A CHALLENGE to Cipher and Bethug (merged with Seanjohn's "apology" thread)

seanjohn

Banned User - Violation of posting rules
Joined
Aug 28, 2004
Location
somwhere
A CHALLENGE to Cipher and Bethug

I was going to post this under one of their threads but I reckon starting a new thread of my own could get more attention from the audience and of course Cipher and Bethug themselves. I have nothing ad hominem against these two individuals, just that I believe this inquiry would enlighten those ignorants including myself.

My challenge is composed of two parts, one in reasoning and one experimental.

First, please answer the following questions.Their subject is but simple and conceivable by anybody with a reasonable firmness:

1, Why would you need a boss/client when you have an edge in online gambling?. In Bethug's case, he has a day job and he also runs an online portal and from time to time you see him begging people to join through his site (confer posts over WOL). I am not familiar with what Cipher does for living but he sure has a job when Cipher mentioned he got clients all over the world. Shouldn't you be making more money than Bill Gates gambling online? And you decide to have a real day job? For the benefit of public? :lolup:

2, Why aren't you banned by online casinos? You win 3-5 sessions with bonuses at any online casino you are banned. You win 10 sessions with no bonuses, em...they will probably let you stay, but winning 10 sessions itself is a tough feat anyway. How about winning 20 or 30? Or in Cipher's case with Casino Fortune...48 out of 50?! :eek2: Anybody who runs a casino with half a brain will ban a customer winning that much, online or onland.

3, Loopholes don't exist, period. If they do, casinos don't exist. If a player finds a loophole and wins lots of cash, he will eventually be spotted and banned and the loophole fixed. If it was programmer and exploits a loophole he plotted when he was hired to write the software, both himself and his family and friends would be making millions, and the casino is dead. Could you oppose my logic?

4, Why wouldn't you do it secretly but instead going about telling everyone? And up to this point no casino has spotted you, you being so arrogant in the public? Answer to this question is because you are lying and you are losers to them. So they don't mind long-term losers bragging about short-term wins.

5, Why up to this point none of you have really put your strategy at the table? Why not post a few rules here for public scrutiny? Those who are interested could try it and see if it really works. THAT would shut me up if veterans like Caruso and Clayman turns up saying "Hey it works!!".

Secondly, if you were that good, why don't you show us how you can make money anyday. Why dont' we all go to Intercasino and watch you play 300 hands of any games you choose and see how you beat the casino for 3 days in a row? Would be better if you guys signed up through Casinomeister's affiliate link. :lolup:

Of course, taking up the experimental challenge might not be practicable due to time zone differences and the like and I give you the benefit of the doubt. You are not obliged to, but ignoring or not answering in FULL the above questions in the first part could only entail that you guys are nothing but liars and chickens.

To conquer, use reasoning.
Please conquer me.
 
seanjohn said:
I was going to post this under one of their threads but I reckon starting a new thread of my own could get more attention from the audience and of course Cipher and Bethug themselves. I have nothing ad hominem against these two individuals, just that I believe this inquiry would enlighten those ignorants including myself.

My challenge is composed of two parts, one in reasoning and one experimental.

First, please answer the following questions.Their subject is but simple and conceivable by anybody with a reasonable firmness:

1, Why would you need a boss/client when you have an edge in online gambling?. In Bethug's case, he has a day job and he also runs an online portal and from time to time you see him begging people to join through his site (confer posts over WOL). I am not familiar with what Cipher does for living but he sure has a job when Cipher mentioned he got clients all over the world. Shouldn't you be making more money than Bill Gates gambling online? And you decide to have a real day job? For the benefit of public? :lolup:

2, Why aren't you banned by online casinos? You win 3-5 sessions with bonuses at any online casino you are banned. You win 10 sessions with no bonuses, em...they will probably let you stay, but winning 10 sessions itself is a tough feat anyway. How about winning 20 or 30? Or in Cipher's case with Casino Fortune...48 out of 50?! :eek2: Anybody who runs a casino with half a brain will ban a customer winning that much, online or onland.

3, Loopholes don't exist, period. If they do, casinos don't exist. If a player finds a loophole and wins lots of cash, he will eventually be spotted and banned and the loophole fixed. If it was programmer and exploits a loophole he plotted when he was hired to write the software, both himself and his family and friends would be making millions, and the casino is dead. Could you oppose my logic?

4, Why wouldn't you do it secretly but instead going about telling everyone? And up to this point no casino has spotted you, you being so arrogant in the public? Answer to this question is because you are lying and you are losers to them. So they don't mind long-term losers bragging about short-term wins.

5, Why up to this point none of you have really put your strategy at the table? Why not post a few rules here for public scrutiny? Those who are interested could try it and see if it really works. THAT would shut me up if veterans like Caruso and Clayman turns up saying "Hey it works!!".

