Quote:
Originally Posted by pokeraddict
Pokeraffiliateworld.com
http://www.pokeraffiliateworld.com/f...te-thread.html
That's right, instead of allowing a free discussion for affiliates to give input on where to go from there (like not promoting AP/UB, getting together to push AP into a 3rd party review, pushing AP into a response etc.) Jeremy deletes the entire thread at the request of Absolute Poker. He then even went into his blog and calls out the rest of the community for doubting AP. Although he has promoted poker for many years he does not seem to have any concept of the game or how to read Poker Tracker stats. I guess the other thought is his relationship with AP/UB has gotten in the way with the fact multiple players are running on a 20 trillion to 1 shot streak with about the worst possible preflop stats one can have. If a normal players W$atSD is 50% (its slightly higher) then winning 179 coin tosses in a row is a good comparison. It's probably closer to winning 160 coin tosses in a row. It's still not possible. |
Thanks for the link pokeraddict. And for the correction on the analogy. I definitely should have worded it as you did...not how many times it would come up heads, but how many in a row can you win? As you said, whether it's a 160 or 179...it's just not within the realm of possibility. I could sit here right now and flip a coin, and I'd be shocked if I could call it correctly five times in a row, nevermind over 100 times, lol.
On the subject of analogies (but not to derail), I've read some of the ones being posted over at 2+2 and they're quite good. They can also be useful in trying to stress the point of how improbable the stats are, to someone who maybe doesn't understand poker all that well. The best one I've read so far is this (not verbatim folks) - go to a major league baseball game and go up into the stands. Find the most out-of-shape, non-athletic looking guy that you can and invite him to step up to the plate. To make it more interesting, let's say Roger Clemens or Pedro Martinez on their best day. The guy proceeds to hit 28 home runs IN A ROW. Out of the park, gone, cleared the fences. It will never happen. This is very similar to what has happened here...poker players who had never even played in the "majors" before stepped up and hit home run after home run....against seasoned veteran pitchers. Thanks to the poster who came up with that one..it's great.
If I get a chance after dinner, I'm gonna check out this Jeremy's site. It will be interesting I'm sure.