CASINOS TURN OFF SWITCH

Yes but the question is: what if it happens to you every time? Truly random games don't have memory so you should still be able to turn 1000 into 10000 every tenth time assuming zero or very small house edge. The question is: is it possible that there is some mechanism preventing you from winning too much?


No, there cannot be house advantage on zero house edge games. Because the game returns 100% then somebody else wins the whole amount that the others lost.


I'm not sure that youy are right about that. I've always understood percentages for Video Poker & Blackjack assume perfect play and max bet.

The only time I have had a Royal Flush at a B&M I had only bet one coin, and thereby got less that the maximum because 5 coins pay a premium.

Or if I threw away every winning hand except a Royal Flush, I would expect my payback to be very low, and I would not be taking full advantage of a 100% payback paytable.
 
I'm not sure that youy are right about that. I've always understood percentages for Video Poker & Blackjack assume perfect play and max bet.

The only time I have had a Royal Flush at a B&M I had only bet one coin, and thereby got less that the maximum because 5 coins pay a premium.

Or if I threw away every winning hand except a Royal Flush, I would expect my payback to be very low, and I would not be taking full advantage of a 100% payback paytable.

My good friend is back....sharper than ever:thumbsup:
 
I definitely agree that casino operators can turn on and off the switch. The games are not random at all and this is the reason why you'll constantly lose if you increase a bet to lets say $20. It will eat this up in notime.

i don't suspect this same behavior in land based games. At a higher denomination machine, you can definitely win. Also if one machine is cold, another may be hot. In online slots, if you've already won big, then they turn the switch and EVERY game is cold thereafter. They'll try everything possible to get their money back.

This is why they don't publish payout percentages because they don't have to do anything in a totally unregulated environment.
 
I only play at CM's "accredited casinos" and they are pretty much ethical. BUT you will notice that after a few sessions, if not right away, the casino's supposed random number generator seems to adjust to your style of play. If you do the martingale strategy, you soon get looong losing streaks. If you do progression bets only after a win, you soon get a bunch of one win between blocks of losers.

I've done well with a modified progression strategy of upping bets after a win. After winning a few thousand dollars over hundreds of games, I started seeing a lot more of losing double-downs or splits after a win. These would come in the later part of a session (I usually play 30-40 hands in a session) where my progression bet would be a bit larger therefore I would lose double or more of my big progression bet. It appears they start getting close to the outer edge of credibility if you still win despite their earlier efforts to "get you".

Overall, at least at accredited online casinos, while I don't believe they "make it to where you cannot win", it appears they do employ some type of analysis of your play combined with psychology (A.I.?) to make you lose more often than otherwise.

That said, my biggest problem in losing is GREED!! I hurt myself a lot more than any ploy an online casino can do (if they indeed do so:eek2:).

Examples? Ok, one time I only needed $5 more to make it an even $2000 before I withdraw. I figured it should be easy, all I need is a double win which I should easily get because that is what I've been getting throughout the session. WRONG!! The one-and-done's came in droves and I lost the whole $1995! For the want of $5, I lost nearly $2 thousand. I've done this over and over again in the past three years! I could blame the casino for suddenly "changing tactics" but really it is my own fault for not quitting when I should. I've lost more than $4,200 at Casino Share though I really only lost less than $500 in deposits. If I and you can control GWEED, we be rich, huh?:D
 
And Westland, from personal experience I've been on the losing end of a few Martigalers - in fact my most memorable beat was a player who would bet $1 then $500, then $1, then $500 for hours. Not hard to see he though he would win every second hand. I watched him for days taking thousands out of my casino and I'm not 100% sure we ever got it back.

For everyone:
That`s the way the ball bounces - the longer you play, the longer your bankroll is exposed to the house edge. There is a beauty and a curse in casino games. They can pull you in and reward you handsomely one day and chew you up and spit you out the next.

I won`t be able to convince anyone here who does not want to be - that`s my house edge to overcome I guess. However, I spent 5 great years directly in the industry and met some awesome people who worked in it and players who played in it. Some of those players were winners, most were not. I have prided myself on being able to offer thousands of players a fair entertaining experience.

Night all. May all your double downs be winners.
BR
 
when u gamble ur eather going to win or going to lose if you can,t lose without pointing a finger and saying they r cheating then don,t play. i have been playing on-line for close to 8 years and have had my loses and winning. when i lose i lose for awhile but when i win it also last for awhile. like just this month i,ve won over 17 thousand $ but i also know that it won,t last forever and that i will start losing again. thats why its called gambling win some lose some.
 