Secondly, if you were that good, why don't you show us how you can make money anyday. Why dont' we all go to Intercasino and watch you play 300 hands of any games you choose and see how you beat the casino for 3 days in a row? Would be better if you guys signed up through Casinomeister's affiliate link. :lolup:

Of course, taking up the experimental challenge might not be practicable due to time zone differences and the like and I give you the benefit of the doubt. You are not obliged to, but ignoring or not answering in FULL the above questions in the first part could only entail that you guys are nothing but liars and chickens.

To conquer, use reasoning.
Please conquer me.

Let me tell you something!!! I don't know who you are or what rock you've crawled out from under or if in fact you've even got a pot to piss in or a window to throw it out of. But when you run the word CHALLENGE up the old flag pole to me that indicates that you are willing to invest something in this other than running your mouth.

Now if that's the case, then by all means put up or shut up. There's no need at all to come up with one of these contrived schemes. Everything that I've done over the past six plus years is very well documented by the casinos themselves.
 
If that is not an idiot post, I don't know what is... sheesh.

Neither Bethug nor Cipher are obliged to respond to that, much less be called liars and chickens. On the other hand, your post, ad hominem, shows that you are truly an ignorant with no regard for anyone but yourself.
 
Hey may be that guy would like to put down $10K for each person that he is challenging! If any of them proved to be right, his $10K will be given to that person. How about that? If he doesn't take it up, he is a chicken!

This post is bordering on the rude and offensive side! I agree because of its nature, one shouldn't even really need to reply to it! But anyway ............
 
Seanjohn was banned for 30 days with his comment in this thread
https://www.casinomeister.com/forums/search

Where I replied with this:
...Like I mentioned before - and this applies to everyone - expressing oneself is fine, but it should be done without needless subjectivity (or negativity). There is no need to make comments such these, I have been giving everyone fair warning about this.

This is not a board where insulting or flippant remarks are tolerated. seanjohn's account has been suspended for 30 days.

The only bullshit in this thread are comments like Seanjohn's.

And my word to everyone - knock it off, I'm serious as a heart attack

Well it looks like this suspension did no good.

seanjohn said:
...ignoring or not answering in FULL the above questions in the first part could only entail that you guys are nothing but liars and chickens.

That's pretty strong language for someone on probabtion (yes probabtion).
Banned again. This time for 90 days. Next time it's for good.
 
This is a rather odd reaction to a not unreasonable thread:confused:. The only aggressive remark was "liars and chickens", and I've seen a lot worse from many other posters (not just me). The poster is clearly intelligent, although he doesn't express himself as well as he could. Informed players have been trying - and failing - to call progressionists to substantiate their nonsensical claims since the first blackjack hand was played. Michael Shakelford's 20K challenge is more than enough to put these claims to bed once and for all. He is offering a ten to one bet against any "system" beating the house. He has had one taker - that failed, after 150,000 hands. Of the two possible contenders here, one has said Shakelford probably cheats:) and the other one has apparently STILL failed to elicit a reply.

I agree with the above remark to put up or shut up, and I'm very, very empathetic with the poster's point of view. The only people who benefit from the claim that betting systems can beat negative value games are casinos, because, like it or not, there are readers out there who will believe what they read and try it for themselves - I nearly did, once. Those people will lose money in the endeavour. That bothers me. The fact that they're adults who are old enough to think for themselves does mitigate against that, but I'm not the only person to find extremely irritating that these misleading and false claims constantly get aired.

Betting systems cannot overcome the house advantage. If anyone tells you otherwise, they are either foolish or malicious. If you don't understand why and want to know, ask me and I'll explain in detail.
 
Let me ask you something, Caruso.

Right or wrong, fair or not, how would you respond to a challenge like that which essentially insults the target?

If I insult you even if I am totally right, are you supposed to just say "Ok, you're right?"

Anyone can beat the house over a short term if they know what they are doing. No one can beat the house over a long term - you cannot overcome a house edge given infinite time.

Having not studied either Bethug's or Cipher's methods or claims in any detail, I won't comment further on them. But I most definitely object to the manner in which they were challenged.
 
I agree it was a highly insulting post.

Anyway, for what it's worth I thought I'd respond (despite almost never having played a system) - I think there is a possibility a system will work on the entirely plausible basis that on-line casinos are rigged. This seems to be behind Cipher's approach, if not Bethug's.

1, Why would you need a boss/client when you have an edge in online gambling?. To have a steady income & insurance against the highly likely scenario that casinos will change at some point to nullify the strategy. Also, even if you have a successful system there's always going to be a limit to the amount you can make in any space of time (depending on the risks you're willing to take and how scaleable the system is). Not to mention you might want to get out and meet people :D

2, Why aren't you banned by online casinos?
Maybe they are from some, but casinos are highly unlikely to ban players who play without bonuses and make decent bets. Almost all systems are a huge long-term money spinner for the casinos, so they're not going to ban someone using one lightly.

