Quote:
Originally Posted by tennis_balls
does the banker hand really have that big of an advantage over the player hand that it's a slightly better play even with the 5% commission?
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There is little difference in the house edge between the player and banker bet. If you have a superstition about player or banker hitting, then choose whichever one you want.
The banker has a 45.9% chance of winning, and the player has a 44.6% chance of winning (9% ties). This makes the house edge on the banker bet .459*.95 -.446 = ~1.0%. And the house edge on the player bet .446 - .459 = ~1.3%
Note that Real Time Gaming casinos round down the commission to multiples of 0.25, so if you are not betting a multiple of 5, then the player bet may have the lowest house edge. For example a $1 bet has a 25 cent commission. This makes the house edge on banker bet .459*.75 -.446 = ~10.2%! While the player bet still has a house edge of 1.3%.