It might be possible that microgaming could put in a subtle cheat somewhere in the programming, to make the house win more than the player, as this would make their software more appealing to potential buyers;

but then when I think on this, it can't be true as they also want the players on their side. The software is useless to a casino if nobody wants to play in it. And if word gets out that software is rigged, due to the speed of the internet in transmitting information, and the amount of competition they would soon lose customers. So they would have to make the games fair to appeal to both casinos and players. I don't think there is any kill switch. I think it's just the house edge coming into effect. The problem is with the RNG games the play time is much faster than in the live games, and you lose much sooner.

I did an experiment to see if the same thing that happened whilst playing RNG games happened whilst playing live games in fun mode.

I tested a martingale against a live game of baccarat first to see if it would work. I did quite well to begin with. But after a while I did lose 11 games in a row...

I tried doing a martingale in a live game of blackjack, and actually lost 7 games in a row...

which opened my eyes to the possibility you are just as likely to lose every single game you play as you are win... and just because you have lost several times in a row doesn't mean you are due a win. There isn't a little angel watching how many times you lose and then deciding it is time you had a win.

At the end of the day they are games of chance, and placing a bet is taking a chance. And having tested out various systems in live games, and eventually achieving the same results as in the RNG games. I am sure the software isn't rigged.

It's like Bromo98 said, he was losing money to a player who kept placing $1 bets then $500 bets. If there was a killswitch or an A.I learning about his playing strategy, surely it would have put a stop to that pretty quick.

Although there probably is rigged software out there, I don't think it is the big named ones like microgaming, playtech or cryptologic... as long as you stick with these 3 it should be safe.

Although no casino game is ever really fair, as the house edge ensures the casino always has the advantage. So in a sense all casinos do cheat, but we all accept that...


However I am grateful for this thread as it has helped convince me the software isn't rigged and helped clear up any doubts and misconceptions I had...
 
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...No, there cannot be house advantage on zero house edge games. Because the game returns 100% then somebody else wins the whole amount that the others lost...

yeah but that guy is going to play all of his win back also, like every other sucker. the game pays 100%, but not every hand or it wouldn't be an exciting game. if players are determined to blow their stack, they're going to do so. the casino takes on these players all day to their contentment. give us enough rope, and we'll do it. dangle any win in front of us and we'll do our damnedest NOT to cash it out.

gambling's a wild beast. you have to attempt to tame it to be able to get ahead. :thumbsup:
 
yeah but that guy is going to play all of his win back also, like every other sucker. the game pays 100%, but not every hand or it wouldn't be an exciting game. if players are determined to blow their stack, they're going to do so. the casino takes on these players all day to their contentment. give us enough rope, and we'll do it. dangle any win in front of us and we'll do our damnedest NOT to cash it out.

gambling's a wild beast. you have to attempt to tame it to be able to get ahead. :thumbsup:

Yeah, but if the player goes back there is nothing to prevent him winning more. Games don't have memory so he has the same chances as he started with. There is nothing to say that is DESTINED to lose, unless there is a switch to protect the casino from losing too much. Have you seen the case here where a player won $400 000 with repeated wins on Live Roulette? It just goes to show that every now and then you can keep on playing and manage to avoid the loss. The question is would he have been able to pull this off at virtual RNG roulette?

Not every player puts their winnings back to casino. If you have won enough you can buy a house with your winnings and never put it back to tables.
 
Unfortunately, this is the exception not the rule.
Human nature is that we always want MORE MORE MORE.
The nature of casino play is that people will always chase the huge win. If they get it, they'll chase a bigger win. At some point, they're going to chase one of these wins straight into the toilet. The vast majority of gamblers stop when their balance hits zero, not a thousand.
 
Yeah, but if the player goes back there is nothing to prevent him winning more. Games don't have memory so he has the same chances as he started with. There is nothing to say that is DESTINED to lose, unless there is a switch to protect the casino from losing too much. Have you seen the case here where a player won $400 000 with repeated wins on Live Roulette? It just goes to show that every now and then you can keep on playing and manage to avoid the loss. The question is would he have been able to pull this off at virtual RNG roulette?