3, Loopholes don't exist, period.
Not true - casino bonuses are one such loophole. The casinos allow it because overall they generate more revenue. In the same way they may have software which one or two people can work out how to crack but which more than makes up from that by the amount it takes (steals, if you like!) from others.

4, Why wouldn't you do it secretly but instead going about telling everyone?
Not really sure of the answer to this - Cipher presumably gets some tempting offers from investors. At the same time he provides some interesting data for the rest of us.

5, Why up to this point none of you have really put your strategy at the table?
Well, this loops back to question 4. It really would be madness to post full details of a successful system.
 
I been having a long running challenge for over Three years, to any flat bettor. i have shown over two weeks, how my system bets the casino.
you can take a look its free. There no way in one session i would play 150000 hands, also if i sit there and play all my winnings back i would be a fool.

After the holidays, someone please put your money up I will not waste my time for free. If you dont think my system work. Put your money up. human test, i am from the hood, i dont understand letting some computer symlater run a bunch of hands, which know way in hell tells me , the symlater can play like i do.

Caurso why dont you put your money up.
 
bethug said:
I been having a long running challenge for over Three years, to any flat bettor. i have shown over two weeks, how my system bets the casino.
you can take a look its free. There no way in one session i would play 150000 hands, also if i sit there and play all my winnings back i would be a fool.

After the holidays, someone please put your money up I will not waste my time for free. If you dont think my system work. Put your money up. human test, i am from the hood, i dont understand letting some computer symlater run a bunch of hands, which know way in hell tells me , the symlater can play like i do.

Caurso why dont you put your money up.



Hello, Bethug. This is universexf6. It is my pleasure to talk to you here for the first time. Since I am interested in any betting systm available, please teach me where I can get in touch with your system on the internet. I am most delighted to see your site/programme/( or whatever it is ). Also excuse me in advance my English is not as good as Americans since I am a Japanse.

Regards
 
bethug said:
I been having a long running challenge for over Three years, to any flat bettor. i have shown over two weeks, how my system bets the casino.

I really don't want to get into this pointless discussion... but it's absurd to 'challenge' a flat bettor. No-one's saying flat betting is 'better' than progressive betting. If the casino's fair you'll lose the same percentage long term either way (probably more actual money with progressive betting because your stakes become higher). Any half-sensible progressive system is odds on to win in the short term, which proves absolutely nothing. Unfortunately it means scam artists retain a degree of plausibility & casinos earn lots of money from the gullible.
 
Vesuvio, please explain , my runs for over a week at con and micro and casino365, u can see the screen shots. Using my sytstem. Please explain it.
Do you want me to do it again, all i ask is if it dont work, call me on it, put your money out there. All i am saying.

88 dollars to 13000
100 to 3000
on and on and on
10 bucks to 1400

explain it ??? please get your computer out,something
 
bethug said:
Vesuvio, please explain , my runs for over a week at con and micro and casino365, u can see the screen shots. Using my sytstem. Please explain it.
Do you want me to do it again, all i ask is if it dont work, call me on it, put your money out there. All i am saying.

88 dollars to 13000
100 to 3000
on and on and on
10 bucks to 1400

explain it ??? please get your computer out,something

Bethug, I haven't seen any new screenshots you may have posted recently, but the old ones always just showed a few hands where you haphazardly chased your losses and were successful. On another day you'd have lost the big bets and gone bust.

If you can guarantee always to turn 88 into 13000 and prove it, say 10 times in a row, I'll bow down to you :notworthy Otherwise I'm inclined to think you've just had a lucky run as we all do at online casions. I once turned $2.5 into $2102.5 in half a second, but I'm not claiming it as a system. Negative progressions are tempting as you win most of the time - the problem is the other times...

Besides which - it's odd that you always claim your system is about making a small profit and getting out quick (say a 10% profit), but then you only want to post the times when you ignored that system and kept on gambling.
 
I didnt say i could trun 88 dollarrs into 13000 everytime,
But what i can do is win 200 dollars a day, i think if i should my system playing at 4 differnent casino over a week, winning everytime is more than enough proof.

I was showing to you haters you can bet the casino over and over,I also say call me out. Everytime someone call me out i perform.


If you dont think my system work, put your money up, i am done with all you players haters for now. have a nice turkey day
 
Vesuvio said:
I really don't want to get into this pointless discussion... but it's absurd to 'challenge' a flat bettor. No-one's saying flat betting is 'better' than progressive betting. If the casino's fair you'll lose the same percentage long term either way (probably more actual money with progressive betting because your stakes become higher). Any half-sensible progressive system is odds on to win in the short term, which proves absolutely nothing. Unfortunately it means scam artists retain a degree of plausibility & casinos earn lots of money from the gullible.

Spot on Vesuvio.

However there is some possible rationale behind Bethugs system.

I believe that Bethug dips in and out of games on a regular basis and switches games especially if he starts to lose. ( I think that is right isn't it Bethug? ).

