1. Dismiss Notice
  2. By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies .This website or its third-party tools use cookies, which are necessary to its functioning and required to achieve the purposes illustrated in the cookie policy.Find out more.
    Dismiss Notice
  3. Follow Casinomeister on Twitter | YouTube | Casinomeister.us US Residents Click here! |  Svenska Svenska | 
Dismiss Notice
REGISTER NOW!! Why? Because you can't do diddly squat without having been registered!

At the moment you have limited access to view most discussions: you can't make contact with thousands of fellow players, affiliates, casino reps, and all sorts of other riff-raff.

Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join Casinomeister here!

Anyone good in stochastics?

Discussion in 'Online Casinos' started by dominik, Feb 14, 2004.

    Feb 14, 2004
  1. dominik

    dominik Dormant account


    I just played at Gaming Club for the first Time. I deposited 150 and got a bonus of 180, wich is really a nice offer. For filling the wagering requirements I thougt to choose Blackjack and since the software has this Autoplay function I used a stake of 2$.
    I changed the strategy-table on 3 positions: split wit 8,8 on dealers ten; Hit with Soft 18 on Dealers 10 and Stand on Soft18 on Dealers 8.
    I think this is a good strategy for european BJ, isnt it?

    I started the Autoplay and after 900 Games, my Balance sunk from 330$ to 180. Thats a loss of 75 Units in 900 Games, about 8%!!!
    Then I doubled my stack because I thought I have to have luck now, but again I lost 30 Units in 600 Games. Another 5%!

    After that, I played manually with 10$, first won, then lost it all.

    I do not really think that the Software is cheating, because when I played with 10$, I had the balance at 250$ again, but maybe the Autoplay isn't the best choice. What do you think?

    Is there anyone good in stochastics who knows how likely it is to loose 8% in 1000 Games? The normal percentage should be around 0,5%-1%.

    Greets! Dominik
  2. Feb 14, 2004
  3. GrandMaster

    GrandMaster Ueber Meister CAG

    Mathematician by day, online gambler by night.
    You should not split 8,8 vs 10 and you should also double on 9 vs 2.

    You are about 2 standard deviations below the expected value. The probability of losing this much or more is about 2.5%.

Share This Page