Not every player puts their winnings back to casino. If you have won enough you can buy a house with your winnings and never put it back to tables.

if you never put it back to tables, then you ARE a winner. i said that the house gets the advantage of taking people's bets all day and can break the pocketbooks of many players. immediately after that, i said the player's advantage in that situation is he can take his money and run whenever. the key is that the majority of players will chase and chase. every time you go back to the well, you risk falling in and losing it all. also i think it is very rare a person will cashout and leave the casino with a small loss, they will use the rest of that gambling money to try to get back ahead.

and as for the roulette champ, i am sure he upped his bet from what he started out playing, or there's no way he could have won that much. and in raising his bets, he put himself at risk to lose it all, or at least a much larger portion of the maximum balance he had. and if he had, how could that happen without the game cheating? how could someone lose 400 000? they had to have flipped a switch on him. or, he was stupid with his money and kept playing. the more play, the more exposure to negative-expectation games, like someone from the casino side mentioned.

and a lot of this debate is from a short- versus long-term perspective as well. we can use points from either side to support different viewpoints we present as arguments.

because clearly in infinity the no-edge game will do just that, pay out as much as it takes in. but that's why i made the point that the punters are like mortals, where the casino is always there. limited roll can be spent up and that's the end, where no matter how much the house is down, they can even out the short-term losses by continuing to play and thus bringing the real score closer to the mean (of zero for the no-edge games).

the reason the player is destined to lose is the long run. in the short term, variance comes in wild amplitudes. in the long run, you will have some sessions that are great outliers from the mean. that is, things like a 500 unit losing session. but unfortunately, most players play with far fewer units in the stack, so a going broke session happens far more often than an exceptionally good run. having this hard stop point at your bottom end limits the player's ability to get back to break-even like the math says should happen. ad you just have to get uber-lucky once in your life to hit that 500 unit upswing during the part of the series before your stack is blown, you feel like all was for naught, and you have to reload to start a new session chasing that life-altering win.

casinos even offer some games at less-than-zero edge, because they can afford to. players seeing dollar-signs in their heads, maybe not playing optimally within each hand, playing at a volatile bet size compared to variance... serving casino games is easy money, and toss a few crumbs in the form of a zero lounge to the plebes keeping them under your thumb.

:thumbsup:
 
because clearly in infinity the no-edge game will do just that, pay out as much as it takes in. but that's why i made the point that the punters are like mortals, where the casino is always there. limited roll can be spent up and that's the end, where no matter how much the house is down, they can even out the short-term losses by continuing to play and thus bringing the real score closer to the mean (of zero for the no-edge games).

Yes, my point was that in the long-term the casino cannot have an edge on zero house edge games because all wins and losses are balanced out eventually. Even if most would lose their bankroll, every now and then somebody else wins the same amount the others lost. Otherwise the game wouldn't have zero house edge.

However, like you said positive house edge games are totally different. The longer time you play, you have continously diminishing chances of being ahead. You will eventually lose even if you have had extraordinaly good luck.

happygobrokey said:
casinos even offer some games at less-than-zero edge, because they can afford to. players seeing dollar-signs in their heads, maybe not playing optimally within each hand, playing at a volatile bet size compared to variance... serving casino games is easy money, and toss a few crumbs in the form of a zero lounge to the plebes keeping them under your thumb.
:thumbsup:

Actually I have seen most negative house-edge games being removed from on-line casinos. The reason for this is that it possible to set up a robot to play such a game 24/7 and earn a small constant flow of income to the player.
 
House edge is theoretical. It's not the same as payout percentages.

the house edge can be zero but the casino can come out ahead overall, because there aren't an infinite number of games.

Let's say you're playing zero house-edge roulette - that is, roulette with no zero on the wheel. You bet only red, and you use a martingale system, starting with $1 with a budget of $100

You're more likely to hit seven blacks in a row than decide you've won enough for the day. (7 wins in a row only puts you up to $107, while 7 losses in a row puts you at zero)
 
House edge is theoretical. It's not the same as payout percentages.

the house edge can be zero but the casino can come out ahead overall, because there aren't an infinite number of games.

No, no, no the house can't come ahead in the long run. You might lose but you might win with the same chances, making it even in the end.

james01 said:
Let's say you're playing zero house-edge roulette - that is, roulette with no zero on the wheel. You bet only red, and you use a martingale system, starting with $1 with a budget of $100

You're more likely to hit seven blacks in a row than decide you've won enough for the day. (7 wins in a row only puts you up to $107, while 7 losses in a row puts you at zero)

If you play martingale you will win $1 each time you avoid getting 7 blacks in a row. The probability to get 7 blacks in a row is (1/2)^7 = 1 : 128. This means that on average your bankroll goes up $128 units. When the martingale fails with 7 blacks in a row, your bankroll goes down $128 units. So it all balances out leading to zero overall profit/loss.