Now if I was a casino owner and had the ability to adjust the software but didn't want to actually cheat the player by reducing the overall payout. I would definately arrange for the early part of a new betting session to be lucky for the player and recover the money later in the session.

There is a very well observed phenomenom amongst gamblers that early success draws them in and causes them to bet more in the long run.

Bethug would be exploiting this behaviour.

Actually of course I think this is bollocks as someone like Cipher with his tracking software would spot this trend eventually and then take the casino down bigtime.

Nope on second thoughts if I was the casino I'd play fair and let the house edge deliver my profit with no risk.

Mitch
 
Quote: But I most definitely object to the manner in which they were challenged. Unquote

I agree. SeanJohn has an unfortunate attitude at times and this post typifies it. I have nothing personal against the guy, but perhaps he should read over his posts before he hits the "submit" button.
 
bethug said:
I was showing to you haters you can bet the casino over and over,I also say call me out. Everytime someone call me out i perform.

If you dont think my system work, put your money up, i am done with all you players haters for now. have a nice turkey day

Bethug, please don't call someone a 'hater' for no reason, whether it's a national holiday for you or not. I've got no personal animosity towards you & I'm happy if anyone wins at casinos. I even put up a defense for you against the original poster! Your flat betting comment was besides the point (& you knew it), that's all.

If you're claiming now you can only beat rigged on-line casinos, then as I've said before - there's a chance you can. In the past though you've always claimed your system works just as well at land-based casinos.
 
**And this has gone from a dirt-slinging, insulting challenge to a full blown ego-trip combined with a bit of arrogance .... and all this while the fire-starter is not even here to see the success!! Well done. **
 
Regarding the Cipher incident

First of all, I would like to thank the Casinomeister for extending the courtesy of letting me make one post before my suspension. I hereby take this oppurtunity to apologize to Cipher and Bethug for calling them chickens and whoever else whom I offended.

Allow me to continue my inquiry in a more civilized manner with more openmindedness, and I urge other smarter posters (Clayman, Caruso, Grandmaster, Got2bet, Jetset, etc) to share their valuable thoughts.

First, I have to admit that in attempt to set up a challenge to Cipher, I face a difficulty as his system gains success based on 'all-in' bets, which means challenging him for a few shortrun sessions is meaningless. He could have gone all in and won his first hand and grind out the rest of the session using minimum bets, nothing positive or negative about his system could be proven. To setup a fair test I would have to emulate or at least make the rules very close to those employed in the test set up by The Wizard, and from the thread 'Phonecian strand and scroll':
cipher said:
In such an instance as the Wiz' challenge there would be no ALL IN WAGERS and of that you can be certain.
However, immediately, he said:
cipher said:
The ALL IN WAGER is absolutely reserved for recreational purposes only and rarely if ever exceeds $500.00.

So it seems the no 'all-in' rule isn't a problem afterall!! However, Cipher has never made it clear (beside the all-in thing) as to why he didn't take up that challenge. Unless there are any other compelling reasons as to why Cipher don't take up The Wiz challenge, I would gladly lay a $500 bet that says Cipher would lose if he takes up the Wiz's challenge.

.....

From time to time we see some people come in here offering to sell their winning systems and books or whatever and most members make fun of them and bash them like dogs. However, I myself could find no difference between these people and Cipher. He made quite a lot of posts (i.e. strands) but they are only advertisement in disguise. Under the same thread, in response to 'universexf6''s interest to the system, Cipher wrote:
Cipher said:
Yes, Japan is certainly O.K. by me, as 30 of my 48 active clients reside in Japan. If you like you can email me with an email address and I'll get back to you..
Yet he finds another target and takes him in private...now how many times have we seen that, both here and WOL? Why does Cipher gamble with other people's money with his close-to-perfect system and earn a COMMISSION (my assumption) but NOT gamble with his AND ONLY his own funds given his time contraints??? :confused:

We all know what happens there in private with universexf6...Cipher is trying to make a sales! He is but a salesman, and all salesmen has only one agenda. If I had 100 clients and blindly tell half to buy stock A and half stock B, I do it often enough eventually a few of them will treat me like God.

Of course, again, Cipher is not obliged to answer anything; he has a right to remain silent. However I don't understand why he would continually exercise that right when only a few words could enlighten an ignorant like me and reject all my accusations.

I will go 'do' my 90-day time now.
 
sean john, If you want cipher to help u, u going about it the wrong way, why would cipher care about the wiz test, if he making money, dont matter if it his money or someone else. In real estate investing, you try to use other people money so you can invest your money else where, so you can make more money.

The only test counts in the end is neteller giving me my winning in my bank account on time :thumbsup:

If the casinos think they can win , why do they kick people out, why do they miss with people.

I am in vegas right now, can to the table with 3000 , won 500 got up and move on , that pit boss was mad, They act like my 3000 they own it soon as i lay it on the table, i am not trying to give them crap.

