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BJ (4Decks/ALL17)

Discussion in 'Ask the Meister' started by poser, Aug 20, 2007.

    Aug 20, 2007
  1. poser

    poser Experienced Member

    Occupation:
    Student
    Location:
    Hamburg
    Hi,

    just a question:

    How probably is it, to have such a BJ Session, with the Basic Strat. follwed ?

    112 Games:

    12 Pushes
    33 Player Wins
    67 Dealer Wins (!)

    As I read in WizardOfOdds about the cheating BJ Game from "Casino Bar", I do have a little strange feeling noe about this session at a well known Casino.

    Has someone the math ?

    THX

    poser
     
  2. Aug 21, 2007
  3. aka23

    aka23 Dormant account

    Occupation:
    Technical
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    I'd recommend treating it as 3 binomial variables -- pushes, wins, and losses.

    The average of each variable is n*p
    The standard deviation of each variable is SQRT(n*p*(1-p))

    n = number of trials = 112
    p = probability of each variable... You can probably find this on Wizard of Odds.
     
  4. Aug 21, 2007
  5. poser

    poser Experienced Member

    Occupation:
    Student
    Location:
    Hamburg
    re

    Yes, I would, but I didn't find the probabilities for the outcomes, even not on WizOfOdds.

    EDIT: OK, I found it. It's a very unlikly, but possible outcome in the 3rd. St.Dev I think. BAD luck...

    I should have 47 wins, a st.dev of around 5....

    THX
     

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