only banker, no more, no less than $4/hand unconditionally

What are the odds of going broke in 400 hands? And 360 hands?

Did this today and felt quite unlucky, trying a bonus thingamajig at two different casinos and going insta-bust at both.

Maybe this is why bonuses are unappealing to me, who knows!?
 
Gonna toss a question out there for you eggheads to ponder:

Playing baccarat with a $200 bankroll,
Playing only banker, no more, no less than $4/hand unconditionally

What are the odds of going broke in 400 hands? And 360 hands?

Did this today and felt quite unlucky, trying a bonus thingamajig at two different casinos and going insta-bust at both.

Maybe this is why bonuses are unappealing to me, who knows!?
It's easier to compute chance of losing $200 or more with an unlimited bankroll. There is a 1.1% chance of losing >$200 after 400 hands and a 0.7% chance after 360 hands. At which casinos did this occur?
 
These are both MG SUB's. It may not be the best way to approach a $100 match bonus but I was curious about the odds of me busting within 30 mins of playing.

I never take a bonus nor do I ever play baccarat normally.
 

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