If the casinos are so sure why do they have limits like 15 to 500, You now why cause people like me.

The haters keep popping up.
 
forgot something, cipher program works, I know a few people making money off it.

Keep point making money. If cipher was robbing people , they would have spilled the beans by now.
 
Hi seanjohn & others,

The debate here is meaningless. The outcome completely depends on if the RNGs in casino software are mathematically random. If they are random, as all casinos claim, Cipher & BetHug have to be wrong; otherwise, They definitely can be right.

The reason why the "wizardofodds" guy dare to face any challenge is because in his simulations, RNGs are random, which could or could not be the case in online casino software.
 
That basically sums it up.
If they're not random you can let the software beat you up on the smaller bets.
Then once the 'randomness' reaches the edge of its flight envelope, (as I would say) you start upping your bets a bit, and push the statistical probability of the session even further into a corner.

Its at that point that you up your bets even further.
The software has nowhere to go, unless it wants to start cranking out 4 and 5 SD stuff in a 100/200 hand session.

You can write your own stuff on a spreadsheet using macros that encompass dozens of tests.(dealing seconds etc)

Here's one the wiz did.
You do not have permission to view link Log in or register now.


If it was random, you couldn't do this. :D
 
If they're not random you can let the software beat you up on the smaller bets. Then once the 'randomness' reaches the edge of its flight envelope, (as I would say) you start upping your bets a bit, and push the statistical probability of the session even further into a corner. Its at that point that you up your bets even further. The software has nowhere to go, unless it wants to start cranking out 4 and 5 SD stuff in a 100/200 hand session.

I'm sorry Eek, this is piffle. Cards do not have memory. That you can somehow "force" the software into dealing you good cards, having received bad cards previously, on the basis that continued bad cards "push the statistical probability of the session even further into a corner" is absolute nonsense.

Betting systems, online or terrestrial, cannot turn a negative expectation game into a positive one. This subject doesn't require discussion, it is a long, long established and proven fact.

If you believe you can change the odds with a betting system, short term or long term, you are a fool.
 
Its not a betting system Caruso.
Its probability, randomness (or a lack of it), and the SD limits of the software you are playing on.

Once you get to the 3.5sd mark on some software you can actually get quite a decent game.

Other stuff:
If you hit/hit/hit/hit/hit on 16 v 10 then suddenly decide to stay you get that 'pause' as the software is forced to make a new decision that affects the dealer...not the player.

If RNGs were random, they would have certified RNG standards.
But they don't.

I know its usless in a true random scenario.
:) (not exactly rocket science there 'Russo)

-----------------------
BTW, on the subject of randomness.
I notice my local B&M is using auto shuffling machines now.
 
It is apparent that the above posters, namely 'grus' and 'eek', have not taken into consideration the five logical dilemas I pointed out on my other thread 'A challenge to Cipher and Bethug'. If that is the case, allow me to draw your attention to the first question: 'Why does Cipher need a client if he has a winning system?'

This question has ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with whether or not the casino's RNG is rigged or not. Even if its true that the casino's RNG is messed up and I somehow found out a way to exploit it, meaning I make tonnes of money out of it, I would never EVER, need to recruit any clients.

Grus and Eek, if you have a system to win the lottery, would you set up a company and help others make money? I think not...not to mention you will NEVER disclose such system at all. Another member brought up the idea or 'insurance', that Cipher take a job as insurance. But this argument is also false, as one don't partake into something as an insurance measure against the same thing he wanted to insure against. If Cipher wanted to insure against the failure of his system, he won't be selling his system as a job as both could fail the same time. He would instead get a real job.

Does it look clearer to you guys now?
 
If you want to label someone as a snakeoil salesman thats up to you.

Those of us who been around the boards for a few years have seen plenty of them. (Steve Adkins springs to mind. :) )

At the end of the day us adults choose to take it or leave it. :D

If he really winds you up, dont read his threads.
 
Vesuvio, please explain , my runs for over a week at con and micro and casino365, u can see the screen shots. Using my sytstem. Please explain it.

Screen shots prove nothing, never have never will. Kinda like you don't a system that would beat the casino 70% of the time...never have, never will. That goes for everyone, not just you, but you are still special ;)

Hello, Bethug. This is universexf6. It is my pleasure to talk to you here for the first time. Since I am interested in any betting systm available, please teach me where I can get in touch with your system on the internet. I am most delighted to see your site/programme/( or whatever it is ). Also excuse me in advance my English is not as good as Americans since I am a Japanse.

Your English is better then Thugs, maybe Thug speaks fluent Japanese? You can waste you time and money with his "system", but you are better off burning your hard earned money than sending it to thug as then you only waste the money and save the time.