As the player cannot have an edge over casino with certain betting, then also the opposite is true: certain betting cannot give casino an edge (assuming zero house edge game).
 
but the one who plays the game the longest has the greatest chance of encountering a large win along the way, and also the best chance to break even at the end of play.

so the more limited the bankroll, the more likely you won't reach the point where there is a good size win, and also the more likely you will not approach the mean zero during your play.

i speak practicality, not theory. no one who is flirting within one sigma either side the mean will cash out, and more often than not (?) the desired win for a cashout is larger than 1x the deposit, making it more likely the player goes broke than cashes out.

and the casino doesn't care when or to whom it loses and wins. they just play and play with every expectation (and rightly so) to make some money. they don't even have to build in an advantage on every game because most players WILL ruin themselves, even if they have some discipline and/or a good run.

oh i know, it's *hold versus edge*. i'm saying the casino holds people's money, even though they take no edge on the bets. because the players don't cash out at the ideal times, and play with too few units in their stack to keep playing for anything but an off chance at a very short good run at high stakes. the casinos take more chips off players than players take off the table to the cage.

players only win by variance/luck/chance or +ev bonuses in the short term, or by accessing house-disadvantage games in the long term. casinos win by player blunders, outlasting players' money, and variance in the short term, and house edge and customer retention/compulsive gamblers in the long term.

:thumbsup:
 
No, no, no the house can't come ahead in the long run. You might lose but you might win with the same chances, making it even in the end.

Just because a casino game has a theoretical house edge of zero, doesn't mean that it can't win in the long run. They most certainly can
 
Just because a casino game has a theoretical house edge of zero, doesn't mean that it can't win in the long run. They most certainly can

Sorry, that's mathematically impossible. If they do win in the long run, then the game does not have zero house edge.
 
Sorry, that's mathematically impossible. If they do win in the long run, then the game does not have zero house edge.

No, it isn't. Theoretical house edge is a completely different concept to game hold.

If every participant played perfect strategy, then you would be correct, but most people don't
 
No, it isn't. Theoretical house edge is a completely different concept to game hold.

If every participant played perfect strategy, then you would be correct, but most people don't

If there is a strategy involved then I do agree that playing non-optimal strategy increases the house edge above from zero. But this was not really the original issue, I think.

Zero house edge Roulette or Baccarat doesn't have any strategy so such a game has to return 100% and the casino cannot make any long-term profit from the game unless it is rigged.
 
If there is a strategy involved then I do agree that playing non-optimal strategy increases the house edge above from zero. But this was not really the original issue, I think.

Zero house edge Roulette or Baccarat doesn't have any strategy so such a game has to return 100% and the casino cannot make any long-term profit from the game unless it is rigged.

Betfair Zero Blackjack achieves 'zero edge' by reducing commission on the banker. The chances of winning any game are unchanged, and the tie bet still pays 8 to 1, which still gives the house a large edge, ditto the player bet (remove the 'large'). This is, of course, ignoring the fact that the banker bet isn't exactly zero
 
I am totally convinced that the casinos have a turn off switch, a couple of examples...playing at a very reputable MG casino and had a good win on the weekender of 1600 and turned that into 2800, silly me thought that i wont pull it out i will play a little higher and maybe build it up, but no, OFF GOES THE SWITCH and no matter what denomination i played i got tiddly squat and blew the lot over a couple of days..Should have withdrew.. Same casino about a week later put in 100 and built it to 1000, smarter this time withdrew 500 and guess what, OFF GOES THE SWITCH, and over 2 nights blew the other 500 again getting NOTHING worth while on any game. My wife had a the same experience with another MG casino, withdrew 700 from 1300 and BANG, off went the switch and couldn't get anything on any game she played, It seems that IF you are lucky enough to get something , if you play on, the SWITCH goes off, and if you withdraw that is also a sin and the switch goes off. This seems to happen at all of the MG casinos that i play. Any one else had a similiar experience ?

definately,

I said the exact same thing myself on the MG slots. Odd that all the games are dead. I also noticed that I'd get an occasional bonus round on the lower coin amounts and zippo on the higher amounts. Sometimes I think they're skewed but they really behave like land slots and rightfully should.

The MG's were hot back in March/April but dead ever since. As a mattter of fact all the times I've ever won it was always around the same time, 11am est.

I also noticed many times with the MG games that if you change something like click the bank icon, withdraw and go back to the game, it's dead.

The only game I had any luck on recently was Mad Hatters.

Cheers,
Slotplayer
 

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