4 BJ in a row

gfkostas

Ex-Bonus Whore
Joined
Sep 3, 2003
Location
London
I was playing at Spin palace and i got 4 BJ in a row at Vegas strip BJ (4 decks).Can someone tell me the probability for such outcome?
Easier than a straight flush?
 

Clayman

Dormant account
Joined
Mar 12, 2004
Location
Pennsylvania, USA
gfkostas said:
I was playing at Spin palace and i got 4 BJ in a row at Vegas strip BJ (4 decks).Can someone tell me the probability for such outcome?
Easier than a straight flush?

Clearly the casino is rigged.

Oh wait - you mean the PLAYER got 4 BJ's in a row. Well, then, no doubt about it, it's a fair casino.

Probability of 1 BJ= 0.047566 so 4 in a row would be 0.047566^4=0.00000511901646 or 1 in 195,350.

So about 22 times less likley than than a straight flush in JOB which would be the equivalent of about 3 BJ's in a row. (1 in 9,292 for 3 BJ's vs 1 in 9,019 for a Straight Flush.) In fact, alot more rare than a Royal Flush. (1 in about 38,000)

Hope you were betting big :)
 

jpm

Paleo Meister (means really, really old)
Joined
Mar 29, 2002
Clayman said:
Clearly the casino is rigged.

Oh wait - you mean the PLAYER got 4 BJ's in a row. Well, then, no doubt about it, it's a fair casino.

LMAO :lolup:
 

gfkostas

Ex-Bonus Whore
Joined
Sep 3, 2003
Location
London
Clayman said:
Clearly the casino is rigged.

Oh wait - you mean the PLAYER got 4 BJ's in a row. Well, then, no doubt about it, it's a fair casino.

Probability of 1 BJ= 0.047566 so 4 in a row would be 0.047566^4=0.00000511901646 or 1 in 195,350.

So about 22 times less likley than than a straight flush in JOB which would be the equivalent of about 3 BJ's in a row. (1 in 9,292 for 3 BJ's vs 1 in 9,019 for a Straight Flush.) In fact, alot more rare than a Royal Flush. (1 in about 38,000)

Hope you were betting big :)



Omg! Clayman. I never though that it's so rare.I was under the impression that the royal flush is 1 in about 700,000. :eek2:
I was betting $200 on every hand but.........it was fun mode :lolup: :lolup:
 

Clayman

Dormant account
Joined
Mar 12, 2004
Location
Pennsylvania, USA
gfkostas said:
I never though that it's so rare.I was under the impression that the royal flush is 1 in about 700,000.

OK - I see what you mean. I was doing the chances of ending up with those hands in a JOB VP game. But, using a 52 card deck, there are 2,598,960 possible 5-card combinations. 4 of these will be a Royal Flush and 36 of these will be a Straight Flush. So the chances are 1 in 649,740 and 1 in 72,193 respectively of being dealt these hands.

"I was betting $200 on every hand but.........it was fun mode"

You're killing me. Casinos are always fair in fun mode :)
 

GrandMaster

Dormant account
Joined
Jan 21, 2004
Location
UK
gfkostas said:
I was playing at Spin palace and i got 4 BJ in a row at Vegas strip BJ (4 decks).Can someone tell me the probability for such outcome?
Easier than a straight flush?
I had 4 BJ's in a row once, otherwise it was one of my worst sessions, I was completely wiped out.
 

hhcfreebie

Dormant account
Joined
Feb 22, 2003
Location
USA
I got 4 BJ in a row once with good as gold. I was totally shocked. After that I was too scared to go back.
Since then I only saw 3 BJ twice and that's it.
 

GrandMaster

Dormant account
Joined
Jan 21, 2004
Location
UK
sw2003 said:
4 BJ in a row isn't so rare is it? I seem to see that a lot of the time.
The probability of 4 BJ in a row is about 1/200000, so it is pretty rare. I can't imagine that you see it very often. If you play 8 hours a day at 800 hands/hour (which is roughly the speed of autoplay on the fastest setting), you would expect to get 4 BJ in a row about once a month.
 

Clayman

Dormant account
Joined
Mar 12, 2004
Location
Pennsylvania, USA
GrandMaster said:
I had 4 BJ's in a row once, otherwise it was one of my worst sessions, I was completely wiped out.

Don't feel bad. I had a hole-in-one once and still shot a 94.

Never 4 BJ's in a row. Woe is me.

What seems good, often ain't.
 

jpm

Paleo Meister (means really, really old)
Joined
Mar 29, 2002
Did you have trouble getting by the windmill too? That hole is a b*tch!
 

Casinomeister

Forum Cheermeister
Staff member
Joined
Jun 30, 1998
Location
Bierland
jpm said:
Did you have trouble getting by the windmill too? That hole is a b*tch!
:lolup: :lolup:
 

GrandMaster

Dormant account
Joined
Jan 21, 2004
Location
UK
Clayman said:
Don't feel bad. I had a hole-in-one once and still shot a 94.

Never 4 BJ's in a row. Woe is me.

What seems good, often ain't.

The odds of a hole-in-one seem to be around 1 in 10000, so it is more like getting 3 BJ's in a row. The probability of a hole-in-one involves also depends on your skills, of course.
 

chucho

Bonus Pimp
Joined
Oct 27, 2003
I recently played at 3 different Play Tech casinos, two within hours and one the next morning. I got 3 BJ's in a row at each of them once each. That is the nature of Play Tech, they cheat both ways. Sure it is fun to get 3 BJ's in a row, which it is how they have written the software, to keep it fun for the player. But it is nearly tough to win a double or a split on a Play Tech casino and nearly impossible to win a double or split on a $25+ bet. Beyond that, has anyone ever one more than 5 hands in a row at a Play Tech casino? The dealer will go on 10+ streaks all day but the player never. And those doubles that you get a 20 on almost always means the dealer will get 21 with 3 cards. I have played billions of hands at all the major softwares so and I do not have a problem with any of the others, maybe a bit with OddsOn. But it is official, Play Tech is rigged and they do not do a good job of hiding it.
 

caruso

Banned User - repetitive violations of 1.6 - troll
Joined
Jan 16, 2002
Location
England
I had five consecutive pontoons a few days back. The last one pushed and lost, but even so: almost 4,000,000 to 1. Only a little short of the probability of a pat royal.
 

caruso

Banned User - repetitive violations of 1.6 - troll
Joined
Jan 16, 2002
Location
England
Check that, one zero out. Equal to the probability of almost seven pat royals. LOL.
 
Top