**And this has gone from a dirt-slinging, insulting challenge to a full blown ego-trip combined with a bit of arrogance .... and all this while the fire-starter is not even here to see the success!! Well done. **

The "fire starter" sees his success, and he should be proud of it. I have not followed Cipers postings other than that he as some interesting tracking software. If he found a way to exploite the software because it is not random, then great. That actually may be possilble. But if he said that, and I don't think he ever did, he could beat a land based casino 70% of the time, then we would be as high on crack as Thug. I would like to vote Seanjohn back on the island as his choice of a couple unnecessary words were fueled by the stupidity of people who claim to beat land based casinos 70% of the time and prey on others who want to beleive in it. Then he takes their money in trade for his "system" and these poor suckers lose their money using his "system"

I love all the real players out there

I love all the bonus whore's, bonus hookers and pimps. Especially the bonus pimps who play for friends and family.....spread the love, it is better to give than receive say the bonus pimps.
 
cipher said:
...to me that indicates that you are willing to invest something in this other than running your mouth.

Now if that's the case, then by all means put up or shut up...
By 'invest' do you mean I have to buy your software first?:lolup:
If what you meant was whether I am ready to put my money where my mouth is, then YES. I have $500 that says you will lose in The Wiz's Challenge.
"Are you putting up or are you shutting up?"


cipher said:
Everything that I've done over the past six plus years is very well documented by the casinos themselves.
Interesting. In my 2 years of gambling I have been banned by at least 30 casinos because I won too much. And the figure does NOT include where I play with bonuses. You won 48 sessions out of 50 in Casino Fortune?? And they still open the doors to you? Very good!

The way you put it, do you mean the casinos having so in detail documented your play, still knowingly and voluntarily SPONSOR you and your software?

I think I have definitely said enough about you. You and others who's reading should by now know who you are and what you are made of. I think it's a shame you are not responding because I out-reasoned you.

Have a good one!
 
Last edited:
"I would like to vote Sean John back on the island as his choice of a couple unnecessary words were fueled by the stupidity" [/QUOTE]

Enough said, and the beat goes on and on and on and on and on ad infinitum. Even after Sean John's "BS" heart felt thanks to Bryan for Bryan's allowing Sean John to post one last post. Logically speaking Chucho, wouldn't one (Sean John) hav't to leave the "Island" before one could be voted back on to the Island? Does anyone see a pattern here? Have a good one.
 
Logically speaking Chucho, wouldn't one (Sean John) hav't to leave the "Island" before one could be voted back on to the Island? Does anyone see a pattern here?

I thought he was voted off the island. I don't know why I thought that?

Banned again. This time for 90 days. Next time it's for good.

I only read this post and seanjohn's only post on this thread was the 1st and the one right after mine. I think I should be banned and kicked off the island for not doing enough research. I also think that anyone that says they can beat the casino 70% of the time, consistently, shoud be banned for smoking crack or for stealing purses and only getting caught 30% of the time.
 
What a shame.

Cipher, is that all you can unashamedly come up with?
Run out of attacks so ask them to ban me?
Where is your chivalry?

At first I thought I was only allowed to make one post and then I the system would block me. Sort of like how WOL banned Caruso before he made his last post. (Sorry have to bring it up, Caruso) And indeed 1 post was all I asked from Casinomeister and he could confirm it. He told me in email,
"If you apologize to the members for your remarks and promise to watch
yourself from now on, I'll grant you access."
Now that I have re-read it it seems CM has an intention of sparing me the suspension and I only became award of his kindness after finding out I was allowed to make more than 1 post today. So why not?
I am glad that CM has taken this incident impartially. I would not object him to ban me, I did do something wrong afterall.

Cipher
So you decide NOT to put up but SHUT UP instead?
I still have $500 here waiting. :rolleyes:
Seriously, I would have a lot more respect for you had you come out here straight and told everybody you had something to sell and CLEARLY STATED THE PRICE.
What a shame.

Have a good one!
 
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caruso said:
The only people who benefit from the claim that betting systems can beat negative value games are casinos, because, like it or not, there are readers out there who will believe what they read and try it for themselves - I nearly did, once. Those people will lose money in the endeavour. That bothers me...
Betting systems cannot overcome the house advantage. If anyone tells you otherwise, they are either foolish or malicious.

I agree. Any system based on previous wins/losses is immediatly suspect.

Consider two players at the same table each playing a progression. One decreases their bet and the other raises because they each have had different win/loss patterns. How could that be?

I remember losing hand after hand while the guy next to me wins hand after hand - and vice versa. I remember players itching to get the "hot seat".

Caruso, you say people will lose money in the endeaver. They will only do so if they are lucky. If they are unlucky they will initially win and in so doing they may lock themselves into a long supersticious spiral - forever tweaking in search of a Rumpelstiltskin answer.

Progressions and betting systems are fun. They are not profitable in the long run. That is a law.

Stanford.
 
seanjohn said:
Cipher, is that all you can unashamedly come up with?
Run out of attacks so ask them to ban me?
Where is your chivalry?

