Quote:
Originally Posted by El Helado Patat
I was playing the flashversion of Bet365 blackjack surrender 3x10$ and lost 860$ after wagering merely 12x460+4x460. Bad luck I know but then i checked with the history and in 180 hands the dealer has got BJ 30 times which means 17% of all hands.
Isnt the odds of catching a BJ roughly 1/14*4/14? Isnt this very very suspicious?
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I added a multi-hand feature to the calc in my signature to estimate this. Assuming I didn't make a mistake, there is a ~2% chance of losing $860 over the course of the wagering. 2% is unlucky, but certainly not statistically impossible.
The chance of a dealer
BJ is 1/13*16/51*2 = .0483. The chance of 30 dealer BJs over 180 hands is on the order of 1 in a billion. This is very suspicious.