At first I thought I was only allowed to make one post and then I the system would block me. Sort of like how WOL banned Caruso before he made his last post. (Sorry have to bring it up, Caruso) And indeed 1 post was all I asked from Casinomeister and he could confirm it. He told me in email,
"If you apologize to the members for your remarks and promise to watch
yourself from now on, I'll grant you access."
Now that I have re-read it it seems CM has an intention of sparing me the suspension and I only became award of his kindness after finding out I was allowed to make more than 1 post today. So why not?
I am glad that CM has taken this incident impartially. I would not object him to ban me, I did do something wrong afterall.

Cipher
So you decide NOT to put up but SHUT UP instead?
I still have $500 here waiting. :rolleyes:
Seriously, I would have a lot more respect for you had you come out here straight and told everybody you had something to sell and CLEARLY STATED THE PRICE.
What a shame.

Have a good one!

And then there's this little entree as per attached.
 
Lmao!

Dear Cipher
Ain't that funny! I swear to God I knew you were gonna screenshot me.
What else could you have done?
LMAO!!!:lolup::lolup:

But what have you proven? That my facts were immediately lost validity after I promise to tell each and every newbie about it? :lolup: Look how helpless you are now. Nobody will help you. Why? Because everything I have said is true and after I have removed my bad manners they have nothing, absolutely nothing to attack me at. So they would rather shut up than make a fool of themselves.

My $500 is still waiting, sir. :eek: :D

(And let's watch how you ignore me again...) :rolleyes:
 
caruso said:
I'm sorry Eek, this is piffle. Cards do not have memory. That you can somehow "force" the software into dealing you good cards, having received bad cards previously, on the basis that continued bad cards "push the statistical probability of the session even further into a corner" is absolute nonsense.

My God Caruso. For the last time it has nothing to do with bad cards or good cards or anything of the sort. The Cipher program is nothing more than a tool that records trends in realtime. It's the Player's job to:

1) recognize a favorable trend. and 2) to capitalize on those trends. What is so damn difficult to understand about that?


Betting systems, online or terrestrial, cannot turn a negative expectation game into a positive one. This subject doesn't require discussion, it is a long, long established and proven fact.

All this negative expectation this and standard deviations that is absolute nonsense developed originally by the casinos themselves and consumed by the players as though it were gospel. Give me a break.

Have you ever heard of a guy by the name of Kenny Uston? Ken Uston was arguably the most famous blackjack player ever. His innovative blackjack team play techniques took millions off the Las Vegas blackjack tables before they were detected by the casinos. Player, Author, Instructor, Jazz Musician, and gambling raconteur, Kenny was a great guy to hang out with.

Brought up in a middle-class New York City household, Ken Uston graduated from Yale with the highest honors. At the age of 31 he was earning $42,500 a year plus many fringe benefits as a Senior Vice President of the Pacific Coast Stock Exchange. But he gave it all up and dropped out of the corporate world to play professional blackjack. From article written by Jerry Patterson


There were more than a few "scoffers" back in the mid 80's as well but I'll guarantee you one thing that group didn't include the casinos after having been ripped for millions.

If you believe you can change the odds with a betting system, short term or long term, you are a fool.

No Caruso, I personally witnessed some of Kenny Uston's brillance then and I know damn good and well that none NONE of these on line casinos have a clue about how a true random number generator operate. Moreover anyone that believes these casinos are running true random number generators are fools. Have a good one.
 
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cipher said:
Moreover anyone that believes these casinos are running true random number generators are fools.

Now THAT I agree.
Cipher, maybe I should tell you why I pick on you so much.
I got a VERY good friend who knew absolutely nothing about gambling, then one day he met up a guy in college who told him he got a system to beat the casinos. Need not I say, they lost everything and my friend was in deep $hit. He had to sell his car to pay off his debts. I lost his friendship as although he didn't say it, he somehow blamed me no lending him money so he could chase he losses back.

Cipher
All I ask is that you tell me why you need clients if you really got a system that beats casino's RNG. I mean, if you could really convince me maybe even I would like to sign up your client list.
Have a good one.
 
cipher said:


It's the Player's job to:

1) recognize a favorable trend. and 2) to capitalize on those trends.
What is so damn difficult to understand about that?

In my opinion it is difficult to understand why online blackjack should develop any trends and not be subject to a complete random walk. Even in the case online casinos run an exploitable rng (and this condition isn't fulfilled by a casino not running a "true" rng) a sample size of a few hundred hands could rarely provide useable trends.

Maybe trend analysis works with stock prices, but not because they underlie a "natural" trend, but rather because people who believe in technical analyis follow and MAKE the trends themselves (self-fulfilling prophecies). Of course this won't work with blackjack.
 
mucullus said:
In my opinion it is difficult to understand why online blackjack should develop any trends and not be subject to a complete random walk. Even in the case online casinos run an exploitable rng (and this condition isn't fulfilled by a casino not running a "true" rng) a sample size of a few hundred hands could rarely provide useable trends.

Maybe trend analysis works with stock prices, but not because they underlie a "natural" trend, but rather because people who believe in technical analyis follow and MAKE the trends themselves (self-fulfilling prophecies). Of course this won't work with blackjack.

Hi McCullus:

I've attached a clients session from yesterday of 102 hands. For me this strand is absolutely loaded with trends that I used in playing the session. The trends themselves are far from being hidden, it's just a matter of reading them. It seems to work quite well for my Blackjack purposes. Have a good one.
 
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seanjohn said:
Now THAT I agree.
Cipher, maybe I should tell you why I pick on you so much.
I got a VERY good friend who knew absolutely nothing about gambling, then one day he met up a guy in college who told him he got a system to beat the casinos. Need not I say, they lost everything and my friend was in deep $hit. He had to sell his car to pay off his debts. I lost his friendship as although he didn't say it, he somehow blamed me no lending him money so he could chase he losses back.

Cipher
All I ask is that you tell me why you need clients if you really got a system that beats casino's RNG. I mean, if you could really convince me maybe even I would like to sign up your client list.
Have a good one.

Im going to respond to you one time and only one time. Not because I like you or even because Id even consider having you as a client, but because youre probably the most arrogant, rude and juvenile person that Ive ever come across and you need to know it. Your ability to make wide ranging and totally false allegations about someone you know absolutely nothing about is nothing short of mind boggling.

First off, you have no idea at all as to whats even involved in the Wizs Challenge and Id suggest you do some serious research on that issue before you run your mouth again about it.

For the record, none of the clients that I play for (to my knowledge) are even members of any of the various gambling forums and they certainly werent harvested (or so to speak) from any of the gambling forums including the Casinomeister website and/or the Winner on Line website. Any information that you think you might have to the contrary is patently false and had better be checked thoroughly.

Lastly, every one of my clients have come to me as a result of word of mouth referrals from other clients that Ive successfully played for and that I continue to play for year after year. Though Ive given probably dozens of programs away to various members of the Casinomeister website, Ive only charged one of those individuals a fee.

Its been an absolute pleasure in teaching that one individual what I know about reading trend analysis and that one individual, as a result of some very hard work and discipline has flat kicked some serious ass and made some serious money in using Cipher and he or she didnt let all the standard deviations and all the other BS get in the way of doing that. If that person chooses to reveal their identity, then thats fine and good, but I will not be revealing that persons identity.
 
cipher said:
No Caruso, I personally witnessed some of Kenny Uston's brillance then and I know damn good and well that none NONE of these on line casinos have a clue about how a true random number generator operate. Moreover anyone that believes these casinos are running true random number generators are fools. Have a good one.

Cipher

I don't mean to be disrespectful and accuse you of knowingly misleading people. I know that you are very well regarded on this forum and have helped quite a number of people in casino disputes in the past :)

However there is a fundamental flaw in the logic of your posts that I cannot get my head around.

If it is true that your software can predict even to a minor degree the future play based on past play why are you posting the fact on a public forum?

For the truth is if I could constantly generate even a 1% advantage over the casinos I would be a multi - millionaire within a year. Why then would you post on a public forum? This would only alert the casinos that there was a problem with their software and cause them to look for a solution.

Also seeing that if what you say is true then you must be a multi -millionaire yourself, unless for some reason you restrain from exploiting your breakthrough. (Do you feel sorry for the casinos?)

You would have to be an eccentric to display this sort of behaviour and from the overall tone of your posts you do not appear to be so.

Can you please explain this dichotomy at the heart of your posts?

Mitch

"win don't gamble"
 
mitch said:
Cipher

I don't mean to be disrespectful and accuse you of knowingly misleading people. I know that you are very well regarded on this forum and have helped quite a number of people in casino disputes in the past :)

However there is a fundamental flaw in the logic of your posts that I cannot get my head around.

If it is true that your software can predict even to a minor degree the future play based on past play why are you posting the fact on a public forum?

For the truth is if I could constantly generate even a 1% advantage over the casinos I would be a multi - millionaire within a year. Why then would you post on a public forum? This would only alert the casinos that there was a problem with their software and cause them to look for a solution.

Also seeing that if what you say is true then you must be a multi -millionaire yourself, unless for some reason you restrain from exploiting your breakthrough. (Do you feel sorry for the casinos?)

You would have to be an eccentric to display this sort of behaviour and from the overall tone of your posts you do not appear to be so.

Can you please explain this dichotomy at the heart of your posts?

Mitch

"win don't gamble"

Hi Mitch:

I've heard this same song and dance now for better than six years now. The fact of the matter is this. The casinos couldn't do anything to change my winning patterns even if they wanted to. Unless of course they removed the numbers and spots from the cards and then they'd have no game at all. Moreover, when I play for clients the casinos have no idea that I'm even playing. Have a good one